The Hertz decision is a win for everyone;
unfortunately, it is marred by the inexplicable inaction of the SEC. The
battle for truth in accounting continues.
"Why Accounting Needs Your Accruals," by Karen Berman and Joe Knight,
Harvard Business School Blog, December 18, 2009 ---
http://blogs.hbr.org/cs/2009/12/why_accounting_needs_your_accr.html?cm_mmc=npv-_-DAILY_ALERT-_-AWEBER-_-DATE
Managers across the country dread the call from
accounting at this time of year — we need your accruals. Many managers feel
that the process of putting together their accruals is tedious, and, dare we
say, a waste of time. They wonder, "Why does accounting need this
information? Is this another piece of information that goes into the black
hole of a spreadsheet, never to be seen again?"
Accruals, especially at this time of year, are
critical to good accounting. They help to ensure you have good information
about the financial health of your company. And, they help to keep the books
"clean," that is, keeping things that happened in 2009 in 2009 so that the
picture your company presents with its financials tells the 2009 story in
its entirety.
At its core, accrual accounting is fairly simple:
the numbers in financial statements should reflect the work and activities
that occurred in the time period of those statements. So, if the income
statement is for December, then the revenue and expenses in that statement
are for the revenue that was earned (for example, was the product delivered
in December?) and the expenses that it took to make that revenue (for
example, the cost of materials for the revenue that was earned in December).
(A related and important accounting principle here is the matching
principle: match expenses to the revenue the expenses helped to bring in.)
Here's the problem: invoices, bills and cash don't
always line up in the same month the activities occurred. Say an invoice
comes in for something that happened a month ago. It should have been
"accrued for," so that, even though there wasn't any invoice, the amount is
in the books for the month that the activity occurred. On the revenue side,
say a product was delivered, but the client didn't pay until two months
later. That revenue had to be "accrued" for in the month of delivery, even
though neither the invoice, nor the payment for the product happened in that
month.
Another example of accruals is when we pay for
something in one month, but we get the benefit for more than just that one
month. Say you pay your insurance bill for the whole year in January. That
insurance covers 12 months, not just January. So, the company accrues for
that, and the books reflect 1/12 of that payment in every month of the year.
Too much accounting? Just remember that you are
part of the process of creating as close a picture as possible of what
happened in 2009. And that is important for a whole host of reasons, because
the financial statements are used to help make lots of decisions, including
those about hiring (or layoffs), raises, capital purchases, new product
plans, and so on.
Finally, here are four key things to remember about
accruing:
1. Accruals can apply to revenue, operating
expenses and capital expenses. Salaries can be a big part of accruals. 2.
You don't need an invoice to accrue. You do need to know how much the
invoice will be. 3. You may have to make assumptions and include estimates
in your accrual numbers. That's OK, just document them. 4. Think about the
activities that occurred in 2009, and make sure they are reflected in the
books for 2009. There may be some projects that go into 2010. Work with your
accounting department to decide how to handle those.
Karen Berman is founder and co-owner of the Business
Literacy Institute, with Joe Knight. Joe is CFO at
Setpoint Companies. They are the authors of
Financial Intelligence.
Jensen Comment
This article probably does not show any business manager or accounting worker
anything that they don't already know, and it probably makes little sense to
anybody who never had the equivalent of Accounting 101.
More to the point is why mangers and investors need accrual accounting
statements rather than just a cash flow statement ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#CashVsAccrualAcctg
The 200th SmartPros Op/Ed Article from that timid (ha ha)
Ketz guy
Don't look for him beating the drums for IFRS in the U.S.!
But there is a whole lot more in his columns that deal mostly with bad stuff in
corporate accounting.
"200th Column: Retrospection Op/Ed," By: J. Edward Ketz, SmartPros,
December 2009 ---
http://accounting.smartpros.com/x68360.xml
And no end in sight (gratefully)
Thanks Ed.
I don't always agree with you, but mostly I do agree with you.
You do have a way with words.
That some bankers have ended up in
prison is not a matter of scandal, but what is outrageous is the fact that all
the others are free.
Honoré de Balzac
"Banks Bundled Bad Debt, Bet Against It and Won," by Gretchen
Morgenson and Louise Story, The New York Times, December 23, 2009 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/12/24/business/24trading.html?em
My friend Larry clued me in to this link.
In late October 2007, as the financial markets were
starting to come unglued, a Goldman Sachs trader, Jonathan M. Egol, received
very good news. At 37, he was named a managing director at the firm.
Mr. Egol, a Princeton graduate, had risen to
prominence inside the bank by creating mortgage-related securities, named
Abacus, that were at first intended to protect Goldman from investment
losses if the housing market collapsed. As the market soured, Goldman
created even more of these securities, enabling it to pocket huge profits.
Goldman’s own clients who bought them, however,
were less fortunate.
Pension funds and insurance companies lost billions
of dollars on securities that they believed were solid investments,
according to former Goldman employees with direct knowledge of the deals who
asked not to be identified because they have confidentiality agreements with
the firm.
Goldman was not the only firm that peddled these
complex securities — known as synthetic collateralized debt obligations, or
C.D.O.’s — and then made financial bets against them, called selling short
in Wall Street parlance. Others that created similar securities and then bet
they would fail, according to Wall Street traders, include Deutsche Bank and
Morgan Stanley, as well as smaller firms like Tricadia Inc., an investment
company whose parent firm was overseen by Lewis A. Sachs, who this year
became a special counselor to Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner.
How these disastrously performing securities were
devised is now the subject of scrutiny by investigators in Congress, at the
Securities and Exchange Commission and at the Financial Industry Regulatory
Authority, Wall Street’s self-regulatory organization, according to people
briefed on the investigations. Those involved with the inquiries declined to
comment.
While the investigations are in the early phases,
authorities appear to be looking at whether securities laws or rules of fair
dealing were violated by firms that created and sold these mortgage-linked
debt instruments and then bet against the clients who purchased them, people
briefed on the matter say.
One focus of the inquiry is whether the firms
creating the securities purposely helped to select especially risky
mortgage-linked assets that would be most likely to crater, setting their
clients up to lose billions of dollars if the housing market imploded.
Some securities packaged by Goldman and Tricadia
ended up being so vulnerable that they soured within months of being
created.
Goldman and other Wall Street firms maintain there
is nothing improper about synthetic C.D.O.’s, saying that they typically
employ many trading techniques to hedge investments and protect against
losses. They add that many prudent investors often do the same. Goldman used
these securities initially to offset any potential losses stemming from its
positive bets on mortgage securities.
But Goldman and other firms eventually used the
C.D.O.’s to place unusually large negative bets that were not mainly for
hedging purposes, and investors and industry experts say that put the firms
at odds with their own clients’ interests.
“The simultaneous selling of securities to
customers and shorting them because they believed they were going to default
is the most cynical use of credit information that I have ever seen,” said
Sylvain R. Raynes, an expert in structured finance at R & R Consulting in
New York. “When you buy protection against an event that you have a hand in
causing, you are buying fire insurance on someone else’s house and then
committing arson.”
Investment banks were not alone in reaping rich
rewards by placing trades against synthetic C.D.O.’s. Some hedge funds also
benefited, including Paulson & Company, according to former Goldman workers
and people at other banks familiar with that firm’s trading.
Michael DuVally, a Goldman Sachs spokesman,
declined to make Mr. Egol available for comment. But Mr. DuVally said many
of the C.D.O.’s created by Wall Street were made to satisfy client demand
for such products, which the clients thought would produce profits because
they had an optimistic view of the housing market. In addition, he said that
clients knew Goldman might be betting against mortgages linked to the
securities, and that the buyers of synthetic mortgage C.D.O.’s were large,
sophisticated investors, he said.
The creation and sale of synthetic C.D.O.’s helped
make the financial crisis worse than it might otherwise have been,
effectively multiplying losses by providing more securities to bet against.
Some $8 billion in these securities remain on the books at American
International Group, the giant insurer rescued by the government in
September 2008.
From 2005 through 2007, at least $108 billion in
these securities was issued, according to Dealogic, a financial data firm.
And the actual volume was much higher because synthetic C.D.O.’s and other
customized trades are unregulated and often not reported to any financial
exchange or market.
Goldman Saw It Coming
Before the financial crisis, many investors — large
American and European banks, pension funds, insurance companies and even
some hedge funds — failed to recognize that overextended borrowers would
default on their mortgages, and they kept increasing their investments in
mortgage-related securities. As the mortgage market collapsed, they suffered
steep losses.
Continued in article
Bob Jensen's threads on banking and investment banking frauds are at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudRotten.htm#InvestmentBanking
Accounting for Collateralized Debt
Obligations (CDOs)
As to CDOs in
VIEs, you might take a look at
http://www.mayerbrown.com/public_docs/cdo_heartland2004_FIN46R.pdf
Evergreen
Investment Management case at
http://www.sec.gov/litigation/admin/2009/34-60059.pdf
Bob Jensen's
threads on CDO accounting ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#CDO
Bob Jensen's
threads on SPEs, SPVs, and VIEs ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen//theory/00overview/speOverview.htm
How to download journal articles and books
When I said yesterday
in a reply to Pat that I use the Trinity University Library’s subscription to
JSTOR to download free copies of AAA articles like The Accounting Review
articles, I should’ve pointed out that, since I pay for the AAA Electronic
Journals access, I use JSTOR only for articles published 1925-1998. In my case I
access JSTOR using a password provided to me by the Trinity University Library
that subscribes to JSTOR and many other electronic literature databases.
Beginning in 1999,
the AAA created digital archives that subscribers can access directly, but there
is a subscription fee added on to membership dues to access those archives.
Students may download, without charge, JSTOR archived articles through their
college library subscription. JSTOR is not usually as immediately up to date for
the most recent articles as the AAA site ---
http://aaahq.org/pubs/electpubs.htm
People without access to JSTOR can pay for copies of AAA journal articles
published after 1998.
Of course there are
also free hard copies of journals available in most college libraries, and these
articles can be photocopied or scanned for educational purposes. As you grow
older, you find yourself almost choked out of your office with stacks of old
journals. I commenced giving most of my hard copy journals away even before I
retired. Services like JSTOR allow me to download and store articles of interest
in a hard drive.
MAAW has a convenient
indexing of AAA journals back to when they were first published. This is a great
free service generously and meticulously provided by Professor James Martin.
However, after locating a historic AAA journal article, you will still have to
use something like JSTOR to actually download the complete article ---
http://maaw.info/
Thank you for sharing James.
I personally,
however, have hung onto a lot of books that now perhaps have some antique value.
Eventually, Google Advanced Book Search and similar archiving services will have
most old accounting books available for free digital downloading. Google
Advanced Book Search is finally up to speed for many, many antique accounting
books ---
http://books.google.com/advanced_book_search
Give it a try with an antique accounting book of particular interest to you such
as Truth in Accounting by Kenneth MacNeal.
Another thing about
Google Books is that it often provides other information about books and links
to articles about selected books. Feed in the term Pacioli and see what you get
at
http://books.google.com/advanced_book_search
One problem I still
have with Google Advanced Book Search is that it will often link to later
editions of old books rather than earliest editions. For example, on my desk I
have a hard copy of the 1932 edition of Accountants’ Handbook edited by
William A. Payton. When I use Google Advanced Book Search, however, I only find
a link to the 1953 edition. If I search for the book title, Payton, and 1932 I
do not find any hits.
Happy hunting.
I have hundreds of links to electronic literature at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/ElectronicLiterature.htm
Bob Jensen's search
helpers are at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/searchh.htm
A New One from Francine
"Continuing The Conversation: If Auditors Weren’t There, Why Not?" by
Francine McKenna, re: The Auditors, Decmeber 14, 2009 ---
http://retheauditors.com/2009/12/14/continuing-the-conversation-if-auditors-werent-there-why-not/
Jim Peterson and I talk often.
It was my lucky day when I found him writing for the
International Herald Tribune about auditors and
litigation and the future of the profession. There’s
quite an archive there to draw from. Jim not only has
the experience but the chops to write about the subjects
that I feel strongly about. Albeit I’m a little more
fun, but…I told a mutual admirer recently not to judge
me more beautiful than Jim. He hasn’t seen Jim in
stilettos nor me in a bow tie…
Jim opened a dialogue with me and
the others who write
frequently on this topic, like Dennis Howlett and
Richard Murphy, via his post
today at Re: Balance. The subject is, “If not, why
not…” We’re talking about the auditors’ failure to be a
force either before, during, or after the financial
crisis.
“Here – in response to
the always tart-tongued Francine — is why the
auditors weren’t there:
The simple if
depressing reason is that their core product has
long since been judged irrelevant. The standard
auditor’s report is an anachronism — having lost any
value it may once have had, except for
legally-required compliance (here).
If that single page
disappeared from corporate annual reports, no honest
user of financial information would admit to missing
it. Nor, offered the choice, would any rational CFO
pay the fees to obtain it.”
If no one but me asks, since
no one cares, then what are we
doing here? Only legally required compliance keeps us
walking like dizzy children through this hall of
mirrors, never reaching sunshine.
“…the fundamental issue of trustworthiness –
on which the entire value of the auditors’ franchise
perilously rests – is put under scrutiny when they
are effectively sidelined for want of influence and
capacity to persuade.”
Continued in article
Where Were the Auditors as Poison Was Being Added to Mortgage Loans on
Main Street ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#AuditFirms
Will the Big Auditing Firms Survive the Shareholder/Pension Fund Lawsuits ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#Auditors
Never ending fraud in Medicare billings:
Unaudited overpayments, unqualified items, and criminal vendors
One spending sinkhole can be traced to large
medical-equipment suppliers, device makers, and pharmaceutical companies, which
government auditors and industry veterans describe as a recalcitrant bunch.
Medical manufacturers know public agencies generally pay first and ask questions
later—if ever. Medicare receives 4.4 million claims
daily; fewer than 3% are reviewed before being paid within the legally required
30 days.
"A Hole in Health-Care Reform: Overbilling by medical-equipment suppliers,
device makers, and drug companies has cost taxpayers billions.
New legislation will do little to stem the tide,"
by Chad Terhune, Business Week, December 10, 2009 ---
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/09_51/b4160046945722.htm?link_position=link3
President Barack Obama and his Democratic allies on
Capitol Hill say that a vast expansion of health coverage can be funded by
squeezing out waste and fraud rather than cutting benefits. Whether that
turns out to be true may help determine the success of the sweeping reform
package being debated by Congress. Slashing costs is no easy task, and
stopping fraud is even tougher. No less than $47 billion in Medicare
spending went to dubious claims in the year ended Sept. 30, according to the
U.S. Health & Human Services Dept. That's 10.7% of the $440 billion program
that subsidizes care for the elderly. Medicaid, the government program for
the poor, lets billions trickle away at roughly the same rate. The $10
million annual increase that Congress is allocating to fight fraud may not
be enough to do the trick.
One spending sinkhole can be traced to large
medical-equipment suppliers, device makers, and pharmaceutical companies,
which government auditors and industry veterans describe as a recalcitrant
bunch. Medical manufacturers know public agencies generally pay first and
ask questions later—if ever. Medicare receives 4.4 million claims daily;
fewer than 3% are reviewed before being paid within the legally required 30
days.
One way to get a sense of the scale of the
seepage—and the challenge facing the Administration—is to look at
whistleblower lawsuits filed under the federal False Claims Act. That law
allows company employees to sue on behalf of the government to recover
improperly claimed federal funds.
A suit filed by William A. Thomas, a former senior
sales manager at Siemens Medical Solutions USA, one of the nation's largest
medical suppliers and a unit of German engineering giant Siemens (SI),
offers a case study in the difficulty of containing costs. Thomas, a 15-year
Siemens Medical veteran, alleges in federal court in Philadelphia that for
years the company overbilled the Veterans Affairs Dept. and other government
agencies by hundreds of millions of dollars for MRI and CT scan machines and
other expensive equipment. These high-tech systems—used to examine
everything from damaged knees to suspected cancers—cost $500,000 to $3
million apiece, sometimes more. Thomas, who retired from Siemens in 2008,
claims that with no justification other than larger profits, his former
employer charged its government customers far more than private-sector
buyers for the same equipment.
"Billions and billions could be saved with the
right government regulation and oversight applied to health care," Thomas,
56, says in an interview. "But I think corporations will continue running
circles around the federal government."
In court filings, Siemens has denied any wrongdoing
and has sought to have the Thomas suit dismissed. A company spokesman, Lance
Longwell, declined to elaborate for this article, citing the litigation.
The Thomas suit illustrates some of the vagaries of
False Claims Act cases, hundreds of which are filed every year against
government contractors in a range of industries. As the plaintiff, Thomas
stands to pocket up to 30% of any court recovery, with the rest going to the
Treasury. The Justice Dept., which can intervene in such suits to help steer
them, announced last year that it will stay out of the case against Siemens
for now. Yet Thomas' allegations have helped drive a parallel criminal
investigation of Siemens' equipment marketing practices by the Defense Dept.
and the U.S. Attorney's Office in Philadelphia.
In April federal investigators searched for records
at the headquarters of Siemens Medical in Malvern, Pa., a suburb of
Philadelphia. Ed Bradley, special agent-in-charge of the Defense Criminal
Investigative Service, confirmed that the investigation is continuing but
declined to comment further.
Longwell, the Siemens Medical spokesman, says the
company is cooperating with criminal investigators. In March, just weeks
before the search of its offices, Siemens won a new $267 million contract to
provide radiology equipment to the U.S.
Page 1 2 Next Page Reader Discussion
BW Extras Podcasts Mandel on Economics Behind the
Cover CEO Guide to Tech more… RSS Feeds Most Popular Top News Innovation
Trends more… E-mails Asia Insider MBA Express BW.com Insider more… Blogs
Blogspotting Hot Property Tech Beat more… Business ExchangeTrack and share
business topics across the Web. Advertising in a Recession Entrepreneurship
in a Recession Enterprise Rent-A-Car Buying a Foreclosed Home Plug-in
Hybrids Most Popular Stories Read E-mailed Discussed Apple Sues Nokia,
Claims Infringement Why Tech Bows to Best Buy If You Don't Buy a House Now,
You're Stupid or Broke Forecast for 2010: The Coming Cloud 'Catastrophe'
Kindle vs. Nook RSS Feed: Most Read Stories
If You Don't Buy a House Now, You're Stupid or
Broke - BusinessWeek Can KKR Make Like Berkshire Hathaway? - BusinessWeek
Why Tech Bows to Best Buy - BusinessWeek GM Will Sell Opel to Magna After
All - BusinessWeek A Vehicle for Your Business - BusinessWeek RSS Feed: Most
E-mailed Stories
Why Tech Bows to Best Buy Tiger Woods' Handicap as
a Pitchman AT&T Possible Price Moves May Backfire Americans Are Furious at
Wall Street China's 'Made in China' Problem RSS Feed: Most Discussed Stories
Most Popular Multimedia Slide Shows 25 Products
That Might Just Change The World Fifty Ugliest Cars of the Past 50 Years
Best Internships of 2009 The 25 Coolest Sneaker Designs of 2009 Best Places
to Raise Your Kids: 2010 RSS Feed: Most Popular Slide Shows
Ads by Google Medicare Health Plans Introducing
AARP® MedicareComplete® Provided Through SecureHorizons®.
AARPMedicarePlans.com/Advantage Whistleblower Reward How to claim your share
for fighting fraud on the government www.FraudFighters.net Declined Qui Tam?
FCA attorneys with outstanding verdicts and settlements. Info at:
www.Whistleblower.info Health Care Petition Don't Let Special Interests
Derail Reform. Sign the Official Petition! www.DSCC.org
BW Mall - Sponsored Links Recruiting in the Finance
Industry? Software for Recruiting, Applicant Tracking, Onboarding, CRM and
more! FREE DEMO Secure Recruiting Platfrom Complete SaaS Talent Platform
Software (Pre/Post-Hire) View a FREE DEMO now! Free Polycom
Videoconferencing Webinar On December 16 Learn How Polycom Can Help You
Improve Business Collaboration. Sign up - Microsoft Dynamics CRM Online Get
up to 6 months of Microsoft Dynamics CRM at NO CHARGE! Sign up Today! Online
PHR Certificate Program w/ Villanova Univ SHRM Approved HR Certificate
Program from Villanova University. 100% Online - Find Out More Now! Buy a
link now!
