ON THE DESTINY OF CIVILIZED CULTURES

by

Lawrence L. Espey

(Copyright: April 26, 1974, Reg. No. A531153)

PART I

ON THE ORIGIN OF THE PRINCIPLES

INTRODUCTION

"A human being is a part of the whole, called by us 'Universe', a part limited in time and space. He experiences himself, his thoughts and feelings as something separated from the rest—a kind of optical delusion of his consciousness. This delusion is a kind of prison for us, restricting us to our personal desires and to affection for a few persons nearest to us. Our task must be to free ourselves from this prison by widening our circle of compassion to embrace all living creatures and the whole nature in its beauty. Nobody is able to achieve this completely, but the striving for such achievement is in itself a part of the liberation and foundation for inner security."

This rich counsel from Einstein (1) was composed as a condolence for a friend who was lamenting the remorseless nature of death. It would seem that its message might be appropriate for mankind in the whole in the event the current concerns about ozone depletion and global warming culminate in the environmental apocalypse that has been debated for the past three decades. If the forecasters are correct, then the challenge may not only be one of how we go about striving for a compassion that would embrace "the whole nature", but indeed, it we are going to be around to strive for anything for very much longer (2, 3). In the interest of assessing the probability of such an ominous future, this essay examines the predictability of human destiny.

The query on human survival is not new: More than a century ago the erudite George Perkins Marsh, in considering human degradation of the environment, expressed concern that "the earth is fast becoming an unfit home for its noblest inhabitant, and another era of equal crime...would reduce it to such a condition as to threaten...perhaps even extinction of the species" (my italics) (4). What is new is the growing number of contemporary scholars who are now expressing concern over the prospect of human extinction (5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12). Some have even declared that the man-environment relationship has intrinsic characteristics that make comprehensive solutions impossible, regardless of the design of any technical or political attempt to ameliorate the problem (13, 14). Of course, if this is true—if the environment of civilized society contains undesirable conditions for which there are no solutions—then this fact in itself raises the question of whether a problem (as defined in the usual terms of human reason) even exists. (The concept of problems for which there are no solutions is not novel. Recognition of predicaments that can only be analyzed, but not solved, occurred at least as early as the stoic logic of Ancient Greece [15].)

In recent years I have become curious as to whether there is any absolute evidence to justify such grave conclusions about human destiny, and if so, why this evidence is not more discernible to the academic community. Our scientific methodology has generated a tremendous store of knowledge regarding the nature of man, his environment, and the Universe as a whole. With all this knowledge, with the ability to transplant hearts, construct atomic reactors, walk on the surface of the moon, and have a window to the world through television and computers, why is it not feasible for us to determine with reasonable accuracy the essence of our own eventual fate? This is the question I shall examine in this discourse: Can we predict, from the information at hand, the destiny of man as a civilized species?

I have made a diligent effort to conduct my reason and approach my conclusions through a progression of coherent postulates. To those who presume my motive is to demonstrate the method that everyone should follow in order to promote an understanding of his relationship to the environment, you may be sure it is my intention here to show only the manner in which I have endeavored to satisfy my own need to know—to satiate that craving for "meaning" that lies within us all. To those who do not understand the liberation of compassion and attack my frankness as radical (without realizing that the original meaning of the term radical is thorough), I request only the privilege of being cast as a "humanistic radical," i.e., one who questions all idolatrous thinking and is not afraid of arriving at insights that may sound absurd (16). To those who are bent on demurring the credibility of the premises set forth, I would suggest that you neither look for nor demand a more rigorous logic, because any trifling inaccuracies are not material to the principal conclusions—it is the omnium gatherum that matters. And to those who do not recognize the pertinence of the diversified subject matter that is incorporated into this endeavor, I would admonish you to pursue the reference material.

 

MENTAL LIMITATIONS

In proceeding, you may wonder why convictions that are founded on information that is readily available to the educated majority are not more widely accepted, and why those few individuals who actually comprehend the significance of the conclusions do not use the concerted influence of their professions to elicit radical changes in human behavior. Objectivity is difficult because the examination of rigorous data on the sensitive topic of human destiny induces oscillations between mental states of exhilarating disillusionment on the one hand and discouraging apprehension on the other. But these natural reactions are not in themselves the basic reasons why others do not confront the evidence: The natural insights that follow are not common to all men because there is an intrinsic quality of the human psyche that suppresses information that challenges the cultural indoctrination of civilized society, particularly any knowledge that tends to disturb the anthropocentric delusions of the human consciousness. In this regard, despite the uniqueness of man's intelligence, there are limitations to his mental faculties (17), limitations that prevent (or, perhaps, protect) him from evaluating the calculable destiny of the human species. The inference is, in essence, a Freudian denial of genuine human rationality.

Three examples of these mental limitations are apropos to this discourse:

(1) The tendency of men to believe exclusively what men want to believe

In any effort to dispose of the environmental dilemma, the greatest obstacle confronting mankind is the natural propensity for men to believe only what men want to believe (just as you will do with the conclusions in this discourse in which I have given my own preferential judgments). The simplicity of this proposal should not be allowed to detract from its importance. What men believe generally determines what men do, and since no two men think identically, it may be impossible to attain the mutuality that is essential for meaningful action on environmental issues.

Most pertinent to this treatise is the image that man harbors regarding his own position in the natural order of the cosmos. Diversity of opinion on this matter is the consequence of variable measures of reason and faith, depending on individual confidence in proofs, probabilities, and miracles (18). Although an exceptional being (like Einstein) may consider man as a prosaic "part of the whole," the multitude chose to believe that the human species has extraordinary features that place him above the rest of creation.

The source of this preeminence attitude is an "arrogant conception of man, and above all, of the human consciousness, as wholly unique" (19). Man has become a creature "so fascinating to himself" he has blessed himself with "special creation" (20), believing that he has emerged in the image of God as a "master species" (21, 22). Confident that he, exclusively, is divine (23), man assumes his potential to be like a blank sheet of paper "on which anything can be written" (24). He even goes so far as to believe that the human consciousness is "an entity distinct from, and potentially independent of, the rest of Nature" (19), and he supposes that "nature has no reason for existence save to serve man" (25), alleging that nature can be humanized to almost any extent, without jeopardizing his own existence (26, 27, 28).

Inversely, and more relevant to this discourse, man does not believe any truths that he does not want to believe (29). There is, seemingly, an instinctive predisposition "to hesitate to believe facts which he finds unpleasant" (30). This predilection to discredit any knowledge that might alter the egocentric image of Homo sapiens is illustrated by at least three notable incidents in scientific history:

(a) Nongeocentric cosmology. In about 250 B.C. the Pythagorean cosmologist, Aristarchus of Samos, perceived the daily rotation of the Earth and its annual circuit around the Sun, and thereby disclosed that the Universe does not revolve around the Earth (31). This revolutionary knowledge was ignored for almost 2000 years until Copernicus and Galileo corroborated the evidence (32). But, today, despite Aristarchus, Copernicus, and Galileo, man still seems to adhere to the beatae memoriae that all the cosmos rotates around the relatively incidental globe that man occupies (33). Although he occasionally acknowledges that Homo sapiens does not reside at the center of the Universe, this admission is obscured by the self-proclamation that contemporary man is the natural heir of the Earth.

(b) Organic evolution. In more recent times, Lyell, Darwin, and Wallace accumulated substantial geological and biological data on the evolutionary development of living systems (34). However, men have ignored, ridiculed, and maligned their meticulous efforts in order to deter a candid interpretation of the evidence that Homo sapiens is "a cousin of the ape, the sea urchin, and [even] the oak" (35). Despite this perceptible information, man still does not, in his "heart," consider himself to be an ordinary constituent of biological evolution. In fact, instead of dispelling the illusion of human supremacy, as the theory of evolution first seemed to discharge, man has compensated his emotions by positioning himself at the pinnacle of the evolutionary process (36).

(c) Biogenesis. Within the present century, enlightening clues have accumulated on the question of the origin of life (37, 38). In 1923, Oparin speculated, from his knowledge of the evolution of stars, planets and atmospheric gases, that life originated from inert, inorganic gases. His hypothesis was supported subsequently by laboratory experiments conducted by Miller and Urey. And yet, despite this illustrious discernment of biogenesis, man remains confident that life, and particularly human life, is something more than the inorganic atoms of which it is composed. He continues to believe that all life past and present is the creation of nothing less than an instantaneous "divine function," i.e., a miracle, requiring the bringing into existence of both matter and energy from what was previously a void. Yet, this miraculous phenomenon, if it did occur, is incongruous with the First Law of Thermodynamics.

Over the years, even the professional cosmologists, geologists, and biologists have been dubious about these novel concepts of non-geocentric cosmology, organic evolution, and biogenesis. Their procrastination has been due, in part, to (i) the inertia of earlier scientific theory, (ii) the vegetation of prevailing dogma on special creation (34), and (iii) the dread of unveiling an onslaught of unwelcome truths that might insult man's anthropocentric view.

The conclusion is that "man in his egocentric way is interested in himself above all else" (39). "No culture has been able to completely screen out the egocentric tendencies of human beings" (40), and probably none ever will. It would be encouraging to anticipate that man might at least strive to achieve freedom from the delusions kindled by his personal desires, but the admission that fanciful thinking is a basic part of human nature does not in itself insinuate that the anthropocentric disposition will change significantly in the future. Surely men will continue to experience delight from their efforts to captivate nature's creatures in zoos and to humanize those creatures in circuses. And, surely, men shall continue to develop nostalgia over their success in training young people to believe that reindeer fly, rabbits lay eggs, and fairies buy baby teeth. And so it is that men will continue to believe whatever men want to believe(92).

(2) The tendency of men to become superfluously preoccupied.

According to Marx (41), "if most scientists and engineers seem not to be listening, much less acting, it is because these highly skilled men are so busy doing what every good American is supposed to do"—and that is, engrossing themselves in the "astonishing dynamism" that has become a salient feature of commercialized societies. Rousseau was cognizant of this compulsion when he observed that "civilized man... is always moving, sweating, toiling, and racking his brains to find still more laborious occupations" (42). It is no wonder that the commotion oftentimes causes individual frustrations—"not so much that the pace is fast, but that it is somebody else's pace" (43).

Ostensibly, "man alone always seeks to increase his contacts" (44), almost as if deliberately to evade a quiescence that would allow him to foresee the destiny of his social "treadmill". As to be expected, the fervor entails frequent encounters with mental overload, a turmoil to which man eventually adapts by learning to impulsively disregard those events and individuals that cannot be instantly identified as advantageous to his own immediate utilitarian interests (45). Consequently, man's "future serious realities [become] lost in the noise of [these] immediacies," and diversionary action seems unattainable without the development of a full-blown crisis situation (46).

Meanwhile, the leaders of contemporary pluralistic commonwealths remain preoccupied with an expanding economy and with social justice, in anticipation of production increases and social "progress" prior to the next election (47, 48). Consequently, the potentially calamitous problems remain neglected, as the specialists in problem-solving undertake less critical problems for which they can find facile technical and political solutions (if monetary support is available) (49).

