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1
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2
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3
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- In the developed industrial world, birth rates plummeted as
life-expectancies increased.
- In 1988, the average Japanese woman of child-bearing age had just 1.57
children (vs. 1.87 in the U.S.)--the lowest fertility rate in the
world--down from 1.77 children in 1979 and 4.54 in 1949
- 95% of world’s population increase in first 15 years of the 21st
century will occur in developing countries. Populations in Japan,
Italy, Spain and Russia are projected to decline.
- In the U.S. in 1950, there were 16 workers for each retiree; in 2000,
the ratio is down to 3.4 and is projected to reach 2.0:1 in 2034
- In much of West Europe and Japan this ratio is even lower.
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4
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5
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- slower population growth at home means slow-growing domestic markets
- unless young mercenaries can be recruited, smaller pool for the military
and greater reliance on battlefield technologies
- with aging of workforce, innovation may suffer
- as retirees sell their assets instead of saving, investment monies
contract
- according to Ben J. Wattenberg in The Birth Dearth In 1950, 22% of the
world's population lived in industrial democracies in 1950; in 1985 it
was 15%; according to the projection, by 2100, 5% will live in
industrial democracies.
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6
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7
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- In 2000, about 7% of the world’s population was 65 and older. Projections are that by 2050 this
proportion will be 16%--about the same as Florida now.
- Advanced developing nations like Brazil, South Korea, and Argentina will
in 30 years look like the mature developed world now.
- However, there pensions, savings and health care will be less.
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8
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9
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- government offers financial incentives to Japanese firms that hire or
retain older workers
- size of a grant depends on the number of people age 60 or older working
at the company
- kaizen: designing workplaces to fit the worker vs. designing workers to
fit the workplace
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10
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11
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12
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13
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- Mining,
- Forestry,
- Construction,
- Agriculture,
- Manufacturing
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14
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15
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16
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17
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18
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19
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20
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21
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22
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23
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24
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25
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26
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27
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28
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29
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- With the failure of Congress to devise a prescription drug plan for the
old, many elderly are left to devise their own strategies of saving
money on prescription drugs.
- This forces some to look abroad, where some drugs that require a
prescription in the US are sold over the counter--and for much less.
- American doctors can also apply for licenses that allow them to write
prescriptions for drugs in Canada.
- The demand for Canadian drugs has created a job for middlemen, who order
drugs for residents that want to avoid taking the trip to Canada.
- The Food and Drug administration does not condone the purchasing of
drugs abroad or over the Internet.
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