Ontario. The world's most highly skilled workforce.
Jensen Comment
The GAO has declared that many huge sink holes for fraud and waste are
unauditable --- the Pentagon, the IRS, Medicare, and the list goes on and on.
But the Congress that funds these programs is manipulated by special interest
groups who do not want these audits. The new sink hole on the block is almost
anything green.
What is happening to America?
Bob Jensen's threads on health care are at
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/09_51/b4160046945722.htm?link_position=link3
"Taxpayers distrustful of government financial reporting,"
AccountingWeb, February 22, 2008 ---
http://www.accountingweb.com/cgi-bin/item.cgi?id=104680
The federal government is failing to meet the
financial reporting needs of taxpayers, falling short of expectations, and
creating a problem with trust, according to survey findings released by the
Association of Government Accountants (AGA). The survey, Public Attitudes to
Government Accountability and Transparency 2008, measured attitudes and
opinions towards government financial management and accountability to
taxpayers. The survey established an expectations gap between what taxpayers
expect and what they get, finding that the public at large overwhelmingly
believes that government has the obligation to report and explain how it
generates and spends its money, but that that it is failing to meet
expectations in any area included in the survey.
The survey further found that taxpayers consider
governments at the federal, state, and local levels to be significantly
under-delivering in terms of practicing open, honest spending. Across all
levels of government, those surveyed held "being open and honest in spending
practices" vitally important, but felt that government performance was poor
in this area. Those surveyed also considered government performance to be
poor in terms of being "responsible to the public for its spending." This is
compounded by perceived poor performance in providing understandable and
timely financial management information.
The survey shows:
The American public is most dissatisfied with
government financial management information disseminated by the federal
government. Seventy-two percent say that it is extremely or very important
to receive this information from the federal government, but only 5 percent
are extremely or very satisfied with what they receive.
Seventy-three percent of Americans believe that it
is extremely or very important for the federal government to be open and
honest in its spending practices, yet only 5 percent say they are meeting
these expectations.
Seventy-one percent of those who receive financial
management information from the government or believe it is important to
receive it, say they would use the information to influence their vote.
Relmond Van Daniker, Executive Director at AGA,
said, "We commissioned this survey to shed some light on the way the public
perceives those issues relating to government financial accountability and
transparency that are important to our members. Nobody is pretending that
the figures are a shock, but we are glad to have established a benchmark
against which we can track progress in years to come."
He continued, "AGA members working in government at
all levels are in the very forefront of the fight to increase levels of
government accountability and transparency. We believe that the traditional
methods of communicating government financial information -- through reams
of audited financial statements that have little relevance to the taxpayer
-- must be supplemented by government financial reporting that expresses
complex financial details in an understandable form. Our members are
committed to taking these concepts forward."
Justin Greeves, who led the team at Harris
Interactive that fielded the survey for the AGA, said, "The survey results
include some extremely stark, unambiguous findings. Public levels of
dissatisfaction and distrust of government spending practices came through
loud and clear, across every geography, demographic group, and political
ideology. Worthy of special note, perhaps, is a 67 percentage point gap
between what taxpayers expect from government and what they receive. These
are significant findings that I hope government and the public find useful."
This survey was conducted online within the United
States by Harris Interactive on behalf of the Association of Government
Accountants between January 4 and 8, 2008 among 1,652 adults aged 18 or
over. Results were weighted as needed for age, sex, race/ethnicity,
education, region, and household income. Propensity score weighting was also
used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online. No estimates of
theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
You can read the
Survey Report, including a full methodology and associated
commentary.
"The Government Is Wasting Your Tax Dollars! How Uncle Sam spends nearly
$1 trillion of your money each year,"
by Ryan Grim with Joseph K. Vetter,
Readers Digest, January 2008, pp. 86-99 ---
http://www.rd.com/content/the-government-is-wasting-your-tax-dollars/4/
1. Taxes:
Cheating Shows. The Internal Revenue Service estimates that the annual net
tax gap—the difference between what's owed and what's collected—is $290
billion, more than double the average yearly sum spent on the wars in Iraq
and Afghanistan.
About $59 billion of that figure results from the
underreporting and underpayment of employment taxes. Our broken system of
immigration is another concern, with nearly eight million undocumented
workers having a less-than-stellar relationship with the IRS. Getting more
of them on the books could certainly help narrow that tax gap.
Going after the deadbeats would seem like an
obvious move. Unfortunately, the IRS doesn't have the resources to
adequately pursue big offenders and their high-powered tax attorneys. "The
IRS is outgunned," says Walker, "especially when dealing with multinational
corporations with offshore headquarters."
Another group that costs taxpayers billions: hedge
fund and private equity managers. Many of these moguls make vast "incomes"
yet pay taxes on a portion of those earnings at the paltry 15 percent
capital gains rate, instead of the higher income tax rate. By some
estimates, this loophole costs taxpayers more than $2.5 billion a year.
Oil companies are getting a nice deal too. The
country hands them more than $2 billion a year in tax breaks. Says Walker,
"Some of the sweetheart deals that were negotiated for drilling rights on
public lands don't pass the straight-face test, especially given current
crude oil prices." And Big Oil isn't alone. Citizens for Tax Justice
estimates that corporations reap more than $123 billion a year in special
tax breaks. Cut this in half and we could save about $60 billion.
The Tab* Tax Shortfall: $290 billion (uncollected
taxes) + $2.5 billion (undertaxed high rollers) + $60 billion (unwarranted
tax breaks) Starting Tab: $352.5 billion
2. Healthy Fixes.
Medicare and Medicaid, which cover elderly and low-income patients
respectively, eat up a growing portion of the federal budget. Investigations
by Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK) point to as much as $60 billion a year in fraud,
waste and overpayments between the two programs. And Coburn is likely
underestimating the problem.
The U.S. spends more than $400 per person on health
care administration costs and insurance -- six times more than other
industrialized nations.
That's because a 2003 Dartmouth Medical School
study found that up to 30 percent of the $2 trillion spent in this country
on medical care each year—including what's spent on Medicare and Medicaid—is
wasted. And with the combined tab for those programs rising to some $665
billion this year, cutting costs by a conservative 15 percent could save
taxpayers about $100 billion. Yet, rather than moving to trim fat, the
government continues such questionable practices as paying private insurance
companies that offer Medicare Advantage plans an average of 12 percent more
per patient than traditional Medicare fee-for-service. Congress is trying to
close this loophole, and doing so could save $15 billion per year, on
average, according to the Congressional Budget Office.
Another money-wasting bright idea was to create a
giant class of middlemen: Private bureaucrats who administer the Medicare
drug program are monitored by federal bureaucrats—and the public pays for
both. An October report by the House Committee on Oversight and Government
Reform estimated that this setup costs the government $10 billion per year
in unnecessary administrative expenses and higher drug prices.
The Tab* Wasteful Health Spending: $60 billion
(fraud, waste, overpayments) + $100 billion (modest 15 percent cost
reduction) + $15 billion (closing the 12 percent loophole) + $10 billion
(unnecessary Medicare administrative and drug costs) Total $185 billion
Running Tab: $352.5 billion +$185 billion = $537.5 billion
3. Military Mad Money.
You'd think it would be hard to simply lose massive amounts of money, but
given the lack of transparency and accountability, it's no wonder that eight
of the Department of Defense's functions, including weapons procurement,
have been deemed high risk by the GAO. That means there's a high probability
that money—"tens of billions," according to Walker—will go missing or be
otherwise wasted.
The DOD routinely hands out no-bid and cost-plus
contracts, under which contractors get reimbursed for their costs plus a
certain percentage of the contract figure. Such deals don't help hold down
spending in the annual military budget of about $500 billion. That sum is
roughly equal to the combined defense spending of the rest of the world's
countries. It's also comparable, adjusted for inflation, with our largest
Cold War-era defense budget. Maybe that's why billions of dollars are still
being spent on high-cost weapons designed to counter Cold War-era threats,
even though today's enemy is armed with cell phones and IEDs. (And that $500
billion doesn't include the billions to be spent this year in Iraq and
Afghanistan. Those funds demand scrutiny, too, according to Sen. Amy
Klobuchar, D-MN, who says, "One in six federal tax dollars sent to rebuild
Iraq has been wasted.")
Meanwhile, the Pentagon admits it simply can't
account for more than $1 trillion. Little wonder, since the DOD hasn't been
fully audited in years. Hoping to change that, Brian Riedl of the Heritage
Foundation is pushing Congress to add audit provisions to the next defense
budget.
If wasteful spending equaling 10 percent of all
spending were rooted out, that would free up some $50 billion. And if
Congress cut spending on unnecessary weapons and cracked down harder on
fraud, we could save tens of billions more.
The Tab* Wasteful military spending: $100 billion
(waste, fraud, unnecessary weapons) Running Tab: $537.5 billion + $100
billion = $637.5 billion
4. Bad Seeds.
The controversial U.S. farm subsidy program, part of which pays farmers not
to grow crops, has become a giant welfare program for the rich, one that
cost taxpayers nearly $20 billion last year.
Two of the best-known offenders: Kenneth Lay, the
now-deceased Enron CEO, who got $23,326 for conservation land in Missouri
from 1995 to 2005, and mogul Ted Turner, who got $590,823 for farms in four
states during the same period. A Cato Institute study found that in 2005,
two-thirds of the subsidies went to the richest 10 percent of recipients,
many of whom live in New York City. Not only do these "farmers" get money
straight from the government, they also often get local tax breaks, since
their property is zoned as agricultural land. The subsidies raise prices for
consumers, hurt third world farmers who can't compete, and are attacked in
international courts as unfair trade.
The Tab* Wasteful farm subsidies: $20 billion
Running Tab: $637.5 billion + $20 billion = $657.5 billion
5. Capital Waste.
While there's plenty of ongoing annual operating waste, there's also a
special kind of profligacy—call it capital waste—that pops up year after
year. This is shoddy spending on big-ticket items that don't pan out. While
what's being bought changes from year to year, you can be sure there will
always be some costly items that aren't worth what the government pays for
them.
Take this recent example: Since September 11, 2001,
Congress has spent more than $4 billion to upgrade the Coast Guard's fleet.
Today the service has fewer ships than it did before that money was spent,
what 60 Minutes called "a fiasco that has set new standards for
incompetence." Then there's the Future Imagery Architecture spy satellite
program. As The New York Times recently reported, the technology flopped and
the program was killed—but not before costing $4 billion. Or consider the
FBI's infamous Trilogy computer upgrade: Its final stage was scrapped after
a $170 million investment. Or the almost $1 billion the Federal Emergency
Management Agency has wasted on unusable housing. The list goes on.
The Tab* Wasteful Capital Spending: $30 billion
Running Tab: $657.5 billion + $30 billion = $687.5 billion
6. Fraud and Stupidity.
Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) wants the Social Security Administration to
better monitor the veracity of people drawing disability payments from its
$100 billion pot. By one estimate, roughly $1 billion is wasted each year in
overpayments to people who work and earn more than the program's rules
allow.
The federal Food Stamp Program gets ripped off too.
Studies have shown that almost 5 percent, or more than $1 billion, of the
payments made to people in the $30 billion program are in excess of what
they should receive.
One person received $105,000 in excess disability
payments over seven years.
There are plenty of other examples. Senator Coburn
estimates that the feds own unused properties worth $18 billion and pay out
billions more annually to maintain them. Guess it's simpler for bureaucrats
to keep paying for the property than to go to the trouble of selling it.
The Tab* General Fraud and Stupidity: $2 billion
(disability and food stamp overpayment) Running Tab: $687.5 billion + $2
billion = $689.5 billion
7. Pork Sausage.
Congress doled out $29 billion in so-called earmarks—aka funds for
legislators' pet projects—in 2006, according to Citizens Against Government
Waste. That's three times the amount spent in 1999. Congress loves to deride
this kind of spending, but lawmakers won't hesitate to turn around and drop
$500,000 on a ballpark in Billings, Montana.
The most infamous earmark is surely the "bridge to
nowhere"—a span that would have connected Ketchikan, Alaska, to nearby
Gravina Island—at a cost of more than $220 million. After Hurricane Katrina
struck New Orleans, Senator Coburn tried to redirect that money to repair
the city's Twin Span Bridge. He failed when lawmakers on both sides of the
aisle got behind the Alaska pork. (That money is now going to other projects
in Alaska.) Meanwhile, this kind of spending continues at a time when our
country's crumbling infrastructure—the bursting dams, exploding water pipes
and collapsing bridges—could really use some investment. Cutting two-thirds
of the $29 billion would be a good start.
The Tab* Pork Barrel Spending: $20 billion Running
Tab: $689.5 billion + $20 billion = $709.5 billion
8. Welfare Kings.
Corporate welfare is an easy thing for politicians to bark at, but it seems
it's hard to bite the hand that feeds you. How else to explain why corporate
welfare is on the rise? A Cato Institute report found that in 2006,
corporations received $92 billion (including some in the form of those farm
subsidies) to do what they do anyway—research, market and develop products.
The recipients included plenty of names from the Fortune 500, among them
IBM, GE, Xerox, Dow Chemical, Ford Motor Company, DuPont and Johnson &
Johnson.
The Tab* Corporate Welfare: $50 billion Running
Tab: $709.5 billion + $50 billion = $759.5 billion
9. Been There,
Done That. The Rural Electrification Administration, created during the New
Deal, was an example of government at its finest—stepping in to do something
the private sector couldn't. Today, renamed the Rural Utilities Service,
it's an example of a government that doesn't know how to end a program. "We
established an entity to electrify rural America. Mission accomplished. But
the entity's still there," says Walker. "We ought to celebrate success and
get out of the business."
In a 2007 analysis, the Heritage Foundation found
that hundreds of programs overlap to accomplish just a few goals. Ending
programs that have met their goals and eliminating redundant programs could
comfortably save taxpayers $30 billion a year.
The Tab* Obsolete, Redundant Programs: $30 billion
Running Tab: $759.5 billion + $30 billion = $789.5 billion
10. Living on Credit.
Here's the capper: Years of wasteful spending have put us in such a deep
hole, we must squander even more to pay the interest on that debt. In 2007,
the federal government carried a debt of $9 trillion and blew $252 billion
in interest. Yes, we understand the federal government needs to carry a
small debt for the Federal Reserve Bank to operate. But "small" isn't how we
would describe three times the nation's annual budget. We need to stop
paying so much in interest (and we think cutting $194 billion is a good
target). Instead we're digging ourselves deeper: Congress had to raise the
federal debt limit last September from $8.965 trillion to almost $10
trillion or the country would have been at legal risk of default. If that's
not a wake-up call to get spending under control, we don't know what is.
The Tab* Interest on National Debt: $194 billion
Final Tab: $789.5 billion + $194 billion = $983.5 billion
What YOU Can Do Many believe our system is
inherently broken. We think it can be fixed. As citizens and voters, we have
to set a new agenda before the Presidential election. There are three things
we need in order to prevent wasteful spending, according to the GAO's David
Walker:
• Incentives for people to do the right thing.
• Transparency so we can tell if they've done
the right thing.
• Accountability if they do the wrong thing.
Two out of three won't solve our problems.
So how do we make it happen? Demand it of our
elected officials. If they fail to listen, then we turn them out of office.
With its approval rating hovering around 11 percent in some polls, Congress
might just start paying attention.
Start by writing to your Representatives. Talk to
your family, friends and neighbors, and share this article. It's in
everybody's interest.
The Most Criminal Class is Writing the Laws ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudRotten.htm#Lawmakers
"Ernst & Young Expands Its
Commitment to Help Universities Prepare Students for IFRS," SmartPros,
November 30, 2009 ---
http://accounting.smartpros.com/x68280.xml
Ernst
& Young LLP has announced that the Ernst & Young Foundation will direct an
additional US$1 million toward further development of IFRS curriculum and
other resources to help the next generation of accounting professionals meet
the fast-changing needs of global financial markets.
This new commitment expands the work of the Ernst &
Young Academic Resource Center (EYARC), which was launched in the summer of
2008. The support from the Ernst & Young Foundation now totals US$2.5
million.
The EYARC brings together Ernst & Young
professionals and university faculty to develop time-critical learning
materials focused on International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). In
June 2009, the EYARC released 24 modules of comprehensive, user-friendly
IFRS curriculum designed to be flexible with any teaching style. The modules
include a user guide, lecture notes, slides, examples, homework problems,
illustrative disclosures, case studies and international spotlights
developed specifically for university education levels based on real-world
experiences of Ernst & Young professionals. In addition, this past summer
the EYARC offered a live, national training session to academics and also
participated in a variety of faculty educational conferences.
With the additional funding, the EYARC's
development goals for the upcoming year include updating the technical
content of the existing modules, expanding the coverage to include more
judgment-based resources, and providing a principles-based pedagogical
approach to the material. Audit and tax modules will be added to the
curriculum as well and will include the impact of IFRS on these functions.
"The Obama administration's summer 2009 white paper
on financial reform includes an unequivocal call for transparency and
international convergence of accounting and financial reporting standards,"
notes Ellen Glazerman, Ernst & Young LLP, Executive Director of the Ernst &
Young Foundation. "After a successful first year and tremendous interest
from the faculty community, we are proud to announce additional funding
toward IFRS education."
"Making an effort to maximize pedagogical
flexibility, Ernst & Young's Academic Resource Center offers faculty
extensive training and materials useful for developing IFRS curriculum at
both the undergraduate and graduate levels," says Jennifer Blouin, Assistant
Professor at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. "The
class notes, cases and high level spotlights on convergence issues created
by Ernst & Young's team of academics and practice professionals are
invaluable."
The E&Y press release on this
news ---
Click Here
Neither of the above news
items provides links to a new E&Y resource site that students can go to at the
moment. One will probably be announced soon.
Some other alternatives for
faculty and students are summarized at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#MethodsForSetting
Popular
IFRS Learning Resources:
Check out the popular IFRS learning Deloitte link is
http://www.deloitteifrslearning.com/
Also see the free IFRS course (with great cases) ---
Click Here
Also see the Virginia Tech IFRS Course --- Send a request to John Brozovsky
[jbrozovs@VT.EDU]
I found from
the UK that might be helpful for IFRS learning resources ---
Click Here
http://www.icaew.com/index.cfm/route/150551/icaew_ga/en/Library/Links/Accounting_standards/IAS_IFRS/Sources_for_International_Financial_Reporting_Standards_IFRS_and_International_Accounting_Standards_IAS
September 28,
2009 message from Ellen Glazerman, Ernst & Young LLP
[ellen.glazerman@EY.COM]
The Ernst & Young Foundation has teaching materials for IFRS (developed by
faculty). They are free and cover Intermediate I, II and Advanced
Accounting. We will be developing more this year. It is free to anyone with
a .edu address. You just need to email
catherine.banks@ey.com and she will
give you a password to access the material. It is set up to be used either
as material to integrate into what you are currently teaching or as a
stand-alone course. There are lecture notes, home work assignments, cases,
etc. I hope you find it useful.
Please feel free to contact me directly if you have any additional
questions.
Ellen
Bob and Francine Debate the 2010 Employment Outlook in
CPA Firms
December 9, 2009 message from Francine McKenna
[retheauditors@GMAIL.COM]
Unfortunately Bob, the
public accounting firms are hiring less and less right now. And they are
also cutting professionals at all levels, including those who have less than
2 years of experience and don't even have a CPA yet.
We may be stuck with the 150
hour requirement but we are not stuck with the way the audit firms and the
schools look at how that requirement is going to be met. Are we sure the
firms and other employers are still expecting the same things form the
universities given this requirement and the challenges it presents for
students?