But this kind of self-serving action does not solve anything—not in the long-run. Technical and political decisions that provide instantaneous relief of cultural pressures usually degrade the social system in the long-run (50). Although it is imperative that contemporary man comes to understand this axiomatic disclosure, it would be delusional to hope against hope that he might tergiversate the customary preoccupations of civilized culture.

Surely, humans will continue to applaud grown men who accomplish nothing while kicking a piece of skin from a dead pig around an open field. As Thoreau poetized, "the surface of the earth is soft and impressible by the feet of men; and so with the paths which the mind travels. How worn and dusty, then must be the highways of the world, how deep the ruts of tradition and conformity!" (51). So, men can be expected to continue to dissipate their energies on meaningless and ephemeral vestiges.

(3) The tendency of men to contemplate only myopic views.

The gravity of the environmental predicament is contingent upon the time perspective one considers (52). Population excess, resource depletion, and waste accumulation are inter-related conditions that have developed over an extensive period of time, and perception of their true direction requires broadmindedness. However, the human mind is not adapted to thinking in long-range terms. As Schweitzer once deplored, "man has lost the capacity to foresee and forestall" (53). Seemingly, "man has never seen very far ahead, and perhaps he never will" (54).

In recognizing the limitations of the human vista, I have become curious about the maximum possible extension of the human psyche. Does man have the capacity to comprehend the ultimate magnitude of time and space? What is the meaning of eternity and infinity? How does a mortal being commensurate these vague dimensions that have tantalized the human consciousness for millennia? Would not their comprehension require an omniscient position in the Universe?

The subjects of eternity and infinity are worthy of a digression, because man has arrived at a pass in the evolution of civilization where it has become essential for him to acquire an appreciation of the natural order of time and space (55). An assessment of the extent of these qualities brings about a respect for the vastness of the Universe, in its immeasurable greatness—a greatness that possesses all men with silent wonder (56) during reflective moments (57). Two thousand years ago Lucretius (58) epitomized this awesome sensation:

".... the universe is not bounded in any direction. If it were, it would necessarily have a limit somewhere. But clearly a thing cannot have a limit unless there is something outside to limit it, so that the eye can follow it up to a certain point but not beyond. Since you must admit that there is nothing outside the universe, it can have no limit and is accordingly without end or measure".

This ancient concept of a Universe, existing for eternity with no limits to its dimensions, is in accord with the "new cosmology" of Hoyle, Bondi, and Gold (59, 60, 61) in which they theorize an infinite Universe in a steady state of continuous creation—a proposition that requires the perpetual bringing into being of new primordial matter **. (FOOTNOTE: ** The theory of continuous creation would be more palatable if it included a logical explanation of the source of the primordial matter. For example, perhaps it could be established (and possibly it has been) that the interstellar "stuff" from which new stars are being continuously formed is not created from nothing, but instead arises de nova via coalescence (i) of electromagnetic radiation emitted from intense bodies elsewhere in the Universe, (ii) of debris from supernova, and (iii) of randomly distributed gases in intergalactic space. This possibility is supported by the suggestion that radiant energy in the Universe accumulates in interstellar clouds of hydrogen gas that eventually fuse into protostars through the force of gravitational collapse (62). The implication is a reciprocating transformation of mass and energy in the Universe. That is to say, stellar masses might radiate energy that coalesces into clouds of hydrogen gas that undergo gravitational collapse into protostars.)  This proposition is obviously contrary to the prevalent notions that the Universe was created in one "big bang" at some finite interval of time in the distant past and is now undergoing an evolutionary expansion.**  (FOOTNOTE: ** The theory of an expanding Universe is primarily based on the observation of the "red shift" by Hubble. However, it is possible to contrive an interpretation of the red-shift phenomenon that is manifestly different from the Doppler effect: Since intergalactic space is not a perfect vacuum, the electromagnetic waves traversing this "vacuity" should, seemingly, from a laymen's view, lose energy (i.e., decrease in wavelength) because of very slight (but significant) interspacial "friction." The more distant the origin of the light source from the Earth, the greater would be the red shift. In other words, the red shift may not be caused by the recession velocity of the intense body from which the light originated, but, instead, be due to an intrinsic loss of energy during transmission to the Earth.) Undeniably, there is evidence that the cataclysmic event, which initiated the course of evolution of the existent Universe, occurred in an undetermined region of the cosmos approximately 17.7 billion years ago (63). But, this information does not necessarily mean that the generative material did not exist in an unqualified form prior to the "big bang.")

Cosmologists may never resolve this controversy over whether the Universe endures in a steady state, or whether it is evolving. Both explanations appear to violate the thermodynamic laws that are so fundamental to the major scientific endeavors of human society. The "big bang" theory breaks the First Law of Thermodynamics, which promulgates that matter can be neither created nor destroyed; whereas the "steady state" theory is inconsistent with the increasing entropy aspect of the Second Law of Thermodynamics. Granted, some progress has been made toward understanding the mechanics of the visible Universe; nevertheless, knowledge on the true origin and extent of the cosmos remains essentially as it was two thousand years ago in the Lucretian era. As Einstein once expressed, "possibly we shall know a little more than we do now. But, the real nature of things, that we shall never know, never" (64).

I thus conclude that the meaning of eternity and infinity are beyond the limited consciousness of mortal beings. To uncover the extent of these dimensions would require the discovery of God. Yet, who can honestly confess that he truly knows, or speaks with, God? Men only assume these associations, because they are convinced there must be some meaning to it all.

Personally, I am inclined to believe that the cosmos is both eternal and infinite. This explicit opinion is not a consequence of the eloquence with which Lucretius, Hoyle, and colleagues have presented their reasoning. Nor is my position based on the evidence that galaxies in the observable Universe can be arranged in a chronological sequence, progressing from very young ones (formed from recently "created" intergalactic matter) to vary old ones (65), but because of one notable circumstance—the concept of infinity is a functional item in the universal science of mathematics. This sole clue has influenced me to trust that there is no limit to the cosmos, in all of its grandeur. To maintain, on the contrary, that there is an edge to the Universe is only to confess that man does not know what is beyond the range of his radio telescopes and mathematical theorems. Furthermore, even if cosmologists should succeed in proving the visible Universe to be finite, then they will, in that event, merely expose an infinite number of Universes within an unlimited cosmos, or perhaps, "a cycle of universes" (66), or some other phenomenon that may be inconceivable to the human mind.

The digression on these intangible abstractions is relevant, because it implicates man as a relatively minuscule entity on an incidental globe in the vast Universe; and, thereby, it bestows an appropriate humility from which to examine his relationship to the Earth. The awe that one can experience from a vain attempt to comprehend the ramifications of this deduction was most expressly presented by Pascal (67):

"When I consider the short duration of my life, swallowed up in the eternity before and after, the little space which I fill, and even can see, engulfed in the infinite immensity of spaces of which I am ignorant and which know me not, I am frightened, and am astonished at being here rather than there; for there is no reason why here rather than there, why now rather than then... the eternal silence of these infinite spaces frightens me."

 

STELLAR EVOLUTION

Regardless of whether the Universe has existed forever, or whether it is the result of a cataclysmic miracle that occurred under unique thermonuclear conditions, it is now apparent that at least the solar system (in which human life developed) came into existence during a finite epoch in the past. According to the accessible information (of which there is considerable), about five billion years ago the Sun first began to materialize as a relatively small cloud of interstellar gas on the verge of gravitational collapse near the central plane of the Milky Way (65). As this stellar gas began contracting, physical principles required it to begin revolving faster and faster; and, in the process, the central portion that was to become the Sun accumulated excessive energy in the form of angular motion. Some of this rotational kinetic energy escaped (i.e., separated) from the central cloud of gas to form the dusty shells that subsequently broke up into the planets (65, 68).

In the limited duration of individual human experience, the extant solar system appears to change very little. However, at long range, the picture is quite different—stellar systems are not only born, but once formed, they continuously evolve (65, 68, 69). The Sun itself has changed significantly since its origin. In the beginning it consisted primarily of hydrogen, the element that has served as its incessant source of atomic fuel (65, 68). Intensive proton interaction in this hydrogen mass has resulted in a continuous emission of nuclear energy in the form of sunlight to the rest of the solar system and beyond (68).

These thermonuclear reactions are gradually depleting the basic fuel, the hydrogen; and, consequently, the Sun is losing mass. Eventually, as the core of hydrogen approaches exhaustion, an accumulation of helium will initiate a different kind of nuclear reaction, causing the solar material to expand (68). The radius of the Sun will grow larger and larger, and its luminosity will be greater because of the enormous increase in its surface area. At this stage of its evolution, the Sun will become a "red giant," just like Betelgeuse, Scheat, Ras Algethi (70) and other bright red stars among the "blessed candles of the night" (71).

This spectacular change in the Sun will transpire some five billion years from now. Scientific theory predicts that it will grow to some 250 times its present diameter of 850,00 miles, engulfing Mercury, Venus, and probably the Earth in the process (72, 73, 74). "Nothing that we or the planets can do will rescue us from its ultimate fiery embrace" (75). "The oceans of the earth will boil. Life as we know it will end on the earth" (76).

After a short duration in this bloated condition, the Sun will begin contracting back down toward its original size. But, it will not stop here. The Sun will shrink more, to a mere one-hundredth of its initial diameter, i.e., to roughly the present size of the Earth (77). By this stage of its evolution, the Sun will have transformed into what is referred to as a "white dwarf," and all that will remain is for it to collapse into the final dead state of a "black dwarf" (77).

This ultimate fate of the Sun is as certain as the sundown of the present day. Although the solar terminus may seem remote, it is predictable, and there is no apparent recourse for modifying the schedule. An "entropic doom" appears inevitable (78)—an inevitability that is confirmed by the Second Law of Thermodynamics, itself. As the solar core of hydrogen is steadily degraded by the intense nuclear reactions in this central mass, and as its kinetic energy is irreversibly radiated into the vast cosmos, entropy must increase; and, therefore, the solar system must eventually run down. Thus, it appears "entropy is time's arrow" (79), at least within the limits of solar time, and thermodynamic principles do not permit any alterations in the trajectory of that fateful missile.

If this is true, if the geophysical environment is indeed being modified by a natural process that will not allow life to endure for more than "an instant in the ongoing evolution of our solar system" (80), then the Earth should concomitantly be changing—and, it is. Within the duration of an individual human life, this change is negligible; but, nevertheless, it is occurring in a gradual, yet detectable, form:

(a) Astronomical evidence. Celestial mechanics has revealed that the daily rotation of the Earth is in the process of slowing down.** (FOOTNOTE: **As pointed out by Kopal (81), "the reasons for this gradual change in the length of the day...are connected with a tendency for the Moon to slow down the axial rotation of our planet through tidal friction. The momentum thus lost to the Earth is transferred to that of the lunar orbit around the Earth." And, this lunar orbit is increasing by a distance of ten centimeters with each new moon (82)). Each new day is longer than the previous by two hundred millionths of a second (82).** (FOOTNOTE: **By using the current rate of two hundred millionths of a second, if one extrapolates back one million years it appears that each day then was no more than four hours long; or by extrapolating forward, one finds it would take slightly over fifty million years before the day will be forty-seven times its present length of twenty-four hours. But, the Earth is much older than one million years, and physicists estimate that it will take much longer than fifty million years (approximately one thousand times longer) to reach a day length that is forty-seven times the present 24-hour day (assuming the Earth were to miraculously survive the "red giant"). These discrepancies can be accounted for by recognizing that the Earth's crust expands, and the change in mass distribution causes its rotation to periodically decelerate at a rate that is greater than the average value. Furthermore, the changing day length is a non-linear function that is influenced by variables such as ocean mass and by the distance between the Earth and the Moon.)  It is estimated that, eventually, the duration of a single day on the Earth will be about forty-seven times its present length of twenty-four hours (83, 84, 85). How different the Earth will be then!