Thanks to Linda, Amy, and Bob for input.
http://goingconcern.com/2009/12/are-new-graduates-getting-sque.php
Francene
December 10, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Francine,
Firstly I don’t
think the CPA firm employment outlook is all that bad unless the Supreme
Court strikes down
Sarbanes-Oxley (SOX) and the
PCAOB. Perhaps the big firms are cutting back only temporarily in fear
of losing SOX. Losing SOX at this point in time would be a disaster
for auditing in general since the loss of audit fees might well push firms
over the brink where auditing profits are no longer sufficient to off set
the risk of billion dollar lawsuits.
Until Wall Street
managed to get SOX in front of the Supreme Court, the outlook for accounting
graduates was much better than all other business school disciplines. There
were other bright spots.
-
-
Accounting Majors in Demand
Even when the economy is down, there is
room for top students in the profession. The National Association
of Colleges and Employers’ 2009 Student Survey found that, even
though students in the class of 2009 were graduating with fewer jobs
available, accounting majors are still in high demand. Accounting
and engineering graduates were among those majors most likely to
have already found jobs. Accounting majors expect to earn an
average starting salary of about $45,000, while engineering grads
expect to earn $58,000.
Journal of Accountancy, July 2009 ---
http://www.journalofaccountancy.com/Issues/2009/Jul/AccountingMajors.htm
- Robert
Half Survey Update ---
http://www.rhi.com/GFEM
"Employment outlook grim in 2009, but not for accountants,"
AccountingWeb, January 15, 2009 ---
http://www.accountingweb.com/item/106818
"Global
Employment Financial Monitor for 2009-2010" (free download from
Robert Half) ---
http://www.rhi.com/GFEM
Executive
Summary
The accounting and finance professions have not been immune to
the effects of the global financial crisis. Two-thirds of hiring
managers we surveyed said their accounting and finance
departments have been affected by current economic conditions.
Yet, for many employers, good accountants
are still hard to find. More than
half of all respondents said they were having difficulty
locating skilled job candidates, and financial professionals
remain in short supply in parts of the world.
Even where job candidates compete for relatively few open
positions, many managers are concerned about losing their most
valuable team members to other job opportunities.
As positions are
consolidated and fewer new employees added, financial
professionals are taking on more work and experiencing increased
stress. In response, managers are taking steps to help their
employees remain motivated and productive, survey results show.
The hiring process
is taking longer today, in part due to budget constraints but
also because companies feel they can be more selective. When
hiring at the executive level, businesses seek leaders with the
industry experience and initiative necessary to seize any
possible competitive edge.
Manpower Survey
Guide Issue 75 ---
http://www.accountingweb.com/item/96782
The small
business outlook is indeed grim and that reverberates to accounting firm
business and employment needs, but there are signs that the Obama
Administration may pull out the stops to boost the small business economy.
But don't hold your breath for success of a small business surge ---
http://www.accountingweb.com/item/95831
In my estimation,
hiring of entry level graduates will surge ahead unless the Supreme Court
destroys the entire auditing profession.
Bob Jensen
Bob Jensen's threads on careers and employment are at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/BookBob1.htm#careers
Jensen Comment
It will be very sad for the auditing profession and accountancy academe if the
PCAOB is killed and buried. Industry and its friends at the WSJ have been trying
for most of this decade to eliminate huge amounts of auditing fees by killing
off Sarbanes-Oxley legislation (SOX).
What happens to the audit firms when it's no longer a
profitable service without eliminating virtually all substantive testing?
We may start hearing from Bob Elliott all over again
about how to supplement declining audit revenue ---
http://www.journalofaccountancy.com/Issues/1999/Nov/flemingl
What happens to entry-level hiring when substantive
testing is cut way back and replaced with analytical review computer models?
Before We Put On Our SOX
By the 1990s, auditing services of CPA firms were becoming less and less
profitable and professional. Auditing was viewed by clients as a necessary evil
for which they were willing to accept the lowest bidder irrespective of audit
quality. In fact for many companies like Enron, incompetent or "cooperative"
auditing firms were sought after as preferred auditors. In order to cut costs of
service, CPA firms either dropped auditing services or they replaced more and
more substantive testing with inferior analytical reviews in auditing ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/fraud001.htm#Professionalism
Auditing firms were increasingly being sued for poor
quality audit services ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/fraud001.htm
This made auditing services even more risky and less
profitable.
The auditing firms created expanding consulting services
that bolstered profitability far more than auditing services. The AICPA promoted
newer types of assurance services such as WebTrust, SysTrust, Elder Care, etc.
---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assurance_services
Whatever happened to the SysTrust seal of approval?
The AICPA promotions of assurance services peaked out
when strong advocate Bob Elliott was President and Vice Chair of the AICPA. Bob
even appeared in a special edition of the PBS television program Nightly
Business Report on May 31, 1999 just before Enron and Worldcom commenced to melt
down ---
http://www.aicpa.org/pubs/cpaltr/jacpa.htm
He always stressed how auditing was becoming less and
less profitable and that expanded consulting/assurance services were essential
for the survival of CPA firms.
Bob Elliott's best analogy in the 1990s was his
comparison of the auditing industry with the railroad industry. He stressed how
the railroads failed to adapt to newer forms of technology and transportation
services (e.g., the likes of mergers with airlines, FedEx, UPS, etc.). His
message was that, to avoid being like a failed railroad industry, auditing firms
had to change with technology and exploit the auditing firms' major asset --- a
reputation for integrity.
Sadly, the reputation for integrity of auditing firms
took a huge hit at the dawn of the 21st Century. It was revealed how the
auditing firm of Andersen was earning as much from consulting in Enron as it was
from auditing. Andersen was in fact auditing systems that it helped install,
including Enron's felonious SPEs. You can view one of the thousands of these
fraudulent SPEs at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen//theory/00overview/speOverview.htm
You can read about the Enron and Worldcom scandals at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudEnron.htm
The entire can of worms in auditing services became more
and more public in courts across the United States ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/fraud001.htm
The poor services of auditing firms became a focal point
in the U.S. Congress when equity markets appeared of the verge of collapse due
to fear and distrust of the financial reporting of corporations dependent upon
equity markets for capital. The Roaring 1990s burned and crashed. In a
desperation move Congress passed the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (SOX) of 2002 ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sarbanes-Oxley_Act
SOX was a shot in the arm for the auditing industry. SOX
forced the auditing industry to upgrade services with SOX legal backing that
doubled or even tripled or quadrupled fees for such services. Clients continue
to grumble about the soaring costs of audits, but in my opinion SOX was a small
price to pay for saving our equity capital markets.
Now in 2009 the Supreme Court may force the auditing
profession to take its SOX off and do cheap audits.
Welcome back Kotter;
Welcome back Chewco ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen//theory/00overview/speOverview.htm
Welcome back Andy (I think he will be out in 2012)
NASBA will rev up the CCE,
Certified Cognitor Examination ---
Click Here
Also at
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/temp/CognitorXYZElliott.htm
December
10, 2009 reply from Francine McKenna
[retheauditors@GMAIL.COM]
Hi Bob,
You are buying the hype. I have thousands of comments on my blog because the
firms are cutting. Students are panicked. Less internships, less offers to
interns, less interviews to those who didn't intern (or more often none) and
delays on start dates.
The Sarbanes-Oxley gravy days have ben over for two years, since AS% kicked in.
Clients have taken upper hand and asked firms to cut or at least not grow audit
fees. There has been no replacement for SOX revenue, especially given delays in
IFRS and XBRL.
Sorry, but the stories about strength of accounting hiring and stability of the
profession in the public accounting firms is all PR.
MOST COMMENTED POSTS
o
o
» Follow-Up
On More Big 4 Layoffs -
502
o
» Update:
Deloitte Statement on Layoffs -
499
o
» Deloitte
- The Worst May Be Yet To Come -
438
o
» Veteran's
Day In PwC Advisory: Say Auf Wiedersehen -
355
o
» Taking
Your Pulse -
140
o
» What
I'd Do: Part 2 - First We Focus On The Client -
137
o
» Hey
Big 4! If I Were You, Here's What I'd Do (Instead...) -
135
o
» Deloitte:
Can You Still Do Those Things You Do? -
110
o
» Big
4 Starting Salaries - The Facts -
98
o
» It's
A Race To The Finish - But There Are No Winners -
82
Please don't misunderstand me... I am not pessimistic about the accounting
profession. It's my profession. I would not keep writing about it if I was not
optimistic that by bringing issues to light they can be addressed positively.
I am pessimistic about the large public accounting firm business model. I don't
think it's viable anymore and does not protect shareholders.
With regard to data about hires and hiring outlook, both AICPA and Robert Half
have a vested interest in saying everything is going to be fine. Robert Half is
a publicly traded staffing company focusing on accounting and finance temporary
placement. Their clients (and their recruits) are accounting and finance
professionals. If they admit the market for accounting professionals is in the
toilet or going there, they admit their own business outlook is dismal.
I hope that public accounting hiring is not same or greater in 2010 than this
year. And that's sad all the way around. Unless the economy improves
dramatically overnight, I think we have a ways to go before we start seeing
anyone truly optimistic about business prospects. If the public accounting
firms, the largest ones, hire as many or more graduates they will keep cutting
experienced staff as they have been doing for the east eighteen months at least.
For Deloitte it's been longer. And they are still cutting, even over the
holidays.
The anomaly of the mid size regional firms seeing growth now is interesting and
true. I have seen it. It's a subject for another note.
I would have said two years ago that my info was more anecdotal. But given the
traffic to the blog and the number of comments and the same info coming in at
the other publication I write for, Going COncern, I think significant "layoffs"
are a stark reality. The info I have about cuts may be biased, but it's true.
The firms are balancing their bad forecasting about how long Sarbanes would
last, and how quickly they would replace it with IFRS and XBRL work, on the
backs of their experienced staff. They are substituting experienced staff with
lower priced college recruits.
The public accounting staffing supply chain from the universities to the firm is
a two-three year process. The firms have a hard time turning off the spigot when
business turns down because of the commitments they have already made to
students one or two years prior beginning with the internship. They also care
deeply about the university relationships. And they may start up the assembly
line before the economy fully recovers because it take two to three years
starting with an offer of an internship for a student to be a finished product
ready for full time work and even longer to be certified. They would rather keep
cheaper staff resources coming in at the new graduate level and work leaner than
have an over abundance of more expensive experienced staff and people unassigned
and eating into partner payouts. That's just the way the for-profit,
multinational pseudo corporate style accounting firms work.
December
11, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
Very nice reply Francine.
I
agree with most points, although I’ve no reason to suspect Robert Half of making
up phony survey answers from over 200,000 respondents around the world.
And I’ve no reason to suspect the Bureau of Labor Statistics for phony data that
rates the prospects for growth in accounting jobs to be better than the average
for all other job categories. The BLS, however, is looking at all sizes of
accounting and auditing firms and is less skewed toward the large international
accounting firms. Indeed the hope for the future may lie in the smaller and
medium size firms as the courts bury the large firms in the sub-prime mortgage
lawsuits. Also the BLS is not focusing only on entry-level opportunities for new
graduates.
Anecdotal still remains anecdotal if it is not a more formalized study. Your
correspondents might in fact be a biased subset if they seek you out when
knowing your biases. Polls vary when they favor some sectors over other sectors
even if the favoritism is not intentional.
I
do hate to see the big firms suffer, because they are nearly all of our hope for
those entry-level jobs for top accounting graduates. I am proud of the big firms
for being rated the “best places to launch a career” --- even ultimately an
academic career since most doctoral programs want applicants to have
professional experience.
Big Four
Firm Get Top Spots in Business Week's “2009 Best Places To Launch A
Career,
The Big Four Alumni Blog, September 10, 2009 ---
http://www.bigfouralumni.blogspot.com/
BusinessWeek just released its 2009 rankings of its much-anticipated “2009 Best
Places To Launch A Career” list and for a second year, Big Four firms completely
dominate the list, capturing the top four spots in the rankings. This year, only
69 companies made the list compared to 119 in 2008 due to more stringent
criteria, making the 2009 list “both more exclusive and more competitive.” Thus,
this year, there was more relative competition to make the list and this year’s
rankings are at least 40% tougher than the previous year.
Deloitte, Ernst & Young, PricewaterhouseCoopers and KPMG are respectively ranked
1st to 4th on the list, beating out such leading contenders as Google (not even
ranked), Goldman Sachs (2009 rank 6, 2008 rank 4), General Electric (2009 rank
16), Booz Allen Hamilton (2009 rank 63) and Microsoft (2009 rank 18).
Other notables associated with the Big Four firms are Accenture (2009 rank 11,
up an astonishing 36 ranks from 2008 rank 47), Protiviti (2009 rank 49,
remarkably up 46 ranks from 2008 rank 95).
Two of the Big Six Accounting firms also make the list. Grant Thornton (2009
rank 51, 2008 rank 76) and RSM McGladrey Pullen (2009 rank 66, 2008 rank 104).
Continued
in article
Last
year's rankings were similar ---
Click Here
http://bigfouralumni.blogspot.com/search/label/Best
Places to Launch a Career
Your comments are well stated with respect to efforts of the large accounting
firms to maintain relations with universities and to support the funding of
programs and the placements of top graduates. Accounting would not be a popular
major for top students on campus if graduates did not relatively have a better
chance for launching careers than most other disciplines on campus.
On
a relative basis accountancy schools are doing fairly well. Law schools are
having a much more difficult time placing graduates, and surprisingly nursing
graduates are having much more difficulty finding full-time jobs as hospitals
are facing budget crises and nursing turnover rates declined (many nurses who
want to retire to start families are now supporting unemployed or underemployed
spouses, including one of our RN daughters in Wisconsin).
“Employment change. Employment of accountants and auditors is expected to grow
by 18 percent between 2006 and 2016,
which is faster than the average for all occupations.
This occupation will have a very large number of new jobs arise, almost 226,000
over the projections decade. An increase in the number of businesses, changing
financial laws, and corporate governance regulations, and increased
accountability for protecting an organization’s stakeholders will drive growth.”
Bureau of Labor Statistics Job Outlook, 2008-2009 Edition ---
http://www.bls.gov/oco/ocos001.htm
I think
most colleges are relying more on the long-term BLS outlook rather than the doom
and gloom articles dated in the deep part of this recession.
Thanks Francine.
You’ve added a lot thus far to the AECM with some fresh ideas and observations.
Bob Jensen
December
11, 2009 reply from John Brozovsky
[jbrozovs@VT.EDU]
As an academic and a father I would prefer the firms keep hiring the college
grads and let go the 'more highly paid experienced staff'. Getting that first
job is clearly a harder hurdle than getting the next job. Particularly the next
job if you have big-4 on your resume. We always used to bemoan the fact that
everyone left the big-4 (5, 6, 8) on their own. Evidently they are not leaving
on their own now, probably because the economy appears to be in bad shape and
job prospects weak, so the firms are pushing them out.
At the college level our graduates are having a bit harder time getting the job
but most are still getting them. The main problem pool is international
students. We had to make some additional contacts to place an international
student that had a 4.0 in an MBA program before moving over and getting a
master's in accounting (no grades there yet-part of the problem with hiring in
the fall of a one year program). We placed him with a big 4 firm but in prior
years this would not have required the extra effort.
John
December 11, 2009 reply from Francine McKenna
[retheauditors@GMAIL.COM]
John,
I
understand your preference and I would wish that things would be different
for everyone. But...
You're right that the attrition levels are very low right now in the largest
firms. People are staying because of the weak prospects outside. I just
Tweeted another article:
Securities Litigation Fears Escalate as Companies Cut Compliance and
Internal Audit Staff from a group called
Monadnock Research. MR - Businesses have become more concerned about
becoming a target of securities litigation, according to a recent study from
Deloitte. Fueling this fear, 27.4 percent of respondents report losing
headcount in the compliance and internal audit functions over the past 18
months. Individuals surveyed about which activities would reduce corruption
and fraud risks, respondents cited more fraud awareness training (32.4
percent); expansion of internal audit monitoring procedures (23.1 percent);
more robust fraud risk assessment (18.3 percent); and more oversight from
the board and audit committee (7.5 percent). . .
This is a subscription only publication but if you googled internal audit
and compliance cuts you can find others with a similar trend described.
So
the firms are pushing out "experienced" hires to continue to make room for
lower cost new hires form the universities. Unfortunately, "experienced" is
not what it used to be. The industry accounting hire model is mostly based
on getting fully trained Big 4 "experienced " professionals who leave of
their own accord for better opportunities, with 4-10 years experience. They
were typically coming with their CPA, had been through several busy seasons
and had led audits although maybe not yet promoted to Manager.
Nowadays, staff are being cut with <1 year of experience all the way to
pre-partner. The staff with less than three years of experience are being
asked in some cases to repay CPA signing bonuses and review course
subsidies. They may not yet have their CPA and they do not have enough
experience to be considered "experienced" in the typical way industry had
ben accustomed. Industry and government are not prepared to take over where
the large public accounting firms have left off. Where are the jobs now for
someone with only 1-2 years experience in the Big 4? They can not go to
another firm since they are hiring only new grads and specific expertise at
higher levels. Any ideas? I get lots of mail and comments with that
question? Do any of the professors want to volunteer to answer my mailbag
once a week? That would be a great blog feature: Ask the Professor? What
Do I Do Now?
And the universities continue to allow the firms to come to campus and tout
job opportunities, stability, and great working environments. And the
magazines still print that firms are best places to work or start your
career even given the number of big firm employees suing for wrongful
discharge and who swear they will never recommend the firm in their new
company. Yes, that always existed when someone left involuntarily, but now
it exists in the thousands for each firm in a short amount of time. And the
schools still pride themselves on their excellent placement.
Have the schools reopened placement centers to their accounting graduates
who have been cut for the firms with less than three years experience? Have
they adjusted their placement statistics? If you say to me, "oh, they just
could not cut it..." you will be wrong in most cases now. The cuts at the
firms have gone beyond performance. Even the firms have admitted (at least
Deloitte and KPMG) and made press releases about cuts being caused by the
economy (and their own bad planning) not individual performance.
http://retheauditors.com/2008/08/29/update-deloitte-statement-on-layoffs/
Interesting you mention the international students. Yes, the schools
responded to the firms need for more and more graduates by bringing in more
and more international students. As you can see, now the firms hardly ever
sponsor visas. And when the cuts started at Deloitte, for example, two years
ago, the international students were the first to be let go given the time
and expense of maintaining their status. Many called me in mad scrambles to
quickly find another sponsor and stay in the country. Most had to return to
their "home" country.
http://retheauditors.com/2008/08/07/h1-bs-and-student-visas/
As Internal
Audit Staffs Shrink, Will Fraud Rise?
A new study finds that compliance staffs haven't escaped layoffs, leaving
companies more exposed to risk.
Kate O'Sullivan, CFO.com | US
December 10, 2009
Few corporate departments have been spared layoffs in recent months, and
internal audit and compliance are no exceptions. According to a new poll
by Deloitte Financial Advisory Services, 27% of executives reported
reductions in these areas at their companies in the past 18 months,
despite the fact that compliance experts and internal auditors were
heavily recruited just a few years ago, in the wake of the
Sarbanes-Oxley Act.
The implications for companies are worrisome. "We know that in a
recessionary time, fraud risk and corruption risk rise, so there's a
tension there," says Kerry Francis, chairman of Deloitte Financial
Advisory Services. "You've got a decrease in compliance personnel, and
in this economic environment there's pressure on employees and pressure
on management — and that causes some people to do things that they
shouldn't."
For those compliance staffers left behind, the role becomes more
daunting. Particularly as companies cut travel budgets, the ability to
do thorough site visits is limited, says Francis. "How does internal
audit now execute their responsibilities?" she asks. "How can they be
more strategic in their review and monitoring? There are lots of
challenges facing the remaining personnel." More than ever, close
coordination among internal audit, legal, and compliance personnel "is
critical," she says.
Despite the reduction in compliance personnel, 50% of respondents to the
Deloitte survey, who included CFOs, CEOs, board members, and middle
managers in finance and risk management, said their compliance and
ethics programs are strong. Another 36% said they are adequate. Many
public companies and some private companies invested significantly in
their compliance programs after the passage of Sarbox in 2002, notes
Francis, and they may now feel confident that those programs are
effective even with a reduced staff. But that confidence may not always
be justified. "What seems to be slipping is the actual testing or review
or active monitoring of transactions or behaviors," she points out.
"That's the risk."
Companies may be able to offset some of the increased risk by setting a
very strong ethical tone at the top. But CFOs will have to wait a few
years to see whether highly visible ethical leadership can truly
compensate for fewer compliance checks, as much of the fraud being
committed today won't come to light for years. The average Securities
and Exchange Commission fraud case today spans seven years from the
beginning of an alleged scheme to settlement or litigation, says
Francis.
Francine
An Upbeat Accounting Recruitment Message in a Down Economy
December 10, 2009 reply from David Fordham, James Madison University
[fordhadr@JMU.EDU]
Francine, Ed, Bob, et al:
Also completely anecdotal but on the other side of
the coin:
I have no knowledge or evidence about audit fees,
firm profits, or even demand for audit services, since I've been way too
busy to spend time with recruiters this semester. But based on what my
colleagues are telling me, the cold air has not seeped down to us yet.
We had more firms at our "meet the firms" night
last month than we've ever had before (56). The number of organizations who
recruited accounting majors here set a new school record (66). Our
percentage of May grads who have job offers already (74%)is exactly the same
as it was this time last year, which was up about 5% before the year before
and up 8% from the year before. The actual COUNT of grads who are graduating
and who have jobs is up about 5% over last year. We haven't yet run our
salary survey (to my knowledge) but from the scuttlebutt in talking with
students, the starting salaries for our grads haven't dropped noticeably, if
at all. I still have firms calling me begging to be guest speakers for my
classes, which means they apparently still have time to spend a day driving
over here to class, and still have money enough to spend the night and go to
a basketball game or something.
We graduate around 120 accounting BBA's per year,
and about 75-80 MSA grads each year (almost all of whom were accounting
BBA's the year before). The bachelor number has been relatively steady the
past few years, but the MSA enrollment has quadrupled over the last 3-4
years as the Virginia 150-hr kicked in a couple years ago.
Regarding curriculum, we too have moved several
courses from the undergrad to the grad level, and our undergrad accounting
degree no longer has sufficient accounting hours to meet the 30-hour minimum
to sit for the exam in Virginia. Students not going for the MSA have to add
the CIS minor to get their 150 hours -- and that minor includes an
accounting technology course which puts them over the 30-hour accounting
hurdle. But those who can get in (minimum GPA, GMAT hurdles, etc.) all go
into the Masters program.
The masters program not only has some accounting
courses that used to be undergrad, it also has the original pioneering
Becker Boot-Camp (totally non-credit) starting the week after graduation.
With the Becker boot camp, we are now in the top ten first-time pass-rates
on the Exam. Since practically all our MSA's go into public accounting, the
arrangement has been a boon to the students. Practically all of them have
the course paid for by their employer after passing the exam.
Again, we are probably not typical. The only way we
know the economy is down is that our salaries remain frozen after several
years, our travel was frozen and while unfrozen now, remains under heavy
restrictions, and my computer is now more than five years old. Fortunately,
donations are up, so I still plan to be at the AAA-IS next month.
Of course, I have to admit, about 2/3rds of our
market is Big Four in the Washington/Baltimore area which may be totally
atypical to the rest of the world. But most (>90%) of our grads start in
public accounting (Big 4, second tier, and a sprinkling of smaller firms),
with almost all of the remainder going to government (the GAO, Secret
Service, DoD, and Dept of Justice all have more offers out to our students
this year than last, and are far more aggressive about trying to get their
reps in front of the students than they have ever been in the past).
Purely anecdotal, and quite likely atypical, but
from our unusual vantage point, accounting is still strong. We have no
shortage of students wanting to major in accounting. Because we remain under
a hiring freeze, we have had to manage enrollments by increasing our
minnimum GPA to declare the major, and are implementing an entrance exam to
enroll in intermediate.
David Fordham
James Madison University
Mary, Mary not so contrary about the new financial regulations passed by the
House (in spite of the WSJ lament):
"SEC Chairman Schapiro Statement on House-Passed Financial Regulatory Reform
Legislation," SEC News Release, December 11, 2009 ---
http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2009/2009-263.htm
"They Weren’t There: Auditors And The Financial Crisis," by Francine
McKenna, re: The Auditors, December 7, 2009 ---
http://retheauditors.com/2009/12/07/they-werent-there-auditors-and-the-financial-crisis/
“When the power brokers of the business world
meet, the accountants are never far behind.
While other industries have downsized through
the turmoil of the financial crisis, the “Big Four” accounting firms —
PricewaterhouseCoopers, KPMG, Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, and Ernst &
Young — will end the year with more employees than before the crisis
started. Despite a rocky decade that included the Enron scandal — whose
accounting shenanigans also took down Arthur Andersen, then one of the
world’s largest accounting firms — and the financial crisis, the
accounting industry has emerged stronger than ever before.
“When I called the CEO of one of our very
large clients in the U.S. — it would be inappropriate to tell you who —
there was a time when you would call them and his secretary would say,
‘he’s very busy, he’s tied up in a meeting,’ ” said James Quigley, CEO
of Deloitte. “What they say now is, ‘he’s on the plane right now — would
you like me to patch you through?”
CNN’s Kevin Voigt from the APEC Conference
November 12, 2009
Oh really?
Fellow bloggers
Adrienne Gonzalez and
Caleb Newquist have already ripped up this CNN
interview. We are all embarrassed for this journalist. He listened to a
bunch of horse manure orchestrated by the audit firms’ public relations
flacks and they published it with no verification, challenge, or context.
That’s the other “expectations
gap” we face as journalists when trying to add an
independent, objective, and inevitably critical voice to the story of the
accounting industry. If a journalist doesn’t cover the audit firms and the
business of accounting on a regular basis, they “expect” accounting industry
stories to be boring and maybe a little tedious or hard to understand. They
also “expect” it to be difficult to verify numbers, statistics, and trends
about the revenues, profits, and headcounts of the largest audit firms. So…
Maybe they take their word for it. After all, they’re accountants. (It’s
sadly true that there’s
a dearth of publicly available financial information
about the audit firms, especially in the US.)
But I was struck, actually flabbergasted, by the fat
head remark above from Jim Quigley of Deloitte. He claims that big-time CEOs
answer his phone calls these days. Exactly what is the CEO of Deloitte
Touche Tohmatsu, Deloitte’s global, non-auditing,
“coordinating” umbrella firm
doing calling CEOs about anything important nowadays? Seems like meddling
to me. Deloitte, in particular, has
a lot fewer clients
to call these days anyway. Maybe instead of the CEO of the global firm
calling, the
local partners should have shown some spine, such
as with Bear Stearns and Washington Mutual?
I’ve been writing about the subprime crisis, the one
that morphed into the financial crisis, since 2007. My first post to
mention subprime was March 14, 2007. In that post, discussing KPMG
and New Century, I talked about something that
even the
esteemed short David Einhorn
missed: Repurchase risk was not being disclosed. I’m
still writing about repurchase risk and the banks
are still obfuscating it with the acquiescence of their auditors.
Continued in article
"Ernst & Young Prevails in $140 Million Case Brought by Frontier Creditors
Trust Andrew Longstreth," The American Lawyer, December 14, 2009 ---
http://www.law.com/jsp/article.jsp?id=1202436290441&rss=newswire&utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter
When the creditors of bankrupt companies draw up
lists of litigation targets, auditing firms are often right there at the
top. So it was for the creditors trust of the bankrupt insurer, Frontier
Insurance Group. The trust, represented by John McKetta III of Graves
Dougherty Hearon & Moody, alleged that Ernst & Young underestimated the
reserves Frontier needed to hold, making the company look healthy when it
was actually insolvent. It claimed $140 million in damages, plus interest.
But E&Y decided to make a stand. It refused to chip
up, and instead headed for a jury trial before White Plains, N.Y., federal
district court Judge Cathy Seibel. On Wednesday, after 12 days of trial,
jurors needed only two hours to exonerate the auditor.
"This case shows that E&Y is willing to go to trial
in a case it believes has no merit, even where the threatened damages are
substantial," said Ernst & Young's outside counsel, Dennis Orr of Morrison &
Foerster. Orr told us that Ernst & Young hopes other potential litigants get
the message.
Trust counsel McKetta said no decision had been
made about the trust's next move in the case. But he was gracious in defeat,
complimenting Seibel, the jury, and even the team at Morrison & Foerster.
"They did a terrific job," McKetta said.
Ernst & Young stomps on a "vexatious litigant pursuing clearly frivolous
claim."
"E&Y has AOL-Time Warner case thrown out," by Paul Grant, Accountancy Age,
December 1, 2009 ---
http://www.financialdirector.co.uk/accountancyage/news/2254203/y-aol-warner-case-thrown
Ernst & Young is finally in the
clear over its role in the controversial 2001 AOL-Time Warner merger after
the last of hundreds of lawsuits was dismissed in New York yesterday (30
Nov).
District judge Colleen MacMahon
granted the Big Four’s motion to dismiss the 2003 lawsuit brought by AOL
shareholder Dominic Amorosa as the time limit for securities fraud cases had
expired and the cases had failed to connect the statements made by the
auditor to stock losses.
Amorosa had accused E&Y of
approving false and misleading
financial statements
and concealing AOL’s improper methods of booking online advertising revenue.
E&Y claimed Amorosa, who dropped out of a class action lawsuit to file his
own case, was a “vexatious litigant pursuing clearly frivolous claims”.
Bob Jensen's threads on E&Y litigation are at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/fraud001.htm
"EY Settles SEC Charges Re:
Bally’s Fraud-Lives To Audit Another Day," by Francine McKenna,
re: The Auditors, Decenber 17, 2009 ---
http://retheauditors.com/2009/12/17/ey-settles-sec-charges-re-ballys-fraud-lives-to-audit-another-day/
Rueters News Item via Forbes
---
http://retheauditors.com/2009/12/17/ey-settles-sec-charges-re-ballys-fraud-lives-to-audit-another-day/
Ernst
& Young has agreed to pay $8.5 million to settle civil charges that
it violated accounting rules in connection with a fraud at Bally
Total Fitness Holding Corp, the
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
said Thursday.
The SEC
accused the accounting firm of issuing unqualified audit opinions
that said that Bally's 2001 and 2003 financial statements conformed
with U.S. accounting rules.
Continued in article
Francine's Commentary ---
http://retheauditors.com/2009/12/17/ey-settles-sec-charges-re-ballys-fraud-lives-to-audit-another-day/
“These
opinions were false and misleading,” the SEC said in a statement.
“Ernst &
Young has agreed to pay $8.5 million to settle civil charges that it
violated accounting rules in connection with a fraud at Bally Total
Fitness Holding Corp, theU.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
said Thursday.
The SEC
accused the accounting firm of issuing unqualified audit opinions
that said that Bally’s 2001 and 2003 financial statements conformed
with U.S. accounting rules.
Six of the
accounting firm’s current and former partners also agreed to settle
SEC accounting violation charges as part of this investigation, the
SEC said.
In settling
the allegations, Ernst & Young and the former and current partners
did not admit to any wrongdoing, the SEC said.
“These settlements allow us and several of our partners to put this
matter behind us and resolve issues that arose more than five years
ago,” Ernst & Young said.”
What none
of the stories that just hit tell you, though, is that at least two
of the EY partners charged, Fletchall and Sever, held leadership
positions with the AICPA in the past.
Three of
the partners were members of EY’s leadership team/national office,
giving advice, guidance, and making decisions about accounting
standards on behalf of engagement teams nationwide.
Did Mr.
Fletchall get off with a slap on the wrist given his AICPA
leadership position, AICPA PAC contributions and significant
campaign contributions to Senator Christopher Dodd? Mr. Fletchall is
used to telling the SEC what it should do. Quite used to it.
EY can put
an old case behind them… Yes, of course, since it’s December of 2009
and it’s taken the SEC six years to resolve a case from 2001-2003.
No wonder the firms’ answer to any settlement or disciplinary
proceeding is always, “that’s in the past.”
EY had
independence issues recently and was supended from taking on new
audit clients for six months. How many strikes does a firm get? Why
no strong statement, sanction or other disciplinary action from the
PCAOB for the partners or the firm in relation to this case? Maybe
because Mr. Fletchall was also a member of the PCAOB’s Standang
Advisory Group.
This case points out the long-tail impact of
a bad audit, in causing distress to accounting firms, many years after
the audit has been completed. And we don't think this is the end of the
affair, there are a lot of other pending accounting investigations with
the SEC, Huron Consulting for example, and the outcomes for firms
convicted of wrong doing are going to be high. The SEC is just emerging
itself from getting a bad rap in the Madoff affair, so may be getting a
little more aggressive and assertive than in previous years. Also
investors would hope for drastic changes in the audit process of
accounting firms, if the firms’ integrity as ultimate protectors of
investors’ interests has to be fully and firmly re-established.
"Big Ernst and Young Settlement on Bally Fitness, Large Implications,"
Big Four Blog, December 18, 2009 ---
http://bigfouralumni.blogspot.com/2009/12/big-ernst-and-young-settlement-on-bally.html
Bob Jensen's threads on E&Y litigation ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/fraud001.htm#Ernst
Will the big international auditing firms survive the subprime mortgage
litigation ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#Auditors
Where were the auditors?
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#AuditFirms
The lead article in the November 2009 issue of The Accounting
Review is like a blue plate special that differs greatly from the usual
accountics offerings on the TAR menu over the past four decades. TAR does not
usually publish case studies, field studies, or theory papers or commentaries or
conjectures that do not qualify as research on testable hypotheses or analytical
mathematics. But the November 2009 lead article by John Dickhout is an
exception.
Before reading the TAR tidbit below you
should perhaps read a bit about John Dichaut at the University of Minnesota,
apart from the fact that he's an old guy of my vintage with new ideas that
somehow leapt out of the accountics publishing shackles that typically restrain
creative ideas and "search" apart from "research."
"Gambling on Trust: John Dickhaut uses "neuroeconomics" to study how
people make decisions," OVPR, University of Minnesota ---
On the surface, it's obvious that trust
makes the economic world go round. A worker trusts that he or she will get
paid at the end of the week. Investors trust that earnings reports are based
on fact, not fiction. Back in the mid-1700s, Adam Smith-the father of
economics-built portions of his theories on this principle, which he termed
"sympathy." In the years since then, economists and other thinkers have
developed hundreds of further insights into the ways that people and
economies function. But what if Adam Smith was wrong about sympathy?
Professor John Dickhaut of the Carlson
School of Management's accounting department is one of a growing number of
researchers who uses verifiable laboratory techniques to put principles like
this one to the test. "I'm interested in how people make choices and how
these choices affect the economy," says Dickhaut. A decade ago, he and his
colleagues developed the trust game, an experiment that tracks trust levels
in financial situations between strangers. "The trust game mimics real-world
situations," he says.
Luckily for modern economics-and for
anyone planning an investment-Dickhaut's modern-day scientific methods
verify Adam Smith's insight. People tend to err on the side of trust than
mistrust-are more likely to be a little generous than a little bit stingy.
In fact, a basic tendency to be trusting and to reward trustworthy behavior
may be a norm of human behavior, upon which the laws of society are built.
And that's just the beginning of what the trust game and the field of
experimental economics can teach us.
Trust around the world
Since Dickhaut and his co-authors first
published the results of their research, the trust game has traveled from
the Carlson School at the University of Minnesota all the way to Russia,
China, and France. It's tested gender differences and other variations.
"It's an experiment that bred a cottage
industry," says Dickhaut. Because the trust game has proved so reliable,
researchers now use it to explore new areas. George Mason University's
Vernon Smith, 2002 Nobel Laureate for his work in experimental economics,
used the trust game in some of his path-breaking work. University of
Minnesota researcher and Dickhaut co-author Aldo Rustichini is discovering
that people's moods can be altered in the trust games so that participants
become increasingly organized in their behavior, as if this can impact the
outcome. This happens after the participants are repeatedly put in
situations where their trust has been violated.
Although it's too soon to be certain, such
research could reveal why people respond to troubled times by tightening up
regulations or imposing new ones, such as Sarbanes-Oxley. This new research
suggests that calls for tighter rules may reveal more about the brain than
reduce chaos in the world of finance.
Researchers who study the brain during
economic transactions, or neuroeconomists, scanned the brains of trust game
players in labs across the country to discover the parts of the brain that
"light up" during decision-making. Already, neuroeconomists have discovered
that the section of the brain investors use when making a risky investment,
like in the New York Stock Exchange, is different than the one used when
they invest in a less risky alternative, like a U.S. Treasury bill.
"People don't lay out a complete decision
tree every time they make a choice," Dickhaut says. Understanding the part
of the brain accessed during various situations may help to uncover the
regulatory structures that would be most effective-since people think of
different types of investments so differently, they might react to rules in
different ways as well. Such knowledge might also point to why behaviors
differ when faced with long- or short-term gains.
Dickhaut's original paper, "Trust,
Reciprocity, and Social History," is still a hit. Despite an original
publication date of 1995, the paper recently ranked first in ScienceDirect's
top 25 downloads from the journal Games and Economic Behavior.
Risky business
Dickhaut hasn't spent the past 10 years
resting on his laurels. Instead, he's challenged long-held beliefs with
startling new data. In his latest research, Dickhaut and his coauthors
create lab tests that mimic E-Bay style auctions, bidding contests for major
public works projects, and others types of auctions. The results may be
surprising.
"People don't appear to take risks based
on some general assessment of whether they're risk-seeking or risk-averse,"
says Dickhaut. In other words, it's easy to make faulty assumptions about
how a person will respond to risk. Even people who test as risk-averse might
be willing to make a risky gamble in a certain type of auction.
This research could turn the evaluation of
risk aversion upside down. Insurance company questionnaires are meant to
evaluate how risky a prospective client's behavior might be. In fact, the
questionnaires could simply reveal how a person answers a certain kind of
question, not how he or she would behave when faced with a risky
proposition.
Bubble and bust, laboratory style
In related research, Dickhaut and his
students seek that most elusive of explanations: what produces a
stock-market collapse? His students have successfully created models that
explain market crash situations in the lab. In these crashes, brokers try to
hold off selling until the last possible moment, hoping that they'll get out
at the peak. Buyers try to wait until the prices are the lowest they're
going to get. It's a complicated setting that happens every day-and
infrequently leads to a bubble and a crash.
"It must be more than price alone," says
Dickhaut. "Traditional economics tells us that people are price takers who
don't see that their actions influence prices. Stock buyers don't expect
their purchases to impact a stock's prices. Instead, they think of
themselves as taking advantages of outcomes."
He urges thinkers to take into account
that people are always trying to manipulate the market. "This is almost
always going to happen," he says. "One person will always think he knows
more than the other."
Transparency-giving a buyer all of the
information about a company-is often suggested as the answer to avoiding
inflated prices that can lead to a crash. Common sense says that the more
knowledge a buyer has, the less likely he or she is to pay more than a stock
is worth. Surprisingly, Dickhaut's findings refute this seemingly logical
answer. His lab tests prove that transparency can cause worse outcomes than
in a market with poorer information. In other words, transparent doesn't
equal clearly understood. "People fail to coordinate understanding,"
explains Dickhaut. "They don't communicate their expectations, and they
might think that they understand more than they do about a company."
Do stock prices balloon and crash because
of genuine misunderstandings? Can better communication about a stock's value
really be the key to avoiding future market crashes? "I wish you could say
for sure," says Dickhaut. "That's one of the things we want to find out."
Experimental economics is still a young
discipline, and it seems to raise new questions even as it answers old ones.
Even so, the contributions are real. In 2005 John Dickhaut was awarded the
Carlson School's first career research award, a signal that his research has
been of significant value in his field. "It's fun," he says with a grin.
"There's a lot out there to learn."
Reprinted with permission from the July 2005 edition of
Insights@Carlson School, a publication of the Carlson School of Management.