(b) Geological evidence. An accumulation of geophysical data in recent years had disclosed that the morphology of the Earth is also changing. Proof of this change is embedded in the massive process of continental drift (86). The more discernible manifestations of this gradual transfiguration of the Earth include earthquakes, volcanoes, mountain building, glaciation, and regional extensions of land and water.

(c) Biological evidence. The phenomenon of life is probably the most conspicuous form of evidence that the physical properties of the Earth have changed over the millennia. This biogenic event did not (in fact, could not) transpire during the epoch following the Earth's initial separation form the Sun. At least three billion years had to elapse before a sufficient amount of the primeval hydrogen in this solar satellite was transformed into the more complex elements, that were capable of bonding into the organic molecules essential for life. It was during this phase of stellar evolution that the stage was set for the eventual development of the more complex living systems, including man; and, therefore, I shall elaborate on events that occurred during that vital era.

According to Oparin's hypothesis, the synthesis of organic matter should have been a very natural phenomenon once terrestrial evolution produced certain environmental conditions that could energize organic bonding (87). However, his remarkable hypothesis lacked corroboration until 1953, when a graduate student** deliberately placed the appropriate gases into a simple laboratory apparatus that simulated the primitive atmospheric conditions that were thought to exist on the Earth approximately two billion years ago. This rewarding experiment yielded an abundance of complex organic molecules that are known to serve as basic components in living systems (37, 38).** (FOOTNOTE: ** The student was Stanley Miller, who tested Oparin's hypothesis while working in the laboratory of Nobel Laureate Harold Urey. Miller placed the estimated proportions of hydrogen, methane, and ammonium into a reflux system, and added water, which could be boiled and refluxed throughout the system in a manner that allowed all the gases to flow past an electrical arc. The electric arc was a substitute for the electrical storms that are considered to be the likely source of energy for the synthesis of primordial organic molecules on primitive Earth. After refluxing the sterilized system for about fifteen hours, Miller found a wide variety of organic compounds in his experimental chamber. Most significant was his discovery that one-quarter of this aggregated carbon was in the form of either alanine or glycine. Although these organic compounds represent the two simplest amino acids, they are essential as building blocks for the proteins of life (37, 38).)

So, after this one simple, but elegant, experiment, it appears that, if any region of the Universe happens to possess these special environmental conditions, the synthesis of organic molecules is inevitable, and "life must occur" (87). This conjecture implies that life might be a common occurrence in the Universe, a possibility that is supported by recent studies on the absorption spectra of distant stars that have revealed at least thirty different biotic molecules, ranging from ammonium to methanol (88).

For those who have meditated on the details of this knowledge, and who are not inhibited by the coercive doctrines of mythological religions, the origin of life on Earth is now considered to have been the result of "a set of many, but natural and inevitable, molecular reactions" (87). Lucretius was right! "The races of mortal creatures were not let down into the fields from heaven by a golden cord,...but [were] born of the same earth that now provides their nurture" (89).

"As atoms combined to form molecules, and as molecules combined to form still more complex molecules, new properties [were] acquired at each step along the way"—special properties—ones that did not exist before and that were greater than the aggregate of properties of the individual elements (90). It is not possible to pinpoint the stage in this progression when the more complex molecules became integrated living systems: It has been proposed that within these haphazard organic combinations there occurred certain molecular arrangements that tended to facilitate sequential catalytic reactions (91). If this actually was the case, it is tempting to conceive of "life" as having first appeared at the instant when a group of organic molecules, by random interaction, formed a unified system with the ability to sustain a series of catalytic reactions for some indefinite, but significant, period of time. In other words, the first living system was probably an open system with the intrinsic ability to maintain an energy flux, i.e., the intrinsic capacity to "metabolize".** (FOOTNOTE: ** It has been suggested that a living system is unique because it consists of a microcosm of neg-entropy, possessing higher order, greater complexity and less randomness than the inanimate world from which it originated (92, 93). However, life originated as an exothermic phenomenon, involving a series of catalytic reactions that must have been associated with an increase in entropy, rather than a decrease. Admittedly, living systems are characterized by a specific organization, but this structure must be constantly maintained, at a high cost of energy. The vital metabolism that maintains this integrity requires a continuous input of high-grade energy from the environment and results in significant thermal discharge from living organisms. Thus, if the heat that is released by the metabolic processes is included in the thermodynamic considerations, the net effect is an acceleration of entropy by these "organized warm bodies"—or, "organized entropy".) Subsequently, the more stable systems acquired a unique molecular configuration that allowed them to utilize a fraction of this energy flux strictly for maintenance of their own "vital" organization (94). (In the complex forms of life today this property includes the ability to maintain a steady state within the internal environment of the organism.)

The appropriate conditions for the origin of life apparently did not last very long during the ongoing evolution of the physical Earth. And, as the generative capacity of the environment decreased, most of the catalytic reactions began to subside. Death was frequent as environmental pressures disrupted the flux of energy in the individual systems. When the molecular configuration, which provided the synergistic property of life, was disturbed to a critical threshold of disorganization, then the "metabolic momentum" of the system was lost, the flux stopped, there was no longer catabolic "friction," heat ceased to be radiated, and the vital molecules (which were active only a moment earlier) became non-biotic.

Under the circumstances, the primordial biosphere would not have persisted except for the fact that a small fraction of the first living systems possessed the ability to replicate themselves. Some forms of pre-cellular life must have consisted of special nucleotide sequences that could rapidly reproduce themselves within the massive organic "broth" that existed on primitive Earth. This theory is supported by recent laboratory studies that have shown that specific RNA molecules are capable of auto-catalytically replicating one trillion copies in twenty minutes in a test tube (95). Similar molecules were presumably abundant in the environment of the Earth two billion years ago.

 

ORGANIC EVOLUTION

As the Earth proceeded along its prescribed evolutionary path, new environmental forces developed which were more detrimental to the integrity of living systems than the initial pressures under which primitive life first arose. Therefore, if the bios were to persist under these conditions, it could not remain static in nature. Life had to respond with motion and change because the physical environment in which it existed was changing. This evolutionary requirement was met by the fact that primordial nucleotides possessed the intrinsic capacity to mutate randomly during replication, and this property allowed diversity to arise during the course of the copying process, and eventually led to more complex nucleic acids that were better qualified to cope with the changing environmental pressures.

The desultory manner in which nucleotides transmute suggests that the continuance of life over the past two billion years has been the result of a chain of rather incidental circumstances. In the orderless process of mutations, the newly evolved biotic systems happened to survive only if their mutant quality allowed them to take advantage (albeit passively) of those opportunities offered by the environment.**  (FOOTNOTE: ** On this basis man exists today because the natural environment was appropriate for his evolution, and for no other reason.)  This means that life on Earth has not been "self-generating and self-sufficient," but instead, "has been totally shaped by, and is still largely dependent upon, the terrestrial environment in which it has evolved" (80).

By integrating the above information it is evident that organic evolution has been, from the beginning, but a part of stellar evolution and therefore, is based on the evolution of the cosmos, which represents "the time pattern of change of all matter and energy" (96). Assuredly, "the whole evolutionary process, both cosmic and organic, is one" (97, 98); and, if living systems are to endure as the solar system ages, they must adapt by developing attributes which are more congruous with the new environmental forces that arise as the physical environment of the Earth changes. Any species of organism that does not successfully conform to the physical evolution of the terrestrial environment will disintegrate. Within this process of elimination, the unsuitable "organisms are replaced sooner or later by better adapted, newly evolved forms: (90). This is a basic condition within the familiar precept of natural selection; the procedure whereby Nature ‘inanimates’ those species which no longer evolve, while permitting the survival of those organisms that are more fit to cope with the stresses of the natural environment (100).

So, men are now aware that species have continually replaced one another, even though only a small fraction of those that have been eliminated are actually recorded in fossil remains. Yet, the process of fossilization itself is proof enough that "species cannot be immortal, but must perish, one after the other, like the individuals which compose them" (101). Although the length of existence of a particular living species may be more difficult to predict than the life span of the individual members of that species (a life span which is written in the genetic code), still the very prospect of species extinction begins with birth. "Although some species like the horseshoe crab have remained relatively unchanged for hundreds of millions of years, the [successful] extinct reptiles included a number of the most advanced, complex, specialized creatures that the world has ever seen" (103).

From the available evidence, it appears that "natural selection [operating throughout starvation, disease, and death] so often leads to extinction rather than to perfection" (104). The fossil remnants indicate that all the extinct species, which inhabited the Earth at some time during its long geologic history, vanished from the organic scene in either of two basic ways: (i) either by dying out altogether (upon arriving at an evolutionary dead-end), or (ii) by gradually evolving into another species ( a process called speciation) (105). In either circumstance, a species that existed at one time disappears from the bios. It must therefore be concluded that extinction is a natural episode within the continuous process of organic evolution, an episode from which no species is immune (99). "Extinction—relatively rapid in the time scale of evolution—is the rule" (106). Thus, "evolution is not predestined to promote always the good and the beautiful" in the eyes of man (107).

But, what about man? Is the species Homo sapiens in conformity with the dynamic pattern of organic evolution? A number of respected evolutionists doubt that humans are evolving today (108, 109). They believe that natural selection is essentially at a standstill, or at least is not operating in the normal way, so far as the adaptation of human beings to the natural environment (110, 111, 112). This stagnation, if it is veritable, may be crucial to the long range durability of mankind, because there is reason to believe that any species, if it is to survive to its maximum evolutionary potential, must be recurrently subjected to the process of natural selection.

If there is indeed a natural law that demands that all species evolve, or else be forced to extinction, then the great question becomes one of whether man is a part of material Nature, or above it (113). Certainly man is unique in his own way, but this does not mean that he is any "more unique than any other species that is a sole survivor of a genus and a family" (114). In fact, human beings are no more highly evolved than most other groups of present day mammals (115). Furthermore, mammals as a whole cannot justifiably be considered as more advanced than cephalopods or insects, in terms of success in a natural environment. Any notions to the contrary have resulted from the inescapable fact that it is man who has arranged all organisms in an evolutionary hierarchy. It is the human viewpoint that has placed mankind "at the summit of all creation," and we make our comparisons on this basis (115).

Now I must ask (as Hume [18] surely would have), which possibility is more extraordinary, that man is truly special, or that man only thinks he is special? And, if you master the "relative sense" in responding to this question, you will find that man is "neither better nor worse than any other living thing" (116). To think otherwise is to harbor an illusion of the human consciousness. There is absolutely no tangible evidence to support the cherished sentiment that man is above material Nature. "Man is wholly and ineluctably embedded in the tissue of natural process" (117).

To comprehend the extent to which Nature possesses him, man need only realize his implicit dependence upon the simple chloroplast. In order for animal life to exist, there was (and still is) the indubitable prerequisite of photosynthesis, the phenomenon by which plants absorb carbon dioxide (the principal animal waste), discharge oxygen (so vital to animal metabolism), and within the very same operation utilize a fraction of the Sun's energy to transform light into nutriment for all other forms of life, including man (118). McHarg (119) has vividly expressed this dependency of the bios on the plant kingdom's ability to capture fragments of the Sun's rays before they re-radiate from the Earth into the vast Universe:

"All life now, the residue of all life past, the transformations of all life in all time all creatures and all men are based upon the chloroplast, turned to the sun, arresting and ordering its energy as it passes to disorder....[And so,] at least in thermodynamic terms, the world consist[s] of a working partnership between the sun and the leaf as man look[s] on—irrelevant, smiling benignly upon the scene, secure in the illusion of his primacy."

What else needs be said to confirm that human life is no more or less than Nature itself, that man is forever tied to "the physical processes and biological cycles from which all life slowly emerged through millions of years of evolution" (120). What more knowledge must flow from the Pierian Spring to convince man that all life is a product of the evolution of inorganic nature, and that he himself is a product of the evolution of life. Homo sapiens is "nothing more or less than the result of natural selection in nature" (121), a natural process which ultimately demands natural extinction.

The very fact that humans are mortal beings should be sufficient evidence that man is exposed to the same basic laws of Nature as are the other members of the animal kingdom. Furthermore, it may be intensely relevant that the archaeological records have revealed at least four subspecies of Homo sapiens that have become extinct in the recent past, i.e., Solo, Rhodesian, Neanderthal, and Cro-Magnon man (122).

"The same [general] principles that have governed natural processes in the past will continue to affect man just as they always have" (39). At some time in the future even twentieth-century man must be submitted once again to the miseries of natural selection--that "system of checks and balances" by which organic evolution operates (123). Technology cannot indefinitely prevent "the necessity of disease and death" (124) and the "hard conditions of life"(125). How much longer man will survive before he reaches a similar dead-end (or undergoes speciation) is uncertain; however, based on the duration of other subspecies of sapiens, present-day man may be discarded from the evolutionary scene within no more than a few millennia.

 

CULTURAL EVOLUTION

Yet, despite the evidence, there are still those who believe that the human species has been blessed with a status equivalent to "the lord of creation" (126), that man is the most unique and most successful product of biological evolution (127), and that this uniqueness will allow man to abide endlessly as a biological success. This arrogant claim is primarily based on the highly specialized development and function of the human brain (128), (129). (Even Wallace ascribed supernatural powers to the brain—a conjuration that Darwin considered undeserved [103]). As the human nervous system became more cerebral, and as intellectual patterns developed more consistency, the constellation was right for a momentous transition to take place in human evolution--and that colossal change was, in a word, culture (131, 132).

But what is culture? This vague concept has been defined in so many different ways (133, 134, 135, 136). In fact, there has even been an effort to describe this societal phenomenon in terms of the Second Law of Thermodynamics (137). However, more often the various definitions imply that culture is the body of learned information that humans pass non-genetically from generation to generation. Yet, in having been characterized so diversely, it would seem that culture must be many things; or, perhaps, the inconsistencies in its definition indicate that culture has never been properly explained. It is this latter probability that I shall pursue in the following fascicle.

Although human culture, with its brain-hand-eye correlation, germinated from a biological entity,**  (FOOTNOTE: ** According to Ehrlich, Ehrlich, and Holdren (138), "During man's evolutionary history, the possession of culture has been responsible for a great increase in human brain size. Early men added to the store of cultural information, developing and learning techniques of social organization and group and individual survival. This gave an evolutionary advantage to individuals with the large brain capacity necessary to take full advantage of the culture. Larger brains in turn increased the potential store of cultural information, and a self-reinforcing coupling of the growth of culture and brain size resulted.") it has gradually acquired independent characteristics of its own (139, 140). There is little doubt that, in man, cultural evolution (i.e., the progression of knowledge) has displaced biological evolution and now represents the leading edge of human development (108).

Mankind experienced fateful advances towards modern culture approximately ten millennia ago when he (i) learned a language that permitted him to articulate the information he perceived with regard to the natural environment, (ii) constructed tools that allowed him to manipulate the environment for his own comfort, and (iii) developed agricultural techniques that provided him with a surplus of food and the leisure to espy still more about the behavior of his environment (139, 141). Since these earliest times, man has progressively shaped the physical environment for his own purpose. As more and more knowledge has accumulated, hunting and gathering have been sequentially replaced by herding, agriculture, industrialization, and now by the intensified technological complexity of the electronic age (142).

Humanity has gained this "enhanced" position among the living creatures of the world through the ability of a few of its more discerning minds to perceive a few of the regularities of Nature. Little by little as fallow information began to accumulate within human culture the more sagacious members of society discovered how to cultivate this virgin knowledge for their own utilitarian interests. Most significantly, social men learned to anticipate circumstances within their immediate environs that might result in a painful experience; and, therefore, quite innocently and intuitively the human animal began to escape the discomforts of the evolutionary process. As each new generation has been enlightened with additional utilitarian methodology, man has increased his effort to adapt the environment to himself; and thus, it appears that culture has served to reduce the necessity for humans to adapt to the natural environment (140, 143, 144, 145).

Thus, with the development and expansion of culture, people learned that the miseries of natural selection were unnecessary, that men could reduce famine and disease, and human mentality could forestall human mortality (108, 146, 147, 148). This insight is extremely (if such a superlative is ever really applicable) significant, because it reveals that as culture has progressively developed to its present technological state man appears to have made natural selection obsolete, or at least to have reduced it to a vestigial influence on a few surviving savages (149, 150). Herein lies the foundation for a more universal definition of culture. Why has it been so recondite? Culture is that accumulation of educational information, that men transmit exosomatically from generation to generation, in their effort to avoid the miseries of natural selection**.  (FOOTNOTE: ** Although the physiological and anatomical potential for the development of culture is hereditary, according to the definition of culture herein postulated, culture itself could never become inherent (instinctive) because it is diametrically opposed to the essential process of natural selection (136, 151).)

This being the case, it seems that mankind must now consider the question of whether to continue his effort to perfect human civilization. In any future deliberations on this matter, it is imperative to notice that the definition does not assert that culture has succeeded in conquering Nature, or that Homo sapiens can evade natural selection indefinitely. To the contrary, humanity is now confronted with increasing evidence that each additional advancement in cultural evolution has resulted in greater and greater disruptions of the environment (142). Therefore, the declaration of human dominion over Nature is apparently nothing more than a transitory illusion, engendered by man's self-induced remoteness from the real world (152).

It is now obvious that the very technology that man has utilized to insulate himself from the natural evolutionary process has caused extensive deterioration, not only in the state of Nature, but also within the micro-environment he has fabricated (152, 153). Furthermore, in the impulsive efforts to secure himself from the pollution and other hazards he has created, man is responding by mechanically isolating himself still further from Nature. He does not seem to realize that with each turn of this vicious cycle the human species becomes more removed from the natural world (152, 154, 155). His automation is progressively secluding him in an artificial micro-environment—one that is, in many respects, comparable to the hospital incubator that allows a fragile, premature infant to avoid natural selection. By constructing this unnatural world, human culture has succeeded in reducing selection pressures to a significant (albeit limited) extent. By this action, in the name of "humanity," civilization protects and preserves the weaker and less well-endowed members of society (110, 156), in an artificial environment where defective genes, despite their negative phenotypic expression, fail to impede reproduction (146, 157). Consequently, in the absence of the checks and balances of natural selection, the population of civilized man has grown out of proportion.

If mankind intends to decipher its future it must first come to realize that cultural activity has served to impair the physiological evolution of humans, and therefore has lead the species one step further along the road to oblivion (148). As Rousseau (158) recognized more than two hundred years ago, "[cultural] improvements have been so many steps, in appearance towards the perfection of individuals, but in fact towards the decrepitness of the species." In effect, as Emerson (159) has stated, "civilized man has built a coach, but has lost the use of his feet. He is supported on crutches, but lacks so much support of muscle." Thus, the accumulative effect of culture has been to enfeeble mankind.

To the present day man has been effectual in obtaining the energy needed to create and maintain the extraordinarily complex civilization he has manufactured on the Earth. However, it now appears there may be limits to the carrying capacity of this man-made environment—limits that cannot be transcended for any reasonable duration (160). As man stresses the natural environment more and more he recruits every technological stratagem available to expand his artificial environment still further into life zones that cannot possibly be sustained adequately over an extended period of time (161).

Acute problems must eventually arise within any over-developed civilization as a consequence of the persistent impact of natural evolutionary pressures that will ultimately render the strained systems inoperative, regardless of how much additional manpower might be utilized in an attempt to preserve the human interest. In fact, no artificial (i.e., man-made) system has ever remained functional for very long without considerable human maintenance. And, it is because of this requirement that modern society is now consuming excessive amounts of energy in its effort to sustain the existing systems, especially those systems that are now beginning to evince symptoms of instability.

At this moment, the increasing demand for energy is forcing mankind to venture to the generation of nuclear power, unmindful of the fact that the Second Law of Thermodynamics imposes a limit on the efficiency with which technological society can produce additional power. Furthermore, the Second Law asserts that all power pollutes, not only at the production site, but also at the consumption terminal. In other words, this natural law condemns human culture if it aggravates the situation by generating more and more pollution with machinery that is devised to produce additional power to surmount the forces of Nature.

Nonetheless, with absurd enthusiasm, society proceeds pell-mell into the research and development of every conceivable source of energy, oblivious to the salient fact that it budgets the cost, as well as the ensuing pollution, to each future generation. As this investment becomes more and more expensive, the law of diminishing returns must eventually come into operation, and inevitably the descendants of man will arrive at a pass where a greater effort to shield themselves from environmental perils will fail to provide the necessary protection (162, and 163). At that juncture, agricultural and industrial expansion will slow down and eventually cease. In effect, human culture will have arrived at a limit to its capacity to avoid the pressures of natural selection (164). Shortly thereafter prosperity will dwindle and civilization will begin to decline. During the retrogression man "will be conditioned to accept the fact that he is nothing in himself, and even the epi-phenomena associated with consciousness and the delusions regarding choice and value will disappear" (165). There is no discernible alternative to this human destiny.