"The Brain as the Original Accounting Institution"
John Dickhaut
The Accounting Review 84(6), 1703 (2009) (10 pages)
TAR is not a free online journal, although articles can be purchased ---
http://aaahq.org/pubs.cfm
ABSTRACT:
The evolved brain neuronally processed information on human interaction long
before the development of formal accounting institutions. Could the neuronal
processes represent the underpinnings of the accounting principles that
exist today? This question is pursued several ways: first as an examination
of parallel structures that exist between the brain and accounting
principles, second as an explanation of why such parallels might exist, and
third as an explicit description of a paradigm that shows how the benefits
of an accounting procedure can emerge in an experiment.
The following are noteworthy in terms of this being a blue plate special
apart from the usual accountics fare at the TAR Restaurant:
- There are no equations that amount to anything beyond a seventh grade
algebra equation.
- There are no statistical inference tests, although much of the
discussion is based upon prior experimental models and tests.
- The paper is largely descriptive conjecture by brain analogy.
- I view this paper as a commentary even though the current Editor of TAR
declared he will not publish commentaries.
- The paper goes far back in history with the brain analogy.
- To date the TAR Editor has not been fired by the AAA Accountics Tribunal
for accepting and publishing this commentary that is neither empirical nor
advanced mathematical analysis. However, you must remember that it's a
November 2009 edition of TAR, and I'm writing this tidbit in late November.
Thunder and lightning from above could still wipe out Sarasota before the
year end.
- The paper is far out in the conjectural ether. I think John is lifting
the brain metaphor to where the air is thin and a bit too hot for me, but perhaps I'm an aging luddite with a failing brain. I reached my
limit of the brain analogy in my metacognitive learning paper (which is also
brain conjecture by analogy) ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/265wp.htm
Professor Dickhaut presents a much wider discussion of all parts of the
brain. My research never went beyond the tiny hippocampus
part of the brain.
John was saved from the wrath of the AAA Accountics Tribunal by also having
an accountics paper (with complicated equations) published in the same November
2009 edition of TAR.
"Market Efficiencies and Drift: A Computational Model"
John Dickhaut and
Baohua Xin
The Accounting Review 84(6), 1805 (2009) (27 pages)
Whew!
Good work John!
Question
What are the two manufacturing models (old versus new) attributed to Japanese
creativity?
Hint
The older creative model is sometimes called the Kanban Model. Instead of having
a linear manufacturing model invented by Henry Ford, the "line" is really a
grouping of U-shaped work stations containing something where workers are
trained to take over for each other on any work station inside the U. Hence a
special feature is that there is less likely to be a major slow down at
bottlenecks in Henry Ford's original line. The U-Shaped stations are often
grouped in parallel lines to reduce the bottleneck risk even further.
The Japanese model also consisted of the concept of Just-In-Time inventory in
which the raw material needed for production arrives at the plant, in theory, at
the instant it is needed on the line. Hence huge cushions of raw material are no
longer needed ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Just-in-time_(business)
However, JIT does not always work as well in the U.S. as it does in Japan.
Firstly, the suppliers and buyers of raw materials are much more closely related
in Japan's virtual men's club of business systems. Secondly, Japan is much
smaller than the United States and has a much, much more efficient freight train
service that overcomes trucking road jams. Manufacturers have much greater trust
that raw materials really will arrive on schedule.
The JIT system, if successful, changes cost accounting as well as costs
themselves. The costs of carrying inventory (especially financing costs) are
almost eliminated.
But the Kanban is much, much more ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kanban
The Kanban is also important because it led to innovations in cost accounting
and managerial accounting in general. Most importantly the Japanese were
innovative in accounting for the costs of poor quality or quality control
breakdowns.
The "new" Japanese manufacturing model is featured in the case below:
Teaching Case
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review December 3, 2009
Sharp's New Plan Reinvents Japan Manufacturing Model
by Daisuke
Wakabayashi
Dec 01, 2009
Click here to view the full article on WSJ.com
TOPICS: Cost
Accounting, Fixed Costs, Just-In-Time Inventory Management
SUMMARY: In
Sakai city, Sharp has just opened, six months early, the most expensive
manufacturing site ever built in Japan. "Even Sharp...acknowledged that the
company only gave the green light to proceed during a boom period for
LCD-panel demand, and that a similar choice might not be made in today's
market." Two factors are expected to reduce costs of operations at the site:
One is the size of the glass used to make the LCDs. Sharp is using the
industry's biggest...which allow the company to produce 18 40-inch LCD
panels from a single substrate-more than double the eight 40-inch panels per
sheet it uses at its other LCD television panel-making factory. The other
factor: Sharp has [moved] suppliers on site [in] a kind of
hyper-"just-in-time" delivery system."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article can be used to cover just in time and other manufacturing cost
issues in management or cost accounting.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
What is the Japanese manufacturing model referred to in the headline?
2. (Advanced)
In general, how do just-in-time systems help to save costs in any
manufacturing facility?
3. (Introductory)
How has this model been changed by the factory built by Sharp? Why does the
author call it a "hyper-'just-in-time' delivery system?
4. (Advanced)
What savings from economies of scale, besides the just-in-time system, are
Sharp executives hoping to obtain from the new manufacturing plant?
5. (Advanced)
What risks are evident in Sharp's decision to invest in technology in Japan
rather than spend funds on labor elsewhere? In your answer, comment on the
risks of high fixed costs in economic downturns.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
"Sharp's New Plan Reinvents Japan Manufacturing Model," by Daisuke
Wakabayashi, The Wall Street Journal, December 1, 2009 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704498804574559820344775310.html?mod=djem_jiewr_AC
Sharp Corp.'s new production complex in
western Japan is massive by any measure: It cost $11 billion to build and
covers enough land to occupy 32 baseball stadiums. But it carries a meaning
as large as its physical size. It's a litmus test for the future of Japanese
high-tech manufacturing.
The facility, considered the most
expensive manufacturing site ever built in Japan, started churning out
liquid-crystal display panels last month, and Sharp's new flagship
televisions featuring the energy-efficient LCD panels go on sale in the U.S.
next month. Sharp moved forward the factory's planned opening by six months,
saying the new plant would help it be more competitive.
"When you look to the next 10 or 20 years,
the existing industrial model doesn't have a future," Toshihige Hamano,
Sharp's executive vice president in charge of the Sakai facility, said in an
interview. "We had to change the very concept of how to run a factory."
Located in Sakai city along Osaka
prefecture's waterfront, the complex represents Japanese industry's biggest
gamble in LCD panels to remain competitive with rivals from South Korea,
Taiwan, and China.
The factory's size accommodates two main
factors. One is the size of the glass used to make the LCDs. Sharp is using
the industry's biggest, or "10th generation," sheets, which allow the
company to produce 18 40-inch LCD panels from a single substrate—more than
double the eight 40-inch panels per sheet it uses at its other LCD
television panel-making factory.
The other factor: Sharp has decided to try
and cut costs by moving suppliers on site, a kind of hyper-"just-in-time"
delivery system.
The plant currently employs 2,000
people—roughly half from Sharp and half from its suppliers—although the work
force will ultimately reach 5,000 as it adds production of solar panels as
well.
It remains to be seen whether it makes
sense for Sharp to keep seeking ever more-sophisticated production in Japan,
or, as competitors have, to simply use less advanced production techniques
at lower costs in places like China.
CLSA research analyst Atul Goyal warned in
a report last month that the company is making a mistake by "chasing
technology" with the new factory.
In the past, such efforts by Japanese
electronics makers have resulted in costly capital investments, only to be
confronted with limited appetite for cutting-edge technology and then
eventually outflanked by a cheaper alternative.
Even Sharp's Mr. Hamano acknowledged that
the company only gave the green light to proceed during a boom period for
LCD-panel demand, and that a similar choice might not be made in today's
market.
Rival Samsung Electronics Co. has said it
is looking into building a new LCD-panel factory using even bigger glass
sheets than Sharp, while LG Display Co. has said it plans to build a new
factory in China using current glass size.
Sharp announced the Sakai project two
years ago when LCD demand was surging and the company had produced five
straight years of record profit. When consumer spending ground to a halt in
late 2008, Sharp didn't cut costs and curb production quickly enough.
Saddled with excess inventory, Sharp posted the first annual loss in nearly
60 years in the fiscal year ended March 31, 2009.
The experience taught Sharp a painful
lesson that its supply chain needed to be leaner and its production more
efficient, especially if the factory was going to be in Japan, where the
strong yen and expensive labor force put the company at a disadvantage to
its Asian competitors.
Sharp aims to streamline the costly
LCD-panel production process by moving 17 outside suppliers and service
providers inside its factory walls to work as "one virtual company."
In the past, Sharp kept suppliers within
driving distance. Now they are all within the same facility. Supplies are
sent not by truck from a nearby factory but by automated trolleys snaking
from one building to another.
The suppliers, which include Asahi Glass
Co. and Dai Nippon Printing Co., built and paid for their own facilities and
are renting the land from Sharp.
Despite their location inside the plant,
Sharp says its suppliers are permitted to sell their products to other
companies.
At Sakai, Sharp has also linked its
computer systems with suppliers so an order to the factory alerts suppliers
right away. In the past, Sharp would email or call suppliers and place
orders, creating a longer lag time.
Sharp wouldn't disclose how much, if any,
cost savings will result from manufacturing LCD panels at Sakai, but
analysts estimate a 5% to 10% savings.
Corning Inc. the world's largest maker of
LCD glass substrates, built a factory next to Sharp's Sakai plant. Corning
says the arrangement reduced total order cycle time from an average of one
to two weeks to a matter of hours. Corning also says the proximity reduced
the damage risk in transporting massive glass sheets on trucks.
While Sharp is a long-standing customer,
Corning said it was concerned initially that building a factory on site
would mean that it was "hitching its wagon" to Sharp since it's the only
customer for such large glass substrates. Ultimately, Corning decided to
proceed based on its faith in Sharp's Sakai plans.
"There's nothing like it anywhere,"
said James Clappin, president of Corning Display Technologies.
December 5, 2009 reply from James R. Martin/University of South Florida
[jmartin@MAAW.INFO]
I have been working on MAAW's
Japanese Management Section for about 15 years. For a considerable amount of
material on JIT, Kanban, etc. see:http://maaw.info/JapaneseMain.htm
See also:
http://maaw.info/Chapter8.htm
Bibilography, articles
summaries, chapter on JIT,etc.
James R. Martin
Bob Jensen's threads on accounting theory are at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm
Sue Haka, former AAA President, commenced a thread on the AAA Commons
entitled
"Saving Management Accounting in the Academy,"
---
http://commons.aaahq.org/posts/98949b972d
A succession of comments followed.
The latest comment (from James Gong) may be of special interest to some of
you.
Ken Merchant is a former faculty member from Harvard University who form many
years now has been on the faculty at the University of Southern California.
Here are my two cents. First, on the teaching side,
the management accounting textbooks fail to cover new topics or issues. For
instance, few textbooks cover real options based capital budgeting, product
life cycle management, risk management, and revenue driver analysis. While
other disciplines invade management accounting, we need to invade their
domains too. About five or six years ago, Ken Merchant had written a few
critical comments on Garrison/Noreen textbook for its lack of breadth. Ken's
comments are still valid. Second, on the research and publication side,
management accounting researchers have disadvantage in getting data and
publishing papers compared with financial peers. Again, Ken Merchant has an
excellent discussion on this topic at an AAA annual conference.
Bob Jensen's threads on Real Options are at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/realopt.htm
Bob Jensen's somewhat ignored threads on managerial and cost accounting
are at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#ManagementAccounting
ICMA Announces Reorganization of Certified Management Accountant (CMA)
Exam
December 15, 2009 message from James R. Martin/University of South Florida
[jmartin@MAAW.INFO]
According to Brausch and Whitney (Strategic
Finance, December 2009, p. 9) the changes to the CMA exam are intended to
dramatically increase the value of the CMA in the market.
Beginning in the spring of 2010 the exam will
include only two four-hour exams, each consisting of 100 multiple choice
questions and two 30-minute essay questions. For more specifics see http://www.imanet.org/certification.asp
When I became a CMA in 1977, (Certificate 733) the
exam was made up of five 3.5-hour exams spread out over three days. My
initial reaction to the current change is that more people will take and
pass the exam, but the value of the CMA will decline. I hope I am wrong
about this, but I think the IMA is shooting themselves in the foot.
I would like to know what other people think about
the change, particularly those who are CMA's. Will the effect of the change
on the value of the CMA be positive or negative?
Another thought: Someone could do a survey of
current accounting faculty, practicing accountants, and CMA's, and get a
publication out of this.
"ICMA Announces Reorganization of Certified Management Accountant (CMA)
Exam," SmartPros, December 2, 2009 ---
http://accounting.smartpros.com/x68295.xml
The Institute of
Certified Management Accountants (ICMA), the certification division of the
Institute of Management Accountants (IMA), today announced a significant
reorganization of its renowned Certified Management Accountant (CMA) curriculum
and examination format.
The CMA exam, which
continues to be a career-enhancing credential valued and sought by employers,
will be updated next spring to align even more closely with the critical
knowledge and skills accountants and financial professionals use every day.
By focusing specifically
on a body of advanced accounting and financial knowledge, the program will now
consist of two exam parts rather than four. The updated exam’s subject matter
places greater emphasis on the issues most critical to accountants and financial
professionals in business, including financial planning, analysis, control and
decision support.
“The new CMA program will
maintain the rigor and relevance for which the CMA is highly regarded. At the
same time, we have made changes to the program to adapt to the changing
profession and the needs of today’s business professionals,” said ICMA Senior
Vice President Dennis Whitney.
With more than 30,000 CMA
certificates awarded to date, the CMA program continues to demonstrate its value
to professionals. In fact, according to IMA’s 2008 Annual Salary Survey, members
holding the CMA designation earned an average of 24 percent more in salary than
their non-certified peers.
“We are confident the
enhancements to the CMA program will ensure the credential’s continued relevance
and value in organizations around the world as the most appropriate designation
for accountants and financial professionals working in business,” said Joseph A.
Vincent, CMA, ICMA Board of Regents Chair.
In tandem with the
introduction of the new CMA program, the association also introduced new IMA and
CMA brand logos.
Enrollment in the new CMA
program will begin in spring 2010. Candidates may take the new CMA examinations
starting May 1, 2010. For more information about the CMA certification program,
please visit
www.imanet.org/certification
December 16, 2009 reply from Ron Huefner
[rhuefner@ACSU.BUFFALO.EDU]
As the holder of CMA certificate number 2, let me
weigh in on this discussion.
In my view, the CMA has never caught on among
students and young professionals, because it does not convey an image of any
particular skill set or employment role, relative to other non-CPA
certifications. The Certified Internal Auditor (CIA), Certified Fraud
Examiner (CFE) and Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) all convey the image of
a particular set of skills and a fairly well defined job function. But I'd
find it hard to define the skill set suggested by the CMA. As to job
function, "management accountant" is not a common job title. Thus it's hard
for students to get any feel for this field.
The IMA has had the same problem of conveying an
image. They have toyed with "finance" as their image. They gave a
CMA-parallel exam -- the CFM, Certified in Financial Management -- for a
while, but eventually dropped it. The flagship journal, "Management
Accounting", was long ago renamed "Strategic Finance." But it's not clear
this has solved their image problem. Nor does it seem they are viewed
seriously as a finance organization.
Part of the problem is that there is an extremely
wide range of job functions under the notion of "management accounting," so
it is hard for a clear image to come through.
Until a sense of the implied skill set and the job
function(s) of the CMA can be developed, I don't think it's going to get
much traction among students.
Ron Huefner
Ronald J. Huefner
Distinguished Teaching Professor
University at Buffalo
Jensen Comment
James Martin maintains the massive management accounting knowledge base at
http://maaw.info/
The CMA examination is administered by the Institute of Management
Accountants (IMA) ---
http://www.imanet.org/
"Beware Misguided Accountants," by Gary Cokins, Big Fat Finance
Blog, December 1st, 2009 ---
http://bigfatfinanceblog.com/2009/12/01/beware-misguided-accountants/
. . .
Imagine that several centuries ago there was a
navigator who served on a wooden sailing ship that regularly sailed through
dangerous waters. It was the navigator’s job to make sure the captain safely
and efficiently sailed the ship from one point to another. In the
performance of his duties, the navigator relied on a set of sophisticated
instruments. Without the effective functioning of these instruments, it
would be impossible for him to chart the ship’s safest and most efficient
course.
One day the navigator realized that one of his most
important instruments was calibrated incorrectly. As a result, he provided
the captain inaccurate navigational information. No one but the navigator
knew of this calibration problem, and the navigator decided not to inform
the captain. He was afraid that the captain would blame him for not
detecting the problem sooner and then require him to find a way to report
the measurements more accurately. That would require a lot of work.
As a result, the navigator always made sure he
slept near a lifeboat so that if the erroneous navigational information led
to a disaster, he wouldn’t go down with the ship. Eventually, the ship hit a
reef that the captain believed to be miles away. The ship was lost, the
cargo was lost, and many sailors lost their lives. The navigator, always in
close proximity to the lifeboats, survived the sinking and later became the
navigator on another ship.
Perils of poor managerial accounting
Can a similar story be told in today’s times?
Centuries later, there was a management accountant who worked for a company
in which a great deal of money was invested. It was this management
accountant’s job to provide information on how the company had performed,
its current financial position, and the likely consequences of decisions
being considered by the company’s president and managers. In the performance
of his duties, the management accountant relied on a managerial cost
accounting system that was believed to represent the economics of the
company. Without the effective functioning of the costing practices reported
from this system, it would be impossible for the accountant to provide the
president with the accurate and relevant cost and profit margin information
he needed to make economically sound decisions.
One day the management accountant realized that the
calculations and practices on which the cost system was based were
incorrect. It did not reflect the economic realities of the company. The
input data was correct, but the reported information was flawed. A broadly
averaged cost allocation factor was used with no causal relationship to the
outputs being costed. As a result, the current and forward-looking
information he provided to support the president’s decision making was
incorrect. No one but the management accountant knew this problem existed.
He decided not to inform the president. He was afraid that the president
would blame him for not detecting the problem sooner and then require him to
go through the agonizing effort of developing and implementing a new, more
accurate and relevant cost system using activity based costing (ABC)
principles. That would require a lot of work. Wouldn’t it?
Meanwhile, the management accountant always made
sure he kept his network with other professionals intact in case he had to
find another position. Not surprisingly, the president’s poorly informed
pricing, investment, and other decisions led the company into bankruptcy.
The company went out of business, the owners lost their investment,
creditors incurred financial losses, and many hard-working employees lost
their jobs. However, the management accountant easily found a job at another
company.
The accountant as a bad navigator
Why do so many accountants behave so irresponsibly?
The list of answers is long. Some believe the costing error is not that big.
Some think that extra administrative effort required to collect and
calculate the new information will not offset the benefits of better
decision making. Some think costs don’t matter because the focus should be
on sales growth. Whatever reasons are cited, accountants’ resistance to
change is based less on ignorance and more on misconceptions about what
determines and influences accurate costing.
Today commercial ABC software and their associated
analytics have dramatically reduced the effort to report good managerial
accounting information, and the benefits are widely heralded. Furthermore,
the preferred ABC implementation method is rapid prototyping with
iteratively scaled modeling, which has destroyed myths about implementing
ABC as being too complicated and lengthy. An ABC system can be implemented
in a few weeks, not months.
Reasonably accurate cost and profit information is
one of the pillars of performance management’s portfolio of integrated
methodologies. Accountants unwilling to adopt logical costing methods, and
managers who tolerate the perpetuation of flawed reporting, should change
their ways. Stay on the ship or get off the ship before real damage is done.
Thank you for the heads up Francine!
"Fifteen Risk Factors for Poor Governance A self-diagnostic to identify risk
factors for poor governance and reporting," by Walter Smiechewicz (who at
one time worked for the scandalous Countrywide), Directorship, September
8, 2009 ---
http://www.directorship.com/fifteen-risk-factors-for-poor-governance/
Some of the best indicators of our overall physical
health come from blood tests. Unfortunately, too often we don’t begin to
watch and manage these numbers until later on in life. Of course, it’s never
too late to improve your diet and exercise, but we’re always left thinking,
“if only I’d paid attention to this earlier.”
With so many recent corporate crises, it is plain
it’s suffice to say that a great many corporate board members and executives
are experiencing similar regret right now. Perhaps this could have been
avoided if they too had practiced routine diagnostic check ups. Like an
individual blood test, board members need to know the risks their company is
facing, and as with any health risk, they also need to be able to mitigate
those exposures.
Sounds great, but the devils in the details, right?
Perhaps not.
As chief consultant for governance and risk at
Audit Integrity, I’ve examined the worst U.S. companies from an “integrity”
standpoint in order to help board members and general auditors see how their
company’s health stacks up. Audit Integrity’s metrics have shown which
companies are 10 times more likely to face SEC Actions; five times more
likely to face class action litigation; and four times more likely to face
bankruptcy.
Using Audit Integrity’s proprietary AGR
(Accounting, Governance, and Risk) score, 196 companies were identified as
laggards or high-risk companies. These companies have been proven to have
higher odds of SEC actions and class action litigation, loss of shareholder
value, and increased odds of material financial restatement and bankruptcy.
All are North American, non-financial, publicly traded companies with over
$2 billion in market capitalization with an average-to-weak financial
condition.
Next, I tested the 119 metrics that Audit Integrity
flags and discovered that 15 of those metrics appeared consistently as
identifiers of problematic companies; the first metric was prevalent in 65
percent of the 196 high-risk companies and the 11th evident in 40 percent.
The other 8,000 companies tested had low incidences of these same metrics. A
list – dubbed the Risky Business Catalogue – details the common metrics
within high-risk companies. Board members, the C-suite, and general auditors
should note if their company is a candidate for the RBC. The evidence is not
saying that significant issues are imminent if a company has one of the RBCs,
but a combination of RBC metrics indicate risk factors to the entity’s
business model and strategy.
RBC’s metrics include:
1. The company has entered into a merger within the
last 12 months. While there is certainly nothing wrong with corporate M&A
activity, it’s common for policies to be revised and system integrations to
be rushed. Company directors need to caution general auditors to be extra
vigilant post merger and increase testing of balance sheet accounts.
2. The CEO and CFO’s compensation is more highly
weighted toward incentive compensation than base compensation. This
situation can cause negative motivations and earnings to be increased more
creatively to ensure a larger portion of executive pay packages. Close
attention should be paid to revenue recognition.
3. The Board Chairman is also the CEO. An age-old
debate, but indispuditedly conflicts of interest invariably result when a
company CEO is also its Chairman. Separate the roles to improve governance
and reduce compromised oversight.Compromised reliability exists because the
very architecture of governance has a built in conflict when the Chairman is
also CEO.
4. The company has undergone a restructuring in the
last 12 months. Restructuring may be completely valid, but also can be
employed to conceal the lack of sustainable earnings growth. Directors, by
role definition, should be intimately involved in restructuring procedures
decisions and promised outcomes.
5. The company has encountered a public regulatory
action in the last 12 months. Many corporate stakeholders hold true to the
statement that where there’s smoke, there’s fire. Directors should no longer
accept “no worries” explanations on regulatory matters. Compliance tests
should be employed routinely and if regulatory action does occur, management
needs to take action.
6. The amount of goodwill carried on the balance
sheet, when compared to total assets, is high. When intangible assets such
as goodwill grow, boards should ask more probing questions about how the
business model generated these assets and about concomitant valuation
protocols. General Auditors should confirm that models are comprehensively
back tested and impairment procedures are adhered to assiduously.
7. The ratio of the CEO’s total compensation to
that of the CFO is high. If a CEO is awarded a much larger paycheck than
anyone else (particularly particularally the CFO), it increases governance
risk and leads to a top-directed culture, thus limiting collaboration.
Boards need to be involved in all executive compensation issues including
that which drives pay packages for the CFO, Chief Risk Officer, as well as
internal auditors,. etc.
8. Operating revenue is high when compared to
operating expenses. Riskier companies have revenue recognition in excess of
what is expected based on operating revenues. Directors should fully
understand revenue recognition policies and instruct management to test them
to be sure they are not aggressive.
9. A Divestiture(s) has occurred in the last 12
months. Data shows that riskier companies have more divestures, usually
because it is an opportunity for more aggressive accounting activity. Board
members should inquire as to how this action fits the strategy.
10. Debt to equity ratio is high. When a business
relies too heavily on debt it reveals that markets are not independently
funding the business model or strategy. Boards should know why the markets
are not investing in their entity and therefore why debt is so heavily
relied upon. Board members should also be knowledgeable on the quality of
their equity and not just the amount. Lastly, they should understand
management’s funding overall funding strategy and the strength of contingent
funding plans.
11. A repurchase of company stock has taken place
in the last 12 months. A repurchase of stock is usually presented to
investors as an avenue to increase market demand for the stock, thereby
elevating overall shareholder value. Management must provide reasoning for
why there are no other ways to invest excess funds. Boards should also
request the general auditor to review insider sales during the period of
share repurchase programs.
12. Inventory valuations to total revenue is
increasing. When inventory increases in relation to revenue it should raise
control questions about inventory valuation. It could indicate changing
consumer preferences, which should spur an analysis of a corporation’s
business model.
13. Accounts receivables to sales is increasing.
This situation can typically be indicative of relaxed credit standards.
Directors should ask whether sales are decreasing due to market conditions
and instruct the general auditor to probe receivables to determine their
viability.
14. Asset turnover has slowed when compared to
industry peers. If assets are increasing and sales are not flowing it could
indicate less productive assets are being brought, or retained, on the
balance sheet. Conversely, if sales are decreasing, executives and auditors
will again want to analyze changing customer preferences.
15. Assets driven by financial models make up a
larger portion of balance sheet. A collection of other accounting metrics
indicates that boards, the C-suite, and general auditors should pay special
attention to the controls, assumptions, and governance surrounding assets
whose valuations are model driven. This is particularly true if assets that
are valued by financial models make up a larger portion of the entities
balance sheet.
To be sure, any one of these in isolation as an
indicator of accounting and governance risk can be debated. Company
divestitures and M&A can be a healthy indicator. But if a corporation fails
more than a few of these metrics, board members need to take action.
It is easy to dismiss any one of these metrics when
you find it is an issue in your company. Human nature is quick to retort –
maybe for others but not for us. However, like time and tide, the numbers
too, wait for no one. So, if you have any of these AGR metrics, you need to
begin confronting these risk characteristics today to improve your corporate
health and avoid the much more drastic financial equivalent of
cardiovascular surgery tomorrow.
Walter Smiechewicz is chief consultant for governance and risk at
Audit Integrity, a research firm that provides accounting and governance
risk analysis
December 5, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
Here are some added thoughts:
The risk factors are excerpted from AICPA
Statement on Auditing Standards 82, “Consideration of Fraud in a Financial
Statement Audit” (1997). That statement was issued to provide guidance to
auditors in fulfilling their responsibility “to plan and perform the audit
to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the financial statements are
free of material misstatement, whether caused by error or fraud.” Although
there risk factor cover a broad range of situations, they are only examples.
In the final analysis, audit committee members should use sound informed
judgment when assessing the significance and relevance of fraud risk factors
that may exist.
http://www2.gsu.edu/~wwwseh/Financial Reporting Red Flags.pdf
There may be an update on this material.
Reflections on the audit committee's role ---
http://www.allbusiness.com/accounting-reporting/auditing/173956-1.html
You might browse some of the Financial
Analysis Lab materials at Georgia Tech (directed by Chuck Mulford) ---
http://mgt.gatech.edu/fac_research/centers_initiatives/finlab/index.html
This is one of the best centers of academic study of financial reporting and
fraud.
Mulford and Gene Comiskey some great books on
red flags in financial reporting. These include the following:
·
Creative Cash Flow
Reporting: Uncovering Sustainable Financial Performance
·
The Financial Numbers
Game: Detecting Creative Accounting Practices
·
Financial Warnings:
Detecting Earning Surprises, Avoiding Business Troubles, Implementing
Corrective Strategies
This is a bit dated (1996) but it is a classic that I keep within arms
reach.
Fraudulent Revenue Accounting
"Detecting Circular Cash Flow: Healthy doses of skepticism and due care
can help uncover schemes to inflate sales," by John F. Monhemius and Kevin
P. Durkin, Journal of Accountancy, December 2009 ---
http://www.journalofaccountancy.com/Issues/2009/Dec/20091793.htm
Following an initial customer confirmation request
with no response, a first-year auditor mails a second and third request, all
under the supervision of the auditor-in-charge assigned to the account.
Field work begins on the audit, but there is still no response from the
customer. Another auditor scanning the cash journal from the beginning of
the year through the current date notes that all outstanding invoices have
subsequently been paid from this customer during this period. Customer check
copies are provided, and remittances indicate that payment has been received
in settlement of all outstanding invoices at fiscal year-end for this
customer. But has the existence of accounts receivable from this customer at
fiscal year-end really been established?
Fraudsters have been creating increasingly complex
and sophisticated schemes designed to rely on potential weaknesses in the
execution of audit procedures surrounding key assertions such as existence.
A financial statement auditor can use his or her professional judgment while
carrying out audit procedures to detect such a scheme.
Given the difficult economic times of the past
year, special care should be given to consider fraud while performing audit
engagements. One fraud scheme that has been encountered with increasing
frequency involves the inflation of accounts receivable and sales through
the creation of a circular flow of cash through a company to give the
appearance of increasing revenue and existence of accounts receivable. This
article addresses this fraud technique when used to materially overstate
assets and inflate borrowing capacity under an asset-based revolving line of
credit. This article also points out red flags that may help uncover such a
scheme.
BACKGROUND
A typical asset-based revolving line of credit
allows a company to borrow funds for working capital. The borrowing limit is
based on a formula that takes into account various working capital assets
and related advance rates. A typical availability formula allows for loan
advances equal to a set percentage of asset balances.
This article focuses on an accounts receivable-
backed line of credit, an asset that is prone to manipulation in this
specific fraud scheme. Typical advances against accounts receivable range
from 75% to 85% of eligible accounts receivable. Items excluded from
eligible collateral would include invoices aged over 90 days, affiliate
receivables or any other invoice that would create a nonprime receivable
from the lender’s perspective. The loan agreement in an asset-based loan
facility requires management to submit an availability calculation
periodically. This allows the lender to monitor collateral levels and
exposure. A generic accounts receivable availability calculation is
illustrated in Exhibit 1.
Continued in article
Bob Jensen's threads on revenue accounting frauds
Revenue Reporting Frauds ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/ecommerce/eitf01.htm
Bob Jensen's Fraud Updates ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudUpdates.htm
Third Disgraced Pennsylvania Revenue Secretary to Resign in the Rendell
Administration.
"Whip DeWeese, revenue chief Stetler charged in corruption probe," by Brad
Bumsted, Pittsburgh Tribune Review, December 15, 2009 ---
http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/news/breaking/s_657829.html
Former state House Speaker H. William DeWeese,
former Revenue Secretary Steve Stetler and DeWeese aide Sharon Rodavich were
charged today in an ongoing legislative corruption investigation led by
Attorney General Tom Corbett.
DeWeese, D-Greene County, Stetler and Rodavich were
charged with theft, conspiracy and conflict of interest. The charges against
DeWeese and Rodavich stem from their allegedly raising money for DeWeese's
campaigns with state-paid workers, resources and time.
"The grand jury showed that DeWeese's legislative
dstaff and campaign staff were virtually one and the same," Corbett said.
DeWeese aides testified to the grand jury that "campaign work for DeWeese
was expected" from legislative staff.
They are the latest ensnared in a nearly 3-year-old
probe, which has resulted in charges against 22 other current and former
Democrat and Republican staffers and lawmakers. DeWeese is the second former
speaker charged in the investigation. Republican John Perzel of Philadelphia
was charged Nov. 12 with spending millions of taxpayer dollars on campaigns.
DeWeese saw his former chief of staff, Mike Manzo,
and former right-hand man Mike Veon charged in the first round of
indictments, handed down in July 2008. DeWeese, a 33-year veteran of the
House, has been a force in state politics for nearly two decades, including
a stint in 1993 as Speaker.
Stetler, a former House member from York who
oversaw Democratic campaigns, resigned this morning as a member of Gov. Ed
Rendell's Cabinet, a senior administration official said.
Corbett's announcement comes as the General
Assembly is in the midst of approving table games at casinos. The charges
could create chaos in a legislature stung by a series of disclosures since
the investigation began in February 2007. Recent polls show public opinion
of the body at its lowest level ever, after earlier charges and a 101-day
budget impasse.
The Tribune-Review reported last week that DeWeese
met three times with the attorney general's investigative team and his
attorney Walter Cohen said he was cooperating fully. DeWeese was not seeking
immunity, Cohen said.
Cohen said today he received no information about
Corbett's charges.
Last week, the attorney general's office lost the
first corruption case to go to trial. Former Rep. Sean Ramaley of Baden was
acquitted on six felony counts of holding a sham job in Veon's Beaver Falls
office.
Prosecutors alleged Ramaley used the job to
campaign. A Dauphin County jury cleared him after his lawyer Philp Ignelzi
of Pittsburgh told jurors there was reasonable doubt about each charge.
Five Democrats in that case have agreed to plead
guilty. Veon, facing multiple charges of theft, conflict of interest and
conspiracy, is slated for trial Jan. 19 along with aides. That case revolves
around the use of millions of dollars in taxpayer-financed bonuses to reward
staffers who worked campaigns. Veon, Annamarie Peretta-Rosepink and Brett
Cott, strongly maintain their innocence.
Last month, former House Speaker John Perzel,
R-Philadelphia, was accused with 9 other Republicans of directing a scheme
to divert $10 million in tax money to pay for sophisticated computer
equipment and programs that Perzel allegedly wanted to give Republicans an
edge in elections. Perzel through his attorney says he is innocent of all
charges.
Bob Jensen's fraud updates are at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudUpdates.htm
Hard Copy of FASB Codification Available
FASB Codification Bound Vols. FASB Codification—Four Volumes (This bound
edition is expected to be available the week of December 21. Your credit card
will not be charged until the publication is shipped. For orders of 6 or more
sets please call 800.748.0659.)
https://www.fasb.org/jsp/FASB/Page/Store/ProductPage&subjectId=25COD
This print edition also includes the
codification of FASB Statements No. 166, Accounting for Transfers
of Financial Assets, and No. 167, Amendments to FASB
Interpretation No. 46(R), although the codification of these two
Statements has not been released in the online version as of October
31, 2009. FASB Statement No. 164, Not-for-Profit Entities:
Mergers and Acquisitions, has not been codified as of October
31, 2009 and is not included in this bound edition.
Volume 1 includes the Notice to Constituents which
provides information to aid in understanding the topical structure,
content, style, and history of the FASB Codification and also
contains the following Areas:
- General Principles (Topic 105)
- Presentation (Topics 205 through 280)
- Assets (Topics 305 through 360)
- Liabilities (Topics 405 through 480)
- Equity (Topic 505).
Volume 2 includes:
- Revenue (Topic 605)
- Expenses (Topics 705 through 740)
- Part of the Broad Transactions Area
(Topics 805 through 815).
Volume 3 includes:
- The remainder of the Broad
Transactions Area (Topics 820 through 860)
- Part of the Industry Area (Topics 905
through 944).
Volume 4 includes:
- The remainder of the Industry Area
(Topics 946 through 995)
- The Master Glossary.
|
|
PRODUCT CODE: CODB09
|
The FASB Codification database may be accessed (not free) at
http://asc.fasb.org/asccontent&trid=2273304&nav_type=left_nav
Bob Jensen's (negative) threads on the Codification Database are at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#MethodsForSetting
FASB Statement 167: Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities
FASB
significantly revamped its consolidation standards for variable interest
entities when it released Statement No. 167 in June 2009. Those standards rework
existing rules under FIN 46R for when a company must include a VIE on its books
with a potentially huge impact on corporate balance sheets.
The criteria
for determining an entity's VIE status have shifted, based now more on a
company's "obligations" and "power" over an entity than on ownership percentage
or absorption of losses. Complicating matters further are new disclosure
requirements to explain consolidation decisions.
New standards
cover fiscal years after Nov. 15, 2009, so they affect financials published as
soon as March or April 2010. Advisors must prepare now for the standards, which
require reevaluation of existing entity relationships, regardless of whether
VIEs were previously consolidated.
How Will This Statement Change Current
Practice?
This Statement amends Interpretation 46(R) to require an enterprise to
perform an analysis to determine whether the enterprise’s variable interest
or interests give it a controlling financial interest in a variable interest
entity. This analysis identifies the primary beneficiary of a variable
interest entity as the enterprise that has both of the following
characteristics:
a. The power to direct the
activities of a variable interest entity that most significantly impact
the entity’s economic performance
b. The obligation to absorb losses
of the entity that could potentially be significant to the variable
interest entity or the right to receive benefits from the entity that
could potentially be significant to the variable interest entity.
Additionally, an enterprise is required to assess whether it has an
implicit financial responsibility to ensure that a variable interest
entity operates as designed when determining whether it has the power to
direct the activities of the variable interest entity that most
significantly impact the entity’s economic performance.
This Statement amends Interpretation
46(R) to require ongoing reassessments of whether an enterprise is the
primary beneficiary of a variable interest entity. Before this Statement,
Interpretation 46(R) required reconsideration of whether an enterprise is
the primary beneficiary of a variable interest entity only when specific
events occurred. This Statement amends Interpretation 46(R) to eliminate the
quantitative approach previously required for determining the primary
beneficiary of a variable interest entity, which was based on determining
which enterprise absorbs the majority of the entity’s expected losses,
receives a majority of the entity’s expected residual returns, or both.
This Statement amends certain guidance
in Interpretation 46(R) for determining whether an entity is a variable
interest entity. It is possible that application of this revised guidance
will change an enterprise’s assessment of which entities with which it is
involved are variable interest entities.
This Statement amends Interpretation
46(R) to add an additional reconsideration event for determining whether an
entity is a variable interest entity when any changes in facts and
circumstances occur such that the holders of the equity investment at risk,
as a group, lose the power from voting rights or similar rights of those
investments to direct the activities of the entity that most significantly
impact the entity’s economic performance.
Under Interpretation 46(R), a troubled
debt restructuring as defined in paragraph 2 of FASB Statement No. 15,
Accounting by Debtors and Creditors for Troubled Debt Restructurings,
was not an event that required reconsideration of whether an entity is a
variable interest entity and whether an enterprise is the primary
beneficiary of a variable interest entity. This Statement eliminates that
exception.
This Statement amends Interpretation
46(R) to require enhanced disclosures that will provide users of financial
statements with more transparent information about an enterprise’s
involvement in a variable interest entity. The enhanced disclosures are
required for any enterprise that holds a variable interest in a variable
interest entity. This
Statement nullifies FASB Staff
Position FAS 140-4 and FIN 46(R)-8, Disclosures by Public Entities
(Enterprises) about Transfers of Financial Assets and Interests in Variable
Interest Entities. However, the content of the enhanced disclosures
required by this Statement is generally consistent with that previously
required by the FSP.
How Will This Statement Improve
Financial Reporting?]
This Statement amends Interpretation 46(R)
to replace the quantitative-based risks and rewards calculation for
determining which enterprise, if any, has a controlling financial interest
in a variable interest entity with an approach focused on identifying which
enterprise has the power to direct the activities of a variable interest
entity that most significantly impact the entity’s economic performance and
(1) the obligation to absorb losses of the entity or (2) the right to
receive benefits from the entity. An approach that is expected to be
primarily qualitative will be more effective for identifying which
enterprise has a controlling financial interest in a variable interest
entity.
This Statement requires an additional
reconsideration event when determining whether an entity is a variable
interest entity when any changes in facts and circumstances occur such that
the holders of the equity investment at risk, as a group, lose the power
from voting rights or similar rights of those investments to direct the
activities of the entity that most significantly impact the entity’s
economic performance. It also requires ongoing assessments of whether an
enterprise is the primary beneficiary of a variable interest entity. These
requirements will provide more relevant and timely information to users of
financial statements.