Why should this tragedy befall mankind? What conceivable transition could have occurred during the natural evolution of the human species that would now threaten the termination of civilized culture and possibly even the extinction of man himself? Some enlightenment on this question can be gained by examining the fossil records of earlier species that have flourished for short periods on the Earth and then perished. One discovers from this information that extinction has frequently been accompanied by over-specialization of some particular anatomical feature that temporarily provided the species with a distinct (but excessive) advantage in the constant struggle for survival. Usually, such "specialization is one of the first steps towards exploitation of [the] environment, but it is also a first step toward eventual extinction" (166), because "a highly specialized animal loses its ability to adapt to changing conditions" (103). Therefore, it now appears that as a species becomes overly dependent upon some highly specialized part of its anatomy, this excessive dependency is in itself evidence that an evolutionary dead-end may be imminent (131).

But, what component of the human animal is so overspecialized? Distinctly, it is the human brain (with its unique intellectual ability) that is the most specialized physiological system in the human body. It is the human brain that has provided man with the initiative to develop culture (128). It is also the human brain that has yielded the power to invent technology, which can disrupt the natural environment in catastrophic proportions. It is therefore the human brain that has created the potential for global self-destruction as a consequence of nuclear devastation, oceanic deterioration, irreversible atmospheric disturbance, or some other insurmountable environmental alteration that cannot be tolerated (167, 168). To be sure, it is human intelligence that has led to a world that is "triggered to wipe out hundreds of millions of people in a 3-hour duel!" (169). This fact by itself is substantial evidence to support the idea that the human brain may indeed be "far along on its road to...destructive specialization" (170).

Thus it seems that Nature, in evolving the human intellect, may have unintentionally created a kind of "juggernaut" (171), who is laboring under the false impression that the physical evolution of the Earth can be overpowered. However, this is an intellect that allows "reason without wisdom" (172). Perhaps even "primitive man was characterized by a genetic structure incorporating somewhat more wisdom and prudence than our own" (173). Be that as it may, I am inclined to somberly conclude that the excessive specialization of the human brain is already limiting the evolutionary potential of man, and that human intelligence, not human ignorance, will condemn mankind (174). Therefore, if there should be a next time, then, "next time, no brains" (175)

 

THE PRINCIPLES OF ENVIRONMENTAL DYNAMICS

The principal conclusions of this discourse can be summarized by formulating three aphorisms, namely, the Principles of Environmental Dynamics—as I have fallen into the habit of calling them:

PRINCIPAL I: Cosmic evolution, the evolution of the physical Universe, is based on entropy increase and is the time pattern of change of all matter and energy. Organic evolution is but a part of cosmic evolution, and if living species are to survive, they must continuously adapt to the physical evolution of the Earth.

PRINCIPAL II: Natural selection is the essential process by which organic life conforms to the evolution of the Earth. Any species which does not adapt to the changing environment is selected against and is eventually eliminated by extinction.

PRINCIPAL III: Culture is the phenomenon by which the species Homo sapiens avoids the miseries of natural selection. Therefore, culture prevents the human species from complying with the physical evolution of the Earth, and consequently culture will be the ultimate cause of human extinction. Thus, culture, with all of its utilitarian advantages, is nothing more than a self-eliminating aberration of organic evolution.

These Principles of Environmental Dynamics make it evident that the evolution of modern culture has not been a venerable progression toward the alleged "perfection" of the human species. Culture is not a divinely endowed crusade that is leading the way to a utopian society. Culture is not progress, but process—the process by which civilized man has temporarily evaded the afflictions of natural selection. But, eventually, in the ongoing evolution of the solar system, civilizations must be confronted with abysmal pressures that culture cannot commensurate. As Lucretius (58) said many years ago, "there is laid down for each thing a specific limit to its growth and its tenure of life, and the laws of nature ordain what each can do and what it cannot," and culture is no exception to this axiom. To believe otherwise is to foster a delusion of the human consciousness.

If this analysis of the destiny of culture is accurate (as the future will surely determine) then the fate of mankind is strange indeed, because it appears that no matter how deliberately human society might strive to avoid an apocalypse in the decades ahead, any such endeavor would merely represent still another expression of human culture and therefore would, in all probability, accelerate the process of self-elimination. Thus, although The Principles in no way resemble an "environmental monitoring system," they might nevertheless suffice as those "symbols of dis-assurance" that Crowe (176) has urged from the scientific community.

 

PART II

 

ON THE APPLICATION OF THE PRINCIPLES

 

INSIGHTS

Despite all the evidence, there has been a lingering hesitancy within me to accept the implications of The Principles of Environmental Dynamics. It is a reluctance which Hume (177) would have understood: the passions of distress and anxiety arising from the evidence of man's inevitable extinction, being a disagreeable emotion, evokes a sensible tendency to disbelieve those events from which the evidence is derived. Yet, rather than neglect The Principles, I have commenced to test their application, and have found them to be consistently helpful in understanding the current state of affairs of human civilization. It is this capability that has persuaded me to reconsider their axiomatic potential in an analysis of the destiny of human culture. In the following lines I have endeavored to impart some examples of the insights that I believe a consciousness of The Principles can render.

(1) Civilization extinction

No civilization has survived indefinitely (12, 178). All past cultures have either arrived at an evolutionary dead-end (somewhat like species extinction), or undergone such gross evolutionary transformations (somewhat like speciation) that they could no longer be identified with their past. Regardless of which of these two fates have ultimately occurred, every past civilization has perished after some finite interval of accomplishment and prosperity.

Thus, as with stellar systems and biological species, cultures are "born, mature, and die" (178). But, why must this be? Why has man been unable to perfect the social systems that he has created? The reason may be partly explained by the fact that, as a civilization matures, the human element becomes more and more essential for the endurance of the artificial systems that have been created; and although a generous number of the participating members may be salubrious to the society, human compassion simultaneously allows the lethargic members of civilized cultures to persist as interdependent components of the social systems to which they do not contribute. In fact, by its very definition, the more successful a culture is, the greater will be the survival rate of its weaker members. This being so, as the social systems of a particular culture become more and more complex (and more demanding) there is concomitantly an increase in disability, incompetence, and lassitude in the poorly endowed members, while frustration, disillusionment and indifference develop among the sustaining contributors of the society. Consequently, as The Principles predict, after a period of time, "energy flags, diversity of customs bewilders the common mind, arts and crafts grow feeble and careless, the people give up and the civilization 'dies'" (178).

Occasionally a faltering civilization may experience re-stabilization as a result of a political revolution that refines the culture in a manner that reduces (albeit temporarily) the disorganization of the society. But regardless of whether the new regime is based on capitalism, socialism, fascism, dialectical materialism, or some other socio-political structure, the revolutionary gains cannot last because each new form of government, in its own characteristic way, acts primarily to satisfy the utilitarian interests of mankind. Quite predictably, the populace accepts those leaders who profer the most attractive pledges for social reforms that might forestall the imminence of natural selection within the society. In time, the administration finds itself less and less able to fulfill its commitments and can no longer cope with the growing instability of the civilization. Inevitably, a situation is reached where there is "decreased individual responsibility for the design and function of the overall system....The expanding needs eventually exceed the competence and control, [complacency] sets in, collapse occurs, and the Golden Age is ended" (179). This has occurred repeatedly in the past because all previous human societies have lacked the mentality to estimate their evolutionary needs in relation to their future environments; and, as a result, after a period of time, each culture has become extinct (180).

(2) Quality of life

"The desire for a better life is universal"; that is, the desire for higher status and the attainment of 'culturally defined' desirable goals is common to all societies" (181). But what is really meant by "quality living"? Like culture, this vague concept has been ill-defined to the present. In the past, "quality of life" has been considered as (i) "the kind and number of choices that individuals may make" (182), (ii) "having the maximum range of choices for a way of life" (183), (iii) "the variety and flexibility of options available" (184), (iv) "the availability of services and personal options" (185), (v) "convenient access to ample and varied material goods and amenities" (184), (vi) "having as much money as possible left over after taking care of the basic necessities, and having the necessary time and opportunities for spending it in a pleasant way" (183), or (viii) "releasing stress and pressures, and reduced crowding, reducing pollution, alleviating hunger, and treating ill health" (186).

Being aware of this inexactness in definition, various institutions (including the federal government) are now sponsoring national and international symposia in an intentional effort to formulate a workable description of this illusive goal of every past civilization (187, 188, 189). It has even been suggested that contemporary society should develop an Index for Quality of Life (IQL or QOL) (190, 191), or a Mean Amenity Level (MAL) (192), and then strive to maximize these social indicators. But before any such index could possibly be established, it would be necessary to have a better understanding of what values should be emphasized in any endeavor to achieve an elevated "quality of life."

The list of historical values which contribute to "quality living" is long, and includes, at the very least, health, knowledge, liberty, self-expression, freedom, justice, dignity, and happiness (193, 194, 195, 196). It would probably be most profitable to equate "quality of life" with the latter value—that is, with "happiness"—for surely if an individual could not proclaim himself to be happy, then he could hardly be considered as having a pleasant and gratifying life. Whereas, if a person attained a position in life from which he could perpetually affirm to the whole wide world that he was free and happy, then no man could rightfully deny that this self-same person had succeeded in achieving the quality of life that is so universally desired.

But, what man can honestly stand before his idolatrous god and avow that he can enjoy incessant peace of mind? Surely, "all men seek to be happy [i.e., tranquil]; this is without exception. Whatever different means they may employ, they all tend to this end....And yet, after the lapse of so many years, no one has ever reached...this point upon which all keep their eyes continually fixed" (197).

It appears that "perpetual happiness is psychologically impossible" (198). Even in composing the Declaration of Independence, Jefferson realized that it was not happiness, but only "the pursuit of happiness," which is an inalienable right of all men (196). Yet even an attempt to pursue happiness may be nothing more than an illusionary occupation, because the last thing one should do to happiness is pursue it (199). Furthermore, it would be impossible for a society, collectively, to pursue happiness as a national goal, because what constitutes the supreme happiness of one individual may subjugate another to despondency (42). "One man's happiness is his alone....Individual satisfactions cannot be added together because they have no conceivable common denominator" (200).

It is remotely possible that all men might mutually agree that individual "happiness is very much owing to the good opinion of mankind" (201); however, this extraction is objectionable as a reliable criterion because already, as a result of his pursuit of social approval, civilized man "only knows how to live in the opinion of others" (202) and this condition has in itself made it difficult to achieve lasting tranquility. Perhaps social men would find it more rewarding if they could rediscover, as Candide did at the end of his adventures, that the most effective ritual for experiencing happiness is simply to cultivate one's own garden (203).

Forrester has pointed out that "to try to raise quality of life without intentionally creating compensating pressures...will be self-defeating" (186). As the nominal standard of living rises, population density also increases, social pressures develop, and "the satisfaction of living declines" (204). I therefore conclude that the prevalent efforts to alleviate world hunger, to eradicate pestilence, and to bring about a universal improvement in the amenities of life are in the long-run merely self-defeating obsessions of well-meaning (but uninformed) social utopianists. But, I need not have taken so long to arrive at such a conclusion: The Principles themselves impart the notion that it would be impossible to achieve a utopian world because success would require the elimination of all misery—a task that would call for an alteration of natural laws and, particularly, of the inescapable law of natural selection and the wretchedness with which it asserts itself. Therefore, those ignoramuses (and I use this term in the sense that George Ruggle used it in 1615 to depict the uninformed lawyer in his play, "Ignoramus" [205]) within and without the federal bureaucracy who unwittingly assume that a specific "quality of life" should be deliberately pursued as a national goal, only serve to squander the taxpayer's wherewithal on political fantasy. The very policies that are now being enacted "to manage the environment in such a manner that it contributes to the physical and mental health of man and to the flowering of civilization" (206) are the consequence of a deceptive utopian rhetoric that will lead to more widespread misery in the long-run by inflating the carrying capacity of the human environment to such a grotesque state that it will be impossible to avoid collapse and chaos.

It thus seems that the cultural pursuance of a prescribed "quality of life" is nothing more than a vain attempt to create a utopian society. However, "so far as the real world is concerned, the word utopian means unworkable" (207). "There are no utopias in our social systems" (208). History substantiates this contention: "Various utopian designs have been proposed for nearly twenty-five hundred years, and most attempts to set them up have been ignominious failures" (207). In spite of all of these Sisyphean labors, no civilization has ever achieved an "Etzlerian paradise" (209). And, even though time may show that twentieth-century man came nearest to this visionary goal, it will also reveal that, within this failing effort, affluent societies (i.e., consumptive societies) did not experience fulfilling happiness (210). Thus, as Rousseau (172) realized some time ago, after all of the investments men have made into civilization, "we have nothing to show for ourselves but a frivolous and deceitful appearance, honor without virtue, reason without wisdom, and pleasure without happiness" (my italics).

(3) Formal education

Early man was able to learn essentially everything that was necessary to achieve success in his society by spontaneously observing the customs of his parents and a few dexterous members of his community. However, as culture evolved and knowledge accumulated, man utilized each new bit of information to reduce the pressures of natural selection and reinforce the utilitarian enterprises of mankind. In the course of this process, education gradually became more organized and deliberate. As knowledge expanded and as the artificial systems of structured societies became more complicated, there arose a need for specialists with the expertise to maintain the steady state of the unnatural systems of which civilizations are composed. In order to convey the amount of information that was necessary, education became still more organized, and more technical.

Today, the methodical scientific disciplines (as biology, chemistry, engineering, geology, physics, and the agricultural sciences), which have dominated most of the academic institutions during the past century, are intentionally designed to instruct the younger generation on the techniques needed to skillfully manipulates some portion of the natural environment. The other major disciplines (as sociology, psychology, economics, urbanology, political science, and the administrative sciences), while not directly involved in restructuring the natural environment, nonetheless exert an indirect influence by establishing the social institutions that serve to coordinate the overall human determination to dominate Nature. Because of this fundamental purpose, "a large proportion of our university curricula are based on the archaic presumption that it is man's God-given prerogative to conquer and destroy Nature solely for his use" (211).

Thus, I have come to realize that an underlying function of traditional education is to qualify technicians who know how to use natural science to exploit the environment in a manner that will aid civilization in its evasion of the miseries of natural selection. However, according to The Principles (and this is a critical point), this educational incentive gives further impetus to the divergence of Homo sapiens from normal evolutionary processes, and thereby accelerates the pace of modern civilization toward extinction. Therefore, there is a serious discrepancy between the objectives of traditional education and those of an innovative "science for survival." As a result of this difference, it may eventuate that environmental education is too incompatible to coexist with traditional education, because the former, if it is to be meaningful, must become an academic discipline that explicitly reveals why mankind cannot reside in an artificial world and expect to survive for very long.

For the most part even the current flurry of self-proclaimed "environmental scientists" have not recognized the disparity between traditional and environmental education. Because of this nescience, there is considerable diversity in the composition of the environmental curricula that are now being created. As might be expected, two distinct kinds of programs are taking shape; (i) one, which is only a slight modification of the traditional sciences, attempts to devise new methods of environmental technology in order to facilitate the expansion of civilization, and (ii) the other, which appears more revolutionary, emphasizes that the "progress" theme of the tradition-oriented program is so contrary to the non-growth ethic of essential environmental education that the latter could conceivably be rejected as a curricular objective of the modern university structure.

(4) Environmental management

Humans have modified substantially the natural environment since the beginning of agriculture (212). Furthermore, every additional advancement in culture has artificially expanded the human carrying capacity of the Earth. Yet, during each incremental rise in population, concomitantly there has been an unforeseen increase in human dependency upon many of the technological advances that were initially dispensable at the time of their invention. For instance, electric generators, internal combustion engines, and computers were no more than fascinating gadgets at first, yet they are now essential to the well-being of every industrial nation that has taken advantage of their performance capabilities. "The trouble [i.e., tragedy] is, however, we do not seem to learn very much from these sad happenings" (213). Seemingly oblivious to this addictive characteristic of technology, society proceeds to intensify its efforts to develop more control devices, even though it has lost sight of any ultimate goal (except possibly the search for a utopian world).

However, the historical records make it dubious that man's helter-skelter and hazardous attacks on the present world will yield an optimum environment (214). "In fact we are in the mess that we are in because our economic, political, and value systems, operating very well, are producing mess as part of their normal output" (215). And, there is no reason to anticipate any change in this situation as man now struggles to control evolutionary forces with still more technology. With the praises of society, technologists are proceeding pell-mell into the next stage of modification and management of Nature. This is being carried out under the pretext that their "custodial" action is vital to the preservation of the natural environment, when, in fact, the real concern is conservation of the precarious human habitat (216, 217, 218, 219). Plans are being drawn up to reduce, not only the pressing problems of air and water pollution, but also to modify the weather in a manner that will supposedly eliminate damaging storms and hurricanes. In addition, engineers are looking towards enormous projects of water management, including the direction of rainfall into areas where it will be used to satiate a growing population in the decades ahead (216). Mankind attempts all of this without even stopping to consider the possibility that it has been these same kinds of labors in the past that have brought about the current problems.

Interestingly, the premises upon which The Principles are based indicate that man's so-called "struggle for existence" is unnecessary (220). The thermodynamic forces responsible for the evolutionary momentum of the physical environment far exceed the human potential to resist the insurmountable elements of Nature. In fact, "technological improvements merely hasten the day of ruin" (221) because they divert the human species still further from the mainstream of evolution, and the longer man remains isolated, the less chance he has of readapting to the natural environment in the event of a fateful re-exposure to its stresses. Thus, in his preoccupation with technological progress, man has ignored the fact that, regardless of what course human culture follows, natural selection must eventually reassert itself. I therefore conclude that each and every novel institution, which mankind now creates to provide new technologies to protect the human species from the environmental hazards it has unleashed upon itself, is a cultural fixture that will serve merely to remove man still further from the process of natural selection.

(5) Counterintuitive responses of social systems

In his enlightening essay on the counterintuitive behavior of social systems, Forrester (222) emphasized that industrial nations are exhibiting a growing sense of futility as they repeatedly set up new social institutions to deal with the stresses of modern society; while, in the long-run, the problems only appear to worsen. After an initial sequence of successful responses there is an unanticipated deepening of difficulties in the very systems that the social programs were designed to improve.

The implication is that there may be something inherently wrong with the social systems that mankind has created. On the other hand, it is also possibly that natural "evolutionary processes have not given us the mental skill needed to properly interpret the dynamic behavior of the [artificial] systems of which we have now become a part" (17). If this is true, then as man proceeds to design new cultural techniques to deal with the environmental dilemma, he may be harshly awakened to the probability that "...the web of man's environment is not only more complex than we think, but more complex than we can think. What this means is that we may never learn to manipulate the environment for the sake of our precious technology, that we may never fully understand the intricacies of the biosphere" (223), and that the short-sighted "solutions" to the problems of population growth, resource depletion, and waste accumulation are erroneously "posed by persons who fail to see (for some, the blindness is self-imposed) more than a part, rather than the entire problem" (224).

If man were to widen his perspective, he would realize that his social systems respond contrary to human intuition mainly because the short-range social programs of modern civilization are aimed at increasing health, education, and welfare, and therefore, in essence, they are designed to minimize the stresses of natural processes, and consequently, according to The Principles, initial success can only be ephemeral.

(6) Population growth

The population of early man remained at a rather constant size--that is to say, the death rate equaled the birth rate. However, with the experience of culture, the human species has managed to diminish its mortality rate and thereby lessen the demise through which evolution normally operates. As a result of this impairment of natural controls, the human population has grown at an ever-accelerating rate (225). The important insight to be gained from this information is that the excessive growth of the human population has not been due to an increase in the birth rate, but instead, is the consequence of those cultural advances that have reduced the death rate. In particular, medical science (coupled with engineering) has contributed substantially to the world population problem by deferring mortality in humans of all ages (226, 227, 228, 229, 230).

As difficult as it has been to accept these truths, I now realize that over-population is an unavoidable sequel to the humanitarian process of culture. It is through culture that mankind has developed agriculture, engineering, and medicine with which to minimize the morbidity of natural selection. Therefore, I must conclude that man cannot possibly resolve the population problem unless he either relinquishes the cherished comforts of civilized culture, or else alters society in some drastic manner that would assure an equalization of the birth rate and death rate of the human species.

 

REALITIES OF POPULATION CONTROL

An underlying theme of this discourse has been that human culture cannot protect a growing population indefinitely. Malthusian and Darwinian principles will eventually reassert themselves and compel mankind to resume a lifestyle that will be analogous to primitive times (225, 231, 232). As natural evolutionary stresses reappear, there will be little prospect of avoiding a relapse into an arduous kind of existence.

Confronted with this unpleasant (but realistic) outlook, man might want to consider using his intelligence to estimate the date at which the human species will naturally disappear, and then attempt to program the life remaining so as to forestall chaos or collective suicide (233). Whether he acts or not, man still makes a decision (234); because, if he takes no action, then by abstention he will have chosen to continue the present expansion of civilized cultures toward the limits that will be imposed by famines, pandemics, climactic disruptions, nuclear holocausts, or some other environmental calamities. And, undoubtedly, these dreadful means of terminating exponential growth would be painfully devastating (235).

But what action could man take to revise the present course of civilization? Should society concentrate on the problem of resource depletion, or waste accumulation, or social injustice, or economic deprivation, or international conflict, or what? Since all of these conditions are merely symptoms of an overcrowded planet, it seems that overpopulation may indeed be the paramount threat to human society (225, 227, 234, 235, 236, 237, 238, 239).

Most certainly, "the unchecked growth of a species will eventually lead to its extinction" (41). Therefore, above all else, it seems the human consciousness should deal with the prevailing illusion that the human population can continue to grow indefinitely.

But how can the human population possibly restrain its expansion? What conceivable measures could be implemented to effectively limit reproduction? Personally, the least confining mode of action would be to encourage family planning, as guided by individual conscience. By this method, childbirth could continue as an inalienable prerogative of the individual.