This Statement amends Interpretation
46(R) to require additional disclosures about an enterprise’s involvement in
variable interest entities, which will enhance the information provided to
users of financial statements.
What Is the Effect of This Statement
on Convergence with International Financial Reporting Standards?
The International Accounting Standards
Board (IASB) has a project on its agenda to reconsider its consolidation
guidance. The IASB issued two related Exposure Drafts, Consolidation
and Derecognition, in December 2008 and March 2009, respectively. The
IASB project on consolidation is a broader reconsideration of all
consolidation guidance (not just the guidance for variable interest
entities).
Although this Statement was not
developed as part of a joint project with the IASB, the FASB and IASB
continue to work together to issue guidance that yields similar
consolidation and disclosure results for special-purpose entities. The
ultimate goal of both Boards is to provide timely, transparent information
about interests in specialp purpose entities. However, the timeline and
anticipated effective date of the IASB project is different from the
effective date of this Statement.
This Statement addresses the potential
impacts on the provisions and application of Interpretation 46(R) as a
result of the elimination of the qualifying special-purpose entity concept
in Statement 166. Ultimately, the two Boards will seek to issue a converged
standard that addresses consolidation of all entities.
What's Right and What's
Wrong With SPEs, SPVs, and VIEs ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen//theory/00overview/speOverview.htm
Calling All CPA Auditors for New Clients
"New SEC Madoff rule," New York Post, December 17, 2009 ---
http://m.nypost.com/ms/p/nyp/nyp/view.m?id=20570&storyid=4.0.3268925043
The Securities and Exchange Commission approved
final rules yesterday requiring some investment advisers who manage customer
funds to undergo annual surprise audits.
The rule is prompted by the Bernard Madoff scandal,
requiring certain SEC-registered advisers who have custody of clients'
assets to retain an independent public accountant to conduct an annual exam.
If funds are found missing, the accountants must
notify the SEC.
Bob Jensen's threads on mutual fund and index fund scandals are at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudRotten.htm#MutualFunds
A close-up look at the IT infrastructure behind the Madoff affair
December 17, 2009 message from Scott Bonacker
[lister@BONACKERS.COM]
There is an article in the new Bank Technology News
that might be of interest to anyone teaching internal controls or fraud
detection. Or if you're just curious.
http://www.americanbanker.com/btn_issues/22_12/the-it-secrets-1004419-1.html
"Special Feature The IT Secrets from the Liar's
Lair Two years ago, IT executive Bob McMahon wondered why his
highly-profitable employer, Bernard L. Madoff Investment Services, didn't
replace antiquated systems with more modern and efficient off-the-shelf
technology. On Dec. 11, 2008, when Madoff was arrested, he got his answer.A
close-up look at the IT infrastructure behind the Madoff affair."
Scott Bonacker CPA
Springfield, MO
"The IT Secrets from the Liar's Lair," by John Dodge, Bank Technology News,
December 2009 ---
http://www.americanbanker.com/btn_issues/22_12/the-it-secrets-1004419-1.html
Two years ago, IT executive Bob McMahon
wondered why his highly-profitable employer, Bernard L. Madoff Investment
Services, didn't replace antiquated systems with more modern and efficient
off-the-shelf technology. The Madoff systems were expensive to maintain and
made it difficult to grow the business by expanding into new classes of
securities. McMahon's job: To organize and document projects that would
create custom technology for the firm's trading operations.
On Dec. 11, 2008, he got his answer.
That day, Bernie Madoff was arrested and
charged with stealing tens of billions of his clients' money over decades.
McMahon realized if "technologists" had replaced the proprietary systems
with more modern and open computers, they would have invariably found the
absence of data on countless stock trades that supposedly took place. In a
sense, the preservation of old computer technology helped Madoff
successfully go undetected for years until his massive Ponzi scheme
collapsed that day.
Over the past six weeks, Securities
Industry News, a sister publication of Bank Technology News, has dug into
and beyond the court records to construct an extensive picture of how Madoff
actually operated: The systems and technology he and underlings used to
create - or fake - the most detailed set of customer accounts underlying a
fraud in the history of the securities industry.
Included are details of a declaration
filed Oct. 16 on behalf of the court-appointed trustee, Irving Picard,
investigating the case, and information filed in court when two IT employees
were arrested in mid-November. The documents, and subsequent interviews,
describe how the real and the fake trading floors worked, and why the
securities investors believed they owned are never going to be declared
"missing." The answer: Because they never existed in the first place.
LEGITIMATE AND ILLEGITIMATE
"I asked myself how Bernie could have
hidden and maintained this for so long. A lot of it was because he had
proprietary and legacy systems. And he relied on IT people he hired and
paid," to not upset the status quo, says McMahon.
As a project manager, he always felt like
an odd duck at Bernard L. Madoff Investment Services (BLMIS), an outfit
which seemed to lack standards and procedures routine at former employers of
his such as the International Securities Exchange and CheckFree Investment
Services (now Fiserv, Inc.). Little was documented and the company seemed to
be overwhelmed keeping the older systems from breaking down.
"I immediately recognized there was
massive institutional chaos in the way the place was managed. No one found
value in participating in project management meetings or in writing things
down. There was no documentation," says McMahon, today an operational
performance consultant for Standard & Poors.
McMahon lasted less than a year at
Madoff's firm. He was hired in February 2007, by long-time BLMIS chief
information officer Elizabeth Weintraub. She died in September of that year.
Differences over updating the systems and formalizing procedures with
Weintraub's two successors led to his dismissal the following January, by
McMahon's account.
Nader Ibrahim, who was on the support desk
from 2000 to 2003, confirmed that the atmosphere in the BLMIS IT department
was often tense and unusual.
"We did not have titles, which was
definitely suspicious to me. We all knew who each other worked for, but
nobody knew what the other person was doing," he said. "Everything was on a
need-to-know basis. There was a lot of secrecy."
But the real secret about Madoff's
purported trading for thousands of investment advisory clients,
investigators say, is that it never happened.
To be fair, it's not as if Madoff didn't
have a real trading floor. Madoff's legitimate market-making business was
located on the 19th floor of 885 Third Ave., in New York, using one IBM
Application System/400 computer, known within the firm as "House 5.'' BLMIS'
information technology operation was located on the 18th floor, where
McMahon had his cube and was supposed to organize and document projects
involving custom technology for the trading operation.
What was on the 17th floor? The fake
trading floor where a second IBM AS/400 known internally as "House 17"
processed historical price information on securities allegedly bought for
clients. The end result was phony trade confirmations and wholly
manufactured-but official-looking-statements for 4,903 investment advisory
clients.
OPEN AND CLOSED
Madoff's legitimate traders used a mix of
green-screen and "M2" Windows-based desktop computers. These ran in-house
trading software referred to as MISS, which McMahon recalled standing for
something like "Madoff Investment Systems and Services." The
internally-named and developed M2s ran MISS as a Windows application and
were used by younger traders who wanted familiar software instead of the
rigid green screen system, developed around 1985, where only text appeared
on screen and instructions were in almost cryptic codes entered into command
lines.
Support for House 5 was almost like that
of a large investment bank's support of its trading operations. Nothing was
too good, in theory, for the Madoff trading operation on the 19th floor.
Even if it was not necessary.
"Madoff did not buy anything off the
shelf. The IT team was doing proprietary software development. Maybe J.P.
Morgan Chase needs all this heavy technology, but a hedge fund with 120
people doesn't have to be in systems development," says McMahon, adding that
a similarly-sized firm might have a half dozen IT people. Both McMahon and
Ibrahim pegged the number of people actively supporting technology at BLMIS
at between 40 and 50.
But large staff and support for House 5
has not thrown off investigators. Court-appointed trustee Irving Picard, who
is charged with liquidating Madoff's remaining assets, has instead focused
on "House 17,'' where the daily administration of the Ponzi scheme was
executed.
Picard hired an investigator, Joseph Looby,
an accounting forensics expert who probably knows the most about the
technology that aided Madoff in stealing client funds other than former
members of Madoff's staff. Looby is an expert in electronic fraud and senior
managing partner with FTI Consulting Inc. in New York.
Looby's 20-page declaration on Picard's
behalf with the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for Southern District of New York on
Oct. 16 amounts to the deepest examination yet of the foundational
technology behind Madoff's fraud. The declaration seeks to deny paying
Madoff's victims based on their last statements, dated Nov. 30, 2008,
because the values stated were based on investments that were allegedly
never bought or sold (see graphic at right).
Reached in his Times Square office, Looby,
like Picard, said he could not elaborate on his examination of "House 17.
But in the declaration, he reported that "House 5" supported Madoff's
market-making operation and was networked to third parties outside the firm
that would logically support a trading operation. One, for example, was the
depository and clearing firm Depository Trust & Clearing Corp. (DTCC).
"[House 5] was an AS/400, consistent with
a legitimate securities trading business," Looby wrote. In the declaration,
he often compares House 5's legitimacy to House 17's illegitimacy.
House 17, for reasons that are now
obvious, was shut off to anyone but Madoff's former chief finance officer
and right-hand-man Frank DiPascali Jr. as well as his alleged accomplices.
That list now includes Jerome O'Hara, 46, and George Perez, 43, who have
both been charged in civil and criminal complaints with helping DiPascali
create the phoney statements that supported the Ponzi scheme. O'Hara and
Perez face 30 years in prison and more than $5 million in fines if
convicted. DiPascali sits in a New York jail awaiting sentencing after
pleading guilty to 10 felony counts on Aug. 11. He faces 125 years and his
sentencing is scheduled for May 2010. In the interim, investigators are
hoping to get his cooperation to implicate others.
"They want to squeeze him for more than
what he's giving now so he can avoid 125 years in prison," says Erin
Arvedlund, author of "Too Good to be True: The Rise and Fall of Bernie
Madoff." The former reporter for Barron's in a widely-cited 2001 story
challenged Madoff's implausible if not impossible returns and asked why
hundreds of millions in uncollected commissions were left on the table. It
appears now there were no trades made, from which to derive commissions.
"[House 17] was a closed system, separate and distinct from any computer
system utilized by the other BLMIS business units; consistent with one
designed to mass produce fictitious customer statements," according to
Looby's declaration. House 17's expressed purpose was to maintain phony
records and crank out millions of phony IRS 1099s on capital gains and
dividends, trade confirmations, management reports and customer statements.
"The AS/400 was like a giant Selectric typewriter. When you're making up
numbers like that, you're using your computer as a typewriter," says
computer consultant Judith Hurwitz, president of Hurwitz & Associates in
Newton, Mass.
ON THE HOUSE
House 17 held 4,659 active accounts
overseen by DiPascali where Madoff purportedly executed a "split strike
conversion" strategy on large cap stocks. In basic terms, it's a "collar,"
putting a floor and a ceiling on returns. A floor on potential losses is
created by purchasing a put on a stock. The sale of a call then puts a
ceiling on the returns. The "split" in "strike" prices is considered a
"vacation trade.'' The trader doesn't worry about what happens until the
expiration dates on the put or call options arrive.
The strategy was allegedly applied for the
thousands of customers on "baskets" of large cap stocks. According to the
faked BLMIS statements, these accounts typically yielded 11 to 17 percent
returns annually.
Another 244 "non-split strike" accounts
produced phony returns in excess of 100 percent and were managed by BLMIS
employees other than DiPascali.
The "non-split strike" accounts included
many "long time" Madoff customers and feeder funds such as those operated by
Stanley Chais or Jeffry Picower and against whom Picard has filed civil
suits to reclaim billions in profits alleged to be illegal. Picower of Palm
Beach was found dead in his pool Oct. 25. Chais maintains he's innocent.
In the declaration, Looby repeatedly
asserts that no securities were ever bought for BLMIS investment advisory
customers. Proceeds sent in by clients for that purpose were "instead
primarily used to make distributions to or payments on behalf of, other
investors as well as withdrawals and payments to Madoff family members and
employees," the declaration states.
Here's how it worked: BLMIS employees fed
the AS/400 constantly with stock data, enough to support trades that would
satisfy the expectations promised to Madoff's thousands of eventual victims.
To support the fantasy returns, so-called "baskets" of S&P100 stocks would
be bought and sold, on behalf of clients. Looby did not specify the typical
size of a basket, but they were proportional to the proceeds a client had
remitted to BLMIS. "If a basket was $400,000 and a customer had $800,000
available, two baskets of securities and options would be purportedly
"purchased" for the account," Looby wrote. The types of stocks can be seen
in a Madoff statement. Proceeds from purported basket sales existed only on
"House 17" and on the paper it put out, which indicated the funds were put
into safe U.S. Treasury bonds. Meanwhile, funds remitted by clients were
being diverted to a JPMorgan Chase & Co. bank account known as "703."
The complaints against O'Hara and Perez
add further rich detail to how Madoff and his accomplices used aging but
extensive computer technology to maintain the fraud. They also seem to
confirm what common sense suggests about such a massive and enduring fraud:
Madoff and DiPascali had to have technical help.
"O'Hara and Perez wrote programs that
generated many thousands of pages of fake trade blotters, stock records,
Depository Trust Corp. reports and other phantom books and records to
substantiate nonexistent trading. They assigned names to many of these
programs that began with "SPCL," which is short for "special," according to
an SEC press announcement about the civil complaint.
The "special" programs were found on
backup tapes, according to an official close to the investigation and who
asked not to be identified. He added that the pair has not been cooperating
with authorities. The evidence in the complaints is from BLMIS computers and
documents, according to the source.
Among 10 fraudulent functions detailed in
the criminal complaint, the special programs altered trade details by using
"algorithms that produced false and random results;" created "false and
fraudulent execution reports;" and "generated false and fraudulent
commission reports." The criminal complaint also charges the pair with
helping Madoff and DiPascali create misleading reports between 2004-08 to
throw off SEC investigators and a European accounting firm hired by a Madoff
client.
In 2006, O'Hara and Perez cashed out their
BLMIS accounts worth "hundreds of thousands of dollars" and told Madoff they
would no longer "generate any more fabricated books and records." O'Hara's
handwritten notes from the encounter allegedly say "I won't lie any longer."
However, the "crisis of conscience" did
not stop them from asking for a 25 per cent bump in salary and a $60,000
bonus to keep quiet, the complaints allege.
"DiPascali then managed to convince O'Hara
and Perez to modify computer programs to he and other 17th floor employees
could create the necessary reports," according to the SEC complaint. The
reference to "other 17th floor employees" suggests that O'Hara and Perez
will not be the last to be charged.
A sharp eye could have detected that funds
weren't where they were supposed to be: 2008 customer statements showed
funds in a "Fidelity Spartan U.S. Treasury Money Market Fund" that hadn't
been offered since 2005. The fabulous returns had lulled BLMIS clients to
sleep. While some trading data was input by hand, DiPascali cleverly used
"essentially a mail merge program" to replicate the same stock trading
information across multiple accounts, according to the declaration.
Stocks in a basket were "priced" after the
market closed (i.e., with the knowledge of the prior published price
history). Customer statements were then fabricated by BLMIS staff on House
17 which appeared to outsiders to keep track of customer investments and
funds in a manner typical of any investment advisor. "BLMIS staff confirmed
it, the system facilitated it and consistent returns could not have been
achieved without it," Looby's declaration states.
Indeed, the customer statements had been
perfected as an instrument in the deception. Madoff investor Ronnie Sue
Ambrosino, a former computer analyst who ironically had worked on an AS/400,
told Securities Industry News that she never suspected a thing. After all,
the Securities and Exchange Commission had given Madoff a clean bill of
health on several occasions since 1992 by not digging deeply into his
operations or just plain neglect.
"The statements were always perfect, neat
and immaculately presented. They came on time and everything was like
clockwork," says Ambrosino, 56, a victim and now activist representing a
group of about 400 Madoff investors. She bristles when the AS/400 is called
old or outdated. "I know the 400 and it's a pretty powerful machine." It was
powerful enough to convince investors that whatever proceeds they sent to
Madoff were being invested in the stocks cited on their statements. "Key
punch operators were provided with the relevant basket information that they
manually entered into House 17. The basket trade was then routinely
replicated in selected BLMIS split strike customer accounts automatically
and proportionally according to each customer's purported net equity,"
Looby's declaration says.
The situation was largely the same for
non-split strike clients except that the purported trades were in single
equities, not baskets. "Thousands of documents including customer
statements, IA (investment advisory) staff notes, account folders and
programs in the AS/400 were reviewed, and these documents confirm the fact
that such statements were prepared on an account-by-account basis (i.e. not
basket trading)," Looby wrote.
Looby verified that trades between 2002
and 2008 were phantom by cross-checking with various clearing houses such as
DTCC, Clearstream Banking S.A. in Luxembourg, the Chicago Board of Options
Exchange (CBOE) and four other clearing firms. He also compared the cleared
trades on the AS/400 "House 5" and "99.9 percent" of the fake trades on
"House 17" did not match. The only connection he found is what looked like a
small portion of a single client's trades, which were directed by the client
and recorded on House 5.
Madoff employees monitored the "baskets"
for split strike accounts in an Excel spreadsheet to make sure "the prices
chosen after-the-fact obtained returns that were neither too high or low."
However, such monitoring was far from
perfect. Looby cited several examples where daily trading volumes at BLMIS
exceeded the entire daily volume for several stocks.
For instance, Madoff reported the purchase
of 17.8 million shares of Exxon Mobil on Oct. 16, 2002. This amounted to 131
percent of the company's trading volume for that day. BLMIS's actual Exxon
Mobil holdings that October were verified by the DTCC at 5,730 shares.
Similar discrepancies for Amgen, Microsoft and Hewlett Packard were found on
Nov. 30, 2008, the date for the final batch of BLMIS customer statements, as
it turned out.
BLMIS data for options puts and calls was
even more blatantly unreal. On Oct. 11, 2002, Looby found that BLMIS
"applied an imaginary basket to 279 accounts with a volume of 82,959 OEX
(S&P 100 options) calls and 82,959 puts." That amounted to 13 times the OEX
volume at the CBOE that day.
Bob Jensen's fraud updates are at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudUpdates.htm
Bob Jensen's Rotten to the Core threads are at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudRotten.htm
"Peter R. Scanlon, Who Led Coopers When Big 8 Ruled Auditing, Is Dead at
78," by Dennis Hevesi, The New York Times, December 10, 2009 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/12/11/business/11scanlon.html?_r=2&emc=tnt&tntemail1=y
Peter R. Scanlon, a former chairman and chief
executive of one of the world’s largest public accounting firms, died on
Dec. 3 at his home in Jupiter, Fla. He was 78.
The cause was cancer, his daughter Barbara Scanlon
Jessup said.
Mr. Scanlon led Coopers & Lybrand from 1982 to
1991; the firm merged with Price Waterhouse in 1998 to form
PricewaterhouseCoopers. During his tenure, the company was regularly
referred to as one of the Big Eight. But with consolidation in the industry,
and with Arthur Andersen out of business, PricewaterhouseCoopers is now one
of the Big Four.
In the late 1980s, under Mr. Scanlon, Coopers &
Lybrand often drew criticism for shunning the merger mania that engulfed the
accounting profession. Ultimately, however, the firm was credited with
having turned the situation to its advantage. By attracting disaffected
affiliates of its competitors in other countries, it was able to expand its
international franchise without incurring the costs of all-out mergers.
“We’re not opposed to mergers, but we’re just not
going to do it because everyone thinks it’s the right thing to do,” Mr.
Scanlon told The New York Times in 1989.
Mr. Scanlon brought in major new clients, including
SmithKline Beckman and Unilever, and expanded his company’s existing
operations rather than opening new offices. In the process he steered its
profitability close to that of the other big firms. In 1991, his last year
as its leader, Coopers & Lybrand earned $261 million on revenues of $1.5
billion.
Peter Redmond Scanlon was born in the Bronx on Feb.
18, 1931, one of eight children of Loretta Ryan and John Scanlon Jr. His
father, who owned an insurance company, died when Peter was 9.
Peter was the first in his family to graduate from
college, earning a bachelor’s degree in accounting from Iona College in
1952. He immediately joined what was then known as Lybrand, Ross Brothers &
Montgomery. After serving in the United States Navy during the Korean War,
he returned to the company and began rising through its ranks.
Besides his daughter Barbara, Mr. Scanlon is
survived by his wife of 56 years, the former Mary Jane Condon; another
daughter, Janet Scanlon; two sons, Peter and Brian; and eight grandchildren.
His son Mark died in 1992.
Bob Jensen's threads on accounting history ---
Click Here
Bob Jensen's threads on the large accounting firms ---
Click Here
The Greatest Swindle in the History of the World
Paulson and Geithner Lied Big Time:
The Greatest
Swindle in the History of the World
What was their real motive in the greatest fraud conspiracy in the history of
the world?
Bombshell: In 2008 and early 2009, Treasury Secretary leaders
Paulson
and
Geithner
told the media and Congress that
AIG needed a
global bailout due to not having cash reserves to meet credit default swap
(systematic risk) obligations and insurance policy payoffs. On November 19, 2009
in Congressional testimony Geithner now admits that all this was a pack of lies.
However, he refuses to resign as requested by some Senators.
Oh really?
"AIG and Systemic Risk Geithner says credit-default swaps weren't the
problem, after all," Editors of The Wall Street Journal, November 20, 2009 ---
Click Here
TARP Inspector General Neil Barofsky keeps
committing flagrant acts of political transparency, which if nothing else
ought to inform the debate going forward over financial reform. In his
latest bombshell, the IG discloses that the New York Federal Reserve did not
believe that AIG's credit-default swap (CDS) counterparties posed a systemic
financial risk.
Hello?
For the last year, the entire Beltway theory of the
financial panic has been based on the claim that the "opaque," unregulated
CDS market had forced the Fed to take over AIG and pay off its
counterparties, lest the system collapse. Yet we now learn from Mr. Barofsky
that saving the counterparties was not the reason for the bailout.
In the fall of 2008 the New York Fed drove a
baby-soft bargain with AIG's credit-default-swap counterparties. The Fed's
taxpayer-funded vehicle, Maiden Lane III, bought out the counterparties'
mortgage-backed securities at 100 cents on the dollar, effectively canceling
out the CDS contracts. This was miles above what those assets could have
fetched in the market at that time, if they could have been sold at all.
The New York Fed president at the time was none
other than Timothy Geithner, the current Treasury Secretary, and Mr.
Geithner now tells Mr. Barofsky that in deciding to make the counterparties
whole, "the financial condition of the counterparties was not a relevant
factor."
This is startling. In April we noted in these
columns that Goldman Sachs, a major AIG counterparty, would certainly have
suffered from an AIG failure. And in his latest report, Mr. Barofsky comes
to the same conclusion. But if Mr. Geithner now says the AIG bailout wasn't
driven by a need to rescue CDS counterparties, then what was the point? Why
pay Goldman and even foreign banks like Societe Generale billions of tax
dollars to make them whole?
Both Treasury and the Fed say they think it would
have been inappropriate for the government to muscle counterparties to
accept haircuts, though the New York Fed tried to persuade them to accept
less than par. Regulators say that having taxpayers buy out the
counterparties improved AIG's liquidity position, but why was it important
to keep AIG liquid if not to protect some class of creditors?
Yesterday, Mr. Geithner introduced a new
explanation, which is that AIG might not have been able to pay claims to its
insurance policy holders: "AIG was providing a range of insurance products
to households across the country. And if AIG had defaulted, you would have
seen a downgrade leading to the liquidation and failure of a set of
insurance contracts that touched Americans across this country and, of
course, savers around the world."
Yet, if there is one thing that all observers
seemed to agree on last year, it was that AIG's money to pay policyholders
was segregated and safe inside the regulated insurance subsidiaries. If the
real systemic danger was the condition of these highly regulated
subsidiaries—where there was no CDS trading—then the Beltway narrative
implodes.
Interestingly, in Treasury's official response to
the Barofsky report, Assistant Secretary Herbert Allison explains why the
department acted to prevent an AIG bankruptcy. He mentions the "global scope
of AIG, its importance to the American retirement system, and its presence
in the commercial paper and other financial markets." He does not mention
CDS.
All of this would seem to be relevant to the
financial reform that Treasury wants to plow through Congress. For example,
if AIG's CDS contracts were not the systemic risk, then what is the argument
for restructuring the derivatives market? After Lehman's failure, CDS
contracts were quickly settled according to the industry protocol. Despite
fears of systemic risk, none of the large banks, either acting as a
counterparty to Lehman or as a buyer of CDS on Lehman itself, turned out to
have major exposure.
More broadly, lawmakers now have an opportunity to
dig deeper into the nature of moral hazard and the restoration of a healthy
financial system. Barney Frank and Chris Dodd are pushing to give regulators
"resolution authority" for struggling firms. Under both of their bills, this
would mean unlimited ability to spend unlimited taxpayer sums to prevent an
unlimited universe of firms from failing.
Americans know that's not the answer, but what is
the best solution to the too-big-to-fail problem? And how exactly does one
measure systemic risk? To answer these questions, it's essential that we
first learn the lessons of 2008. This is where reports like Mr. Barofsky's
are valuable, telling us things that the government doesn't want us to know.
In remarks Tuesday that were interpreted as a
veiled response to Mr. Barofsky's report, Mr. Geithner said, "It's a great
strength of our country, that you're going to have the chance for a range of
people to look back at every decision made in every stage in this crisis,
and look at the quality of judgments made and evaluate them with the benefit
of hindsight." He added, "Now, you're going to see a lot of conviction in
this, a lot of strong views—a lot of it untainted by experience."
Mr. Geithner has a point about Monday-morning
quarterbacking. He and others had to make difficult choices in the autumn of
2008 with incomplete information and often with little time to think, much
less to reflect. But that was last year. The task now is to learn the
lessons of that crisis and minimize the moral hazard so we can reduce the
chances that the panic and bailout happen again.
This means a more complete explanation from Mr.
Geithner of what really drove his decisions last year, how he now defines
systemic risk, and why he wants unlimited power to bail out creditors—before
Congress grants the executive branch unlimited resolution authority that
could lead to bailouts ad infinitum.
Jensen Comment
One of the first teller of lies was the highly respected Gretchen Morgenson of
The New York Times who was repeating the lies told to her and Congress by
the Treasury and the Fed. This was when I first believed that the problem at AIG
was failing to have capital reserves to meet CDS obligations. I really believed
Morgenson's lies in 2008 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/21/business/21gret.html
Here's what I wrote in 2008 ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#Bailout
Credit Default Swap (CDS)
This is an insurance policy that essentially "guarantees" that if a CDO goes bad
due to having turds mixed in with the chocolates, the "counterparty" who
purchased the CDO will recover the value fraudulently invested in turds. On
September 30, 2008 Gretchen Morgenson of The New York Times aptly
explained that the huge CDO underwriter of CDOs was the insurance firm called
AIG. She also explained that the first $85 billion given in bailout money by
Hank Paulson to AIG was to pay the counterparties to CDS swaps. She also
explained that, unlike its casualty insurance operations, AIG had no capital
reserves for paying the counterparties for the the turds they purchased from
Wall Street investment banks.
"Your Money at Work, Fixing Others’ Mistakes," by Gretchen Morgenson, The
New York Times, September 20, 2008 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/21/business/21gret.html
Also see "A.I.G., Where Taxpayers’ Dollars Go to Die," The New York Times,
March 7, 2009 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/08/business/08gret.html
What Ms. Morgenson failed to explain, when Paulson eventually gave over $100
billion for AIG's obligations to counterparties in CDS contracts, was who were
the counterparties who received those bailout funds. It turns out that most of
them were wealthy Arabs and some Asians who we were getting bailed out while
Paulson was telling shareholders of WaMu, Lehman Brothers, and Merrill Lynch to
eat their turds.
You tube had a lot of videos about a CDS. Go to YouTube and read in the
phrase "credit default swap" ---
http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Credit+Default+Swaps&search_type=&aq=f
In particular note this video by Paddy Hirsch ---
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kaui9e_4vXU
Paddy has some other YouTube videos about the financial crisis.
Bob Jensen’s
threads on accounting for credit default swaps are under the C-Terms at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/acct5341/speakers/133glosf.htm#C-Terms
The
Greatest Swindle in the History of the World
"The
Greatest Swindle Ever Sold," by Andy Kroll, The Nation, May 26, 2009 ---
http://www.thenation.com/doc/20090608/kroll/print
The legislation's guidelines for crafting the rescue plan were clear: the TARP
should protect home values and consumer savings, help citizens keep their homes
and create jobs. Above all, with the government poised to invest hundreds of
billions of taxpayer dollars in various financial institutions, the legislation
urged the bailout's architects to maximize returns to the American people.
That $700 billion bailout has since
grown into a
more than $12 trillion commitment by the US government and the Federal Reserve.
About
$1.1 trillion
of that is taxpayer money--the TARP money and an additional $400 billion rescue
of mortgage companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The TARP now includes twelve
separate programs, and recipients range from megabanks like Citigroup and
JPMorgan Chase to automakers Chrysler and General Motors.
Seven months in, the bailout's impact is unclear. The Treasury Department has
used the
recent "stress test" results
it applied to nineteen of the nation's largest banks
to suggest that the worst might be over; yet the
International Monetary Fund,
as well as economists like New York University
professor and economist Nouriel Roubini and New York Times columnist Paul
Krugman
predict greater losses in US markets,
rising unemployment and generally tougher economic
times ahead.
What cannot be disputed, however, is the financial bailout's biggest loser: the
American taxpayer. The US government, led by the Treasury Department, has done
little, if anything, to maximize returns on its trillion-dollar, taxpayer-funded
investment. So far, the bailout has favored rescued financial institutions by
subsidizing their losses to the tune of $356 billion,
shying away from much-needed management changes and--with the exception of the
automakers--letting companies take taxpayer money without a coherent plan for
how they might return to viability.
The bailout's perks have been no less favorable for private investors who are
now picking over the economy's still-smoking rubble at the taxpayers' expense.
The newer bailout programs rolled out by Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner
give private equity firms, hedge funds and other private investors significant
leverage to buy "toxic" or distressed assets, while leaving taxpayers stuck with
the lion's share of the risk and potential losses.
Given the lack of transparency and accountability, don't expect taxpayers to be
able to object too much. After all, remarkably little is known about how TARP
recipients have used the government aid received. Nonetheless, recent government
reports,
Congressional testimony and commentaries offer those patient enough to pore over
hundreds of pages of material glimpses of just how Wall Street friendly the
bailout actually is. Here, then, based on the most definitive data and analyses
available, are six of the most blatant and alarming ways taxpayers have been
scammed by the government's $1.1-trillion, publicly funded bailout.
1. By overpaying for its TARP investments, the Treasury Department provided
bailout recipients with generous subsidies at the taxpayer's expense.
When the Treasury Department ditched its initial plan to buy up "toxic" assets
and instead invest directly in financial institutions, then-Treasury Secretary
Henry Paulson Jr. assured Americans that they'd get a fair deal. "This is an
investment, not an expenditure, and there is no reason to expect this program
will cost taxpayers anything," he
said in
October 2008.
Yet the Congressional Oversight Panel (COP), a five-person group tasked with
ensuring that the Treasury Department acts in the public's best interest,
concluded in its
monthly report for February
that the department had significantly overpaid by
tens of billions of dollars for its investments. For the ten largest TARP
investments made in 2008, totaling $184.2 billion, Treasury received on average
only $66 worth of assets for every $100 invested. Based on that shortfall, the
panel calculated that Treasury had received only $176 billion in assets for its
$254 billion investment, leaving a $78 billion hole in taxpayer pockets.
Not all investors subsidized the struggling banks so heavily while investing in
them. The COP report notes that private investors received much closer to fair
market value in investments made at the time of the early TARP transactions.
When, for instance,
Berkshire Hathaway invested $5 billion in Goldman
Sachs in September, the Omaha-based
company received securities worth $110 for each $100 invested. And when
Mitsubishi invested in Morgan Stanley
that same month, it received securities worth $91 for
every $100 invested.
As of May 15, according to the
Ethisphere TARP Index,
which tracks the government's bailout investments, its various
investments had depreciated in value by almost $147.7 billion. In other words,
TARP's losses come out to almost $1,300 per American taxpaying household.
2. As the government has no real oversight over bailout funds, taxpayers remain
in the dark about how their money has been used and if it has made any
difference.
While the Treasury Department can make TARP recipients report on just how they
spend their government bailout funds, it has chosen not to do so. As a result,
it's unclear whether institutions receiving such funds are using that money to
increase lending--which would, in turn, boost the economy--or merely to fill in
holes in their balance sheets.
Neil M. Barofsky, the special inspector general for TARP, summed the situation
up this way in his office's April quarterly report to Congress: "The American
people have a right to know how their tax dollars are being used, particularly
as billions of dollars are going to institutions for which banking is certainly
not part of the institution's core business and may be little more than a way to
gain access to the low-cost capital provided under TARP."
This lack of transparency makes the bailout process highly susceptible to fraud
and corruption.
Barofsky's report stated
that twenty separate criminal investigations were
already underway involving corporate fraud, insider trading and public
corruption. He also
told the
Financial Times that his office was investigating whether banks manipulated
their books to secure bailout funds. "I hope we don't find a single bank that's
cooked its books to try to get money, but I don't think that's going to be the
case."
Economist Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research
in Washington, suggested to TomDispatch in an interview that the opaque and
complicated nature of the bailout may not be entirely unintentional, given the
difficulties it raises for anyone wanting to follow the trail of taxpayer
dollars from the government to the banks. "[Government officials] see this all
as a Three Card Monte, moving everything around really quickly so the public
won't understand that this really is an elaborate way to subsidize the banks,"
Baker says, adding that the public "won't realize we gave money away to some of
the richest people."
3. The bailout's newer programs heavily favor the private sector, giving
investors an opportunity to earn lucrative profits and leaving taxpayers with
most of the risk.
Under Treasury Secretary Geithner, the Treasury Department has greatly expanded
the financial bailout to troubling new programs like the Public-Private
Investment Program (PPIP) and the Term Asset-Backed-Securities Loan Facility
(TALF). The PPIP, for example, encourages private investors to buy "toxic" or
risky assets on the books of struggling banks. Doing so, we're told, will get
banks lending again because the burdensome assets won't weigh them down.
Unfortunately, the incentives the Treasury Department is offering to get private
investors to participate are so generous that the government--and, by extension,
American taxpayers--are left with all the downside.
Joseph Stiglitz, the Nobel-prize winning economist,
described the PPIP program
in a New York Times op-ed this way:
Consider an asset that has a 50-50 chance of being worth either zero or $200 in
a year's time. The average "value" of the asset is $100. Ignoring interest, this
is what the asset would sell for in a competitive market. It is what the asset
is 'worth.' Under the plan by Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, the
government would provide about 92 percent of the money to buy the asset but
would stand to receive only 50 percent of any gains, and would absorb almost all
of the losses. Some partnership!
Assume that one of the public-private partnerships the Treasury has promised to
create is willing to pay $150 for the asset. That's 50 percent more than its
true value, and the bank is more than happy to sell. So the private partner puts
up $12, and the government supplies the rest--$12 in "equity" plus $126 in the
form of a guaranteed loan.
If, in a year's time, it turns out that the true value of the asset is zero, the
private partner loses the $12, and the government loses $138. If the true value
is $200, the government and the private partner split the $74 that's left over
after paying back the $126 loan. In that rosy scenario, the private partner more
than triples his $12 investment. But the taxpayer, having risked $138, gains a
mere $37."
Worse still, the PPIP can be easily manipulated for private gain. As economist
Jeffrey Sachs has described it,
a bank with worthless toxic assets on its books could actually set up its own
public-private fund to bid on those assets. Since no true bidder would pay for a
worthless asset, the bank's public-private fund would win the bid, essentially
using government money for the purchase. All the public-private fund would then
have to do is quietly declare bankruptcy and disappear, leaving the bank to make
off with the government money it received. With the PPIP deals set to begin in
the coming months, time will tell whether private investors actually take
advantage of the program's flaws in this fashion.
The Treasury Department's TALF program offers equally enticing possibilities for
potential bailout profiteers, providing investors with a chance to double,
triple or even quadruple their investments. And like the PPIP, if the deal goes
bad, taxpayers absorb most of the losses. "It beats any financing that the
private sector could ever come up with," a
Wall Street trader commented
in a recent Fortune magazine story. "I almost want to say it is
irresponsible."
4. The government has no coherent plan for returning failing financial
institutions to profitability and maximizing returns on taxpayers' investments.
Compare the treatment of the auto industry and the financial sector, and a
troubling double standard emerges. As a condition for taking bailout aid, the
government required Chrysler and General Motors to present
detailed plans
on how the companies would return to profitability. Yet the Treasury Department
attached minimal conditions to the billions injected into the largest bailed-out
financial institutions. Moreover, neither Geithner nor Lawrence Summers, one of
President Barack Obama's top economic advisors, nor the president himself has
articulated any substantive plan or vision for how the bailout will help these
institutions recover and, hopefully, maximize taxpayers' investment returns.
The Congressional Oversight Panel highlighted the absence of such a
comprehensive plan in its
January report.
Three months into the bailout, the Treasury
Department "has not yet explained its strategy," the report stated. "Treasury
has identified its goals and announced its programs, but it has not yet
explained how the programs chosen constitute a coherent plan to achieve those
goals."
Today, the department's endgame for the bailout still remains vague. Thomas
Hoenig, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City,
wrote in the
Financial Times in May that the government's response to the financial
meltdown has been "ad hoc, resulting in inequitable outcomes among firms,
creditors, and investors." Rather than perpetually prop up banks with endless
taxpayer funds, Hoenig suggests, the government should allow banks to fail. Only
then, he believes, can crippled financial institutions and systems be fixed.
"Because we still have far to go in this crisis, there remains time to define a
clear process for resolving large institutional failure. Without one, the
consequences will involve a series of short-term events and far more uncertainty
for the global economy in the long run."
The healthier and more profitable bailout recipients are once financial markets
rebound, the more taxpayers will earn on their investments. Without a plan,
however, banks may limp back to viability while taxpayers lose their investments
or even absorb further losses.
5. The bailout's focus on Wall Street mega-banks ignores smaller banks serving
millions of American taxpayers that face an equally uncertain future.
The government may not have a long-term strategy for its trillion-dollar
bailout, but its guiding principle, however misguided, is clear: what's good for
Wall Street will be best for the rest of the country.
On the day the mega-bank stress tests were officially released, another set of
stress-test results came out to much less fanfare. In its
quarterly report on the health of individual banks
and the banking industry as a whole,
Institutional Risk Analytics (IRA), a respected financial services organization,
found that the stress levels among more than 7,500 FDIC-reporting banks
nationwide had risen dramatically. For 1,575 of the banks, net incomes had
turned negative due to decreased lending and less risk-taking.
The conclusion IRA drew was telling: "Our overall observation is that US policy
makers may very well have been distracted by focusing on 19 large stress test
banks designed to save Wall Street and the world's central bank bondholders,
this while a trend is emerging of a going concern viability crash taking shape
under the radar." The report concluded with a question: "Has the time come to
shift the policy focus away from the things that we love, namely big zombie
banks, to tackle things that are truly hurting us?"
6. The bailout encourages the very behaviors that created the economic crisis in
the first place instead of overhauling our broken financial system and helping
the individuals most affected by the crisis.
As Joseph Stiglitz explained in the New York Times, one major cause of
the economic crisis was bank overleveraging. "Using relatively little capital of
their own," he wrote, banks "borrowed heavily to buy extremely risky real estate
assets. In the process, they used overly complex instruments like collateralized
debt obligations." Financial institutions engaged in overleveraging in pursuit
of the lucrative profits such deals promised--even if those profits came with
staggering levels of risk.
Sound familiar? It should, because in the PPIP and TALF bailout programs the
Treasury