A common argument that is used to support population control measures based on voluntary action is the allegation that parenthood is a God-given "right" (240). This seems reasonable, for I cannot think of any biological process that is more natural (or more vital) than the reproductive process: Absolutely no living system would exist today if it were not for the phenomenon of reproduction. However, the advocates of voluntary contraception expound their course of action under the illusion that all men everywhere, regardless of race, nationality, or religion, would conscientiously limit their progeny. Surely, if everyone would, by their own volition, adhere to international guidelines with regard to family size, then such a proposal would represent an ideal solution to the world population problem. But, such presumption is strictly idealistic. Mutual constraint of this magnitude is inconceivable; because, in the inevitable struggle to survive, any "refusal to limit numbers gives a positive advantage" (241). "Those individuals or groups who refused to restrain themselves would increase their numbers in relation to the rest, with the result that these individuals or groups with their cultural and/or biological supports for high fertility would constitute a larger and larger proportion of the population of future generations" (242, 243, 244). The residual effect would be that the conscientious members of society who willingly limit their breeding would gradually decrease in number and eventually be eliminated.  Therefore, "freedom of parenthood cannot exist in an overpopulated [technological] world" (245).

If civilized man should decide to strive for population stabilization and then expect to maintain it throughout the world, there does not appear to be any alternative to compulsory regulation of birth rates (246). The existing aversion towards this kind of involuntary action is understandable; however, in practice, governmental control over individual fertility might not be much more confining than the legal coercion that presently governs other personal interests such as marriage, child care, medical care, education, income taxation, and so on (247). Furthermore, the "miracle of birth" is no more natural than the "stroke of death"; and if men can legitimate actions which prevent death by using the argument that God has given the human species the intelligence to develop medical technology, then one can likewise contend that God has blessed modern society with the knowledge to control births.

(1) The two-child family

If enforced population control is the only course of action that will yield lasting results, then the critical decision is to determine what type of compulsory program to adopt. Collective opinion appears to favor a program whereby no more than two children would be permitted within each family. This type of restriction should effectively alleviate the current exponential growth rate of the human population; however, in the long-run (and the long-run is what counts if long-range survival becomes the goal of the species), according to Ornstein (248), even if a policy of two children per family could be implemented, and even if such a program were "successful in maintaining a stable population and avoiding racial, class, and individual biases in the rates of reproduction,...the human species may eliminate selection and thus be on the road to ultimate biological degradation and probable extinction!" (his italics). This latent complication would arise because two children per family could not generate the excessive number of individuals that Nature must have to accomplish natural selection (249). Nor would the counter-evolutionary influence of modern culture be significantly altered. Furthermore, in any population that mutually agreed to limit its numbers, there would be definite selection for under-breeding. Although the genomic change would be negligible in the short-run, in the long-run there would probably be a significant decline in fecundity, and at sometime in the future, when the inhabitants of civilized cultures are re-exposed to the stresses of the natural environment, man would find himself poorly endowed for survival. The consequence of the sudden genetic load would be a high mortality rate. And, if the high reproductive potential which man now possesses should be lost by that time, then such a genetic deficiency would in itself lead to extinction.

(2) Polyandry

As an alternative to the two-child family, Hardin (250) has recently advocated a social revolution that would establish a modified form of polyandry as the matrimonial custom. In essence, this eccentric method of population control would permit every woman to have as many male children as she desired, but no more than one female child among her progeny. By this restriction, the population of females would remain at (or slightly below) replacement level. And, although the number of males would also be expected to stabilize, their number would be proportionately higher than the females. Therefore, it would be necessary for several men to share the same wife, assuming that all members of the society were to be allowed the opportunity for marital pleasure. However, in the competitive world of civilized cultures, it is doubtful that the male ego could ever adapt to the custom of freely sharing one's inamorata with others. For this reason alone the polyandry idea would appear to be unworkable. Furthermore, the overburdened female population would probably voice a number of objections to the connubial arrangements of polyandry.

The implementation of this proposal is further complicated by the absence of the technology that would be needed to prevent the development of a female embryo after the first girl-child was born. Even if the existing techniques for detecting a female fetus should happen to be adequately improved in the near future, the universal acceptance of abortion would still be a prerequisite to the successful establishment of a polyandry society. And, even then, if polyandry were adopted, it would not be any more effective than the "two-child family" in restoring the normal evolution of man. There might be selection in favor of women who could accommodate many husbands (and possibly for men who produce fewer sperm with X chromosomes), but Nature would still not be operating in its ordinary way.

(3) Eugenics

For some time now, eugenics has been seriously considered as a method of directing human evolution and controlling population (251, 252). The eugenics concept is based on the assumption that the present "knowledge of genetics provides the human race with the possibility of consciously guiding its own evolution in preferred directions" (110), and that such "directional selection: would bring about a significant "improvement of the present genetic endowment of humanity" (112).

Accordingly, the eugenicist assumes that mankind can "restore the principles—but not all the methods—of natural selection as it operated for 500,000 years of pre-human and human evolution" (253). However, considering the cultural predilection of the civilized world (i.e., a world that is intent on evading famine, annihilating pestilence and minimizing individual competition for the basic necessities of survival) it is unlikely that any eugenic direction agreed upon would actually lead to the normalization of human evolution. The problem is, as Darwin (254) initially stated, "man selects only for his own good: Nature only for that of the being which she tends."

Predictably, the eugenic interests of modern men usually call for selection in favor of those individuals who would be the most qualified to develop civilized cultures even further. This attitude was clearly expressed in the so-called "Eugenic Hypothesis," which was first advocated by Frederick Osborn in the late 1930's. He believed that "if societies were organized in such a way that the most successful individuals had the most children, then the genes underlying the traits held desirable by society would increase each generation" (255). Osborn (255) outlined three basic steps that he considered to be necessary for the development of such a society:

(a) "General improvement of the [social] environment....

(b) Completion of the change now taking place to freedom of parenthood....

(c) Finally, the introduction of eugenic measures of a psychological and cultural sort which will tend to encourage births among parents most responsive to the possibilities of their [social] environment, and to diminish births among those least responsive, thus bringing about a process of eugenic selection through variations in size of family."

Following these original suggestions by Osborn, modern eugenicists have recommended a variety of human qualities that should be "perfected," including: (i) "intelligence...by merely arranging the system of taxation so that...people earning large salaries...should be induced to have more children than the rest" (256) (an approach that might actually serve to encourage the proliferation of the most greedy members of society), (ii) "intelligence and motivation [toward the enterprises of]...science and its technologies" (257), (iii) "abilities for making use of the environment more effectively" (258), (iv) "high intelligence, creativity, cooperative personality, good physique, and physical health" (259), and (v) "success in the various social environments men live in today" (260). (Methods have also been proposed for implementing these eugenic objectives [261].)

In view of these ludicrous intentions, I must conclude that any ‘hereditarian’ who states that "environmentalists" should also encourage "a return to the principle of selection for an environment" (262), when he is speaking of selection for success in the social environment of civilized man, is merely revealing a gross deficiency in his knowledge of the principles of natural selection. The eugenicist does not seem to understand that the natural environment is indeed evolving, but not in the same direction as the increasingly complex social environment of civilized man. Nor does man have the mental faculty to predict the direction that the terrestrial evolution of the Earth will take in the future. And, without this knowledge, the eugenic proposals for artificial selection will not (in fact, cannot) facilitate a return to the normal evolutionary pathway.

Thus, it appears that normalizing selection, being a natural process, can only take place in a natural environment, free of the positive feedback loops that are common to civilized cultures. Therefore, any attempt to direct human evolution (if it is going to have even a remote chance of success) must somehow favor those individuals who are most fit for survival in a natural environment--the only environment that is in phase with the physical evolution of the Earth.

 

ONE MORE THEORETICAL SOLUTION

If the destiny of mankind can be programmed, it appears that it "can only be planned on evolutionary platforms" (263). In addition, such principles can only be based on the natural environment, rather than on the artificial conditions of human civilization. Anyone who asserts that this distinction "between contrived and natural conditions is not a serious one" (264) only professes his ignorance of the dynamic evolutionary forces that move the cosmos, because the artificial systems of civilization cannot substitute for the evolutionary matrix of the natural environment.

In the final analysis, it would be "impossible to achieve a harmonization of man and nature without creating a human community that lives in lasting balance with its natural environment" (265). Therefore, if man aims to strive for a lasting position in the natural world, he must establish (from the very beginning of his efforts) a value system that would "set up as a minimal requirement the survival of the human species under conditions that would permit further evolution and delay extinction" (266). However, even if human proprieties could be appropriately modified, it is questionable whether the human mind has the capacity to commensurate the natural evolutionary direction of Homo sapiens, or the mentality to restructure civilization in a manner that would mimic the stresses of natural selection and allow evolution to proceed on its normal course. Such an endeavor would demand decisions for which men are neither innately, nor temperamentally, nor intellectually conditioned (267). Certainly, the existing eugenic criteria do not meet these evolutionary requirements. Therefore, if man wishes to delay his extinction, there may be no alternative but to permit Nature to do the selecting.

But what nation would willingly relinquish the technological comforts and social dynamism of modern civilization? What nation would voluntarily submit itself once again to the miseries of natural selection? It is unlikely that any society would accept such action as a reasonable solution.

Because of the intimacy between man and his modern culture, it seems that the only type of proposal that might engage attention would be one that did not require the human animal to completely abandon the many "advantages" of civilization, yet would allow a significant portion of the population still to experience maximum contact with the natural environment in which man originally evolved and for which he is still somewhat genetically programmed (268. However, in order to achieve maximum contact with an "evolutionary" environment, people would have to voluntarily expose themselves to the probabilities of famine, disease, and other natural hazards that frequently result in misery and death. But, who is eager to make such a sacrifice? If there are any such psychologically spirited mortals who would willingly cast themselves once again naked upon the natural Earth as Nature cast them at the moment of their birth (269), they should step forward, because the future of the human species may depend upon their gene pool.

What I am suggesting is that mankind might be able to return to a normal evolutionary pattern (without totally sacrificing the present opportunity to live in a technological society) by dividing the human ecosystem into two completely separate environments—one being artificial and the other natural—one composed of civilization and the other consisting of the wilderness. For each member of society who chose to remain in the comforts of technology, the number of children would necessarily be regulated by the State—with an absolute maximum of two children permitted in a family. Whereas, those individuals who chose to live in the wilderness would have no restriction on family size. In effect, this "theoretical" solution would require every person to make a choice between the advantages of culture (but with limitations on birth rights) on the one hand, and the disadvantages of an uncivilized environment where natural selection would impose its controlling force on population growth (but with unrestricted parenthood). As absurd as this suggestion may seem, I find that it has no less merit than any existing proposal for a long-range solution.

Individuals might be allowed to migrate from the social environment to the wilderness, but once a person lived any portion of his life in a civilized culture he could not be permitted to bear more than two children. And, any individual who inhabited the wilderness during all of his pre-puberty years could have an unlimited number of children so long as he remained in the natural community, but he could not be allowed to have additional children if he migrated to civilization. The net effect would be to reduce the growth of the civilized population to slightly below replacement level. As a consequence, at some time in the future (possibly within several millennia), civilization would dwindle out of existence. Ironically, if modern man were successful at such an endeavor he would never know what he had achieved, because the process of speciation should lead to a "post-historic" man who would not sense from whence he came any more than Homo erectus was able to predict the development of civilization.

In order to accomplish its purpose, the natural community would need to subsist in the absence of essentially all the conveniences of modern culture, and especially in the absence of those circumstances that now allow an extraordinary survival rate in civilization. For example, as a minimum, the wilderness society would need to be devoid of the following opportunities:

(a) Medical technology. Medicine, with all of its modern treatments, including antibiotics, vaccines, and surgery, could not be practiced, except possibly for euthanasia. ("in the process of natural selection, death is a necessity" [207].)

(b) Welfare payments. Although there might be some form of bartering for the mutual exchange of goods, there could be no form of organized social welfare. ("All efforts to promote human welfare should bear in mind that too much support will make the recipient weaker instead of stronger" [271].)

(c) Wealth inheritance. To ensure initial equality of opportunity to compete in the natural environment, there could be no inequality of initial wealth. ("Very great individual wealth, whether inherited or acquired, is beneficial neither to the individual nor to society" [272].)

In essence, this proposal would require every individual in human society to choose between the cultural advantages of medicine, welfare, and wealth inheritance on the one hand, or an unlimited opportunity to reproduce on the other.

To give further detail on this scheme would imply that I am naive enough to believe that such a world society, split into two so distinctly opposing factions could ever be organized, implemented, and enforced. It is far more likely that the human determination to avoid the miseries of natural selection will continue to exceed any interest in the long-range survival of the species.

 

THE NECESSITY OF A COMMONS

The improbability of activating this theoretical solution becomes more definite when one considers the difficulties that would be encountered in preserving the inner sanctum of the "wilderness." In addition, although the natural environment would not necessarily be identical to the environment of primitive societies, it would in any case have to provide the inhabitants with conditions similar to the commons in which man initially lived as a relatively independent enterpriser, free to compete for the sustenance of the wilderness. Every other animal except civilized man thrives in such an environment where the commons flourishes, and so it must be for man if he is to return to a normal evolutionary course.

This idea of re-establishing the commons is contrary to Hardin's (273) reasonable notion that "ruin is the destination towards which all men rush, each pursuing his own best interest in a society that believes in the freedom of the commons...[because] freedom in a commons brings ruin to all." But, Rousseau (274) said, "you are lost, if you forget that the fruits of the earth belong equally to us all, and the earth itself to nobody!" And Locke (275) reemphasized that "....we must consider what estate all men are naturally in, and that is a state of perfect freedom to order their actions, and dispose of their possessions and persons as they think fit, within the bounds of the law of Nature, without asking leave or depending upon the will of any other man". These timeless insights have helped me to realize that it is not the freedom of the commons that brings ruin; but instead, it is the coupling of the commons with the technological advances of civilization that have led to the population stresses that now threaten human existence. In other words, freedom requires the recognition of no necessities in a natural environment, as compared to the limitations it demands in an artificial environment. Herein lies a hidden component of the tragedy of the commons.

I therefore conclude that species evolve via the process of natural selection in an environment where the vital resources are available as a commons, and only as a commons. When individuals leave this natural state of freedom to form a commonwealth in order to exploit the commons as a unified group (even though the group may have mutually agreed upon mutual coercion) they reduce their vulnerability (not just as individuals, but also as a population) to the impact of natural selection. Consequently, when natural selection reasserts itself (as it inevitably must during the course of solar evolution) it will act, for the most part, on the existing culture as a unified whole, rather than on the individual members of that culture, and this conglomerate selection can, in itself, lead to the extinction of an entire civilization. That is to say, in the environment of primitive man, natural selection acted upon the individual primarily because each person was intrinsically responsible for his own interaction with the commons; whereas, in a commonwealth, where a group of men mutually agree to give up some individual freedoms in order to maximize their common interests, every person unwittingly casts his evolutionary lot with the entire society.

 

A NATURAL ETHIC

An understanding of evolutionary processes reveals that all civilizations (and eventually all forms of life) on Earth are destined to extinction. In view of the evidence that "man's central position of control in nature's scheme is deteriorating badly, and that in the expanding cosmology, man is already being bypassed" (267), it appears there has indeed been an exaggeration of the dominion of Homo sapiens. In fact, five billion years from now, as the "red giant" of our solar system casts its final glare upon the planet that it generously vitalized during its course of evolution in the vast Universe, there will not be a single intelligent earthling to proclaim to the heavens that the brief moment of human existence was any more or any less significant than the duration of any other organism that inhabited the Earth.

Under the solemn disillusionment of this destiny, it becomes imperative to find some objective that will produce an incentive to endure the struggle ahead. But what is there to work toward? What is there to value? Goring (276) believes that, "lacking the power to alter his fate, man's noblest attitude must be one of dignity, comprehension, and defiance." And possibly he is right. Perhaps this is the goal that all of mankind should take into consideration. It is an attitude that is somewhat analogous to a sentiment once composed by Pascal (277):

"Man is but a reed, the weakest in nature, but he is a thinking reed. It is not necessary that the entire universe arm itself to crush him. A breath of air, a drop of water, suffices to kill him. But were the universe to crush him, man would still be more noble than that which kills him, because he knows that he dies; and the universe knows nothing of the advantage it has over him. Our whole dignity consists, then, in thought. Our elevation must be derived from this, not from space and duration, which we cannot fill. Let us endeavor, then to think well: this is the principle of ethics."

Thus, Pascal has implied that man could find dignity within an endeavor to formulate an ethic that is more appropriate to the present circumstances. This idea seems credible, for after all, "the greatest value has at all times been placed upon systems of ethics" (278). (Ironically, if man does have the brain capacity to think more wisely, then the rudiment of his extinction might also become the source of his dignity.)

More recently, there has been an increase in emphasis on the need for a modification of existing human ethics (279, 280, 281, 282, 283, 284, 285). However, the drastic changes that are now being called for would require nothing less than revolutionary alterations in present attitudes and values. Such changes would presumably lead to an environmental perspective not too unlike the naturalism of Thoreau (286). In essence, such a "religion" would require men to accept the fact that they are an inseparable part of the natural world. In addition, men would have to acknowledge their dependency upon Nature in order to survive as human beings (287, 288, 289, 290). If this type of transformation in human attitude did come about, men would find themselves once again experiencing the awe, and even the fear, with which primitive man observed the world around him (291, 292, 293, 294). Frankly, such a change in viewpoint does not seem plausible, not simply because the "ruts of tradition" are too deep, but also because mortals would find the mental shock to be too overwhelming. As Fromm (295) pointed out, such a consciousness would lead to a "growing doubt concerning one's own role in the universe, the meaning of one's life, and with all that a growing feeling of one's own powerlessness and insignificance as an individual." However, this point of view may not be entirely correct; because, as Einstein (1) said, the very act of striving to understand one's place in Nature, can, in itself, be a "liberation and a foundation for inner security."

Of course, ultimately it will not matter whether an individual's religion was oriental, or occidental, whether he worshipped an idol or a myth, whether he cherished Nature or culture. This being so, it seems that each man should be free to adhere to whatever tenets he chooses, so long as they help the individual to relate himself to the Universe which has borne his existence. Having made this consolation, I shall briefly take the liberty to divulge my own thoughts on the matter.

Foremost, I am inclined to believe that in the difficult millennia ahead, if men are to have any chance of living in peace, with dignity, there is no alternative but to seek a universal system of moral values—a common code of ethics—that can unite all of mankind. But what is the foundation of such a universal ethic? What is the source of a true religion? What is the purpose of human existence? What is the real meaning of God? Ah, yes, what is the meaning of God? I have come to realize that the definition of this vague impression suffers from the very same deficiencies as the concepts of "culture" and "quality of life," which were dealt with earlier in this discourse. That is to say, there are so many interpretations of God that He(?) must also be many things, or else the concept of an eternal deity has also been inadequately defined to the present. Be that as it may, I for one shall not pretend to know the explanation to this divine question. If there is any imposter who claims he does have an absolute understanding of God, then let him promptly declare himself—and then let him prove beyond doubt that the particular religion that he has arbitrarily chosen is any more sanctimonious than anyone else's articles of faith.

As for those individuals who have invented a God who supposedly blesses only His disciples with everlasting life (i.e., that incomprehensible existence after death), who among them can prove that there is indeed such a prejudiced God, who would promise some men eternal paradise, yet deny the very same opportunity to their brothers simply because of the random variations in the ethical illusions that are impressed into the psyche of each individual during his lifetime. Who among them can so boldly declare such gross inequality in individual human destiny? It is only within the delusion of a man-made "God" that men can be considered as equal at birth, but unequal at death. By the laws of Nature—that is to say, by a natural God—all men are unequal at birth, but become equal at death. Not only is this latter sentiment more reasonable, it is also more compassionate. Furthermore, what mortal can prove that an eternal life after death is any different from the inconceivable oblivion before birth? Actually, it may be only the experience of life on Earth that matters. It may be that what goes on before and after is not only greater than men can think, but greater than men will ever think.

In the interim, I shall content myself with the hope (or illusion) that there is a natural ethic that mankind might decipher at some time in the future. Regretfully, I do not know how to formulate such an ethic. I only know that it cannot be based on the assumption that human beings should become the "custodians of Nature." Men would achieve nothing together if everyone were to adopt the belief that "I can save the Earth" (296). When men take this attitude, it is principally for themselves that they are concerned, rather than for Nature. And, this is the very kind of anthropocentric disposition that concerned White (33). It merely represents another example of man's effort to place himself above non-human Nature, instead of facing the more difficult task of determining his place within the natural environment.

 

SOME FINAL REMARKS

In conclusion, it appears that mankind can never be free from the forces of Nature (297). As Lucretius (298) pointed out, only "Nature is free and uncontrolled by proud masters, and runs the universe by herself without the aid of gods." In essence, the Universe runs according to verifiable, inexorable, unalterable, irrevocable and eternal laws (299, 300, 301, 302, 303). They are natural laws--laws that have not been created by men, but simply discovered by them.

Possibly mankind will someday come to realize that "any attempt to break natural law is doomed to failure" (304). In any event, it seems that if man is to "think well" he must first acknowledge the simple truth that "Nature knows best" (305). Pope (306) understood this maxim when he wrote his Essay on Criticism:

"First follow Nature, and your judgment frame

By her just standard which is still the same:

Unerring Nature, still divinely bright,

One clear, unchanged, and universal light,

Life, force, and beauty, must to all impart,

At once the source, and end and test of Art."

Ah, yes, and the "test of Art". Could it be that Pope had a premonition of the principles of natural selection?

And, finally realizing that "it is much more custom and example that persuade us than any certain knowledge" (307), I know that the conclusions of this discourse will be accepted only when their "constellation" is right, and not before (308). Nevertheless, in accordance with an ancient Chinese sage (309), these concepts are laid before the gods without question or fear, to wait a hundred generations if necessary to be confirmed without a doubt by posterity.

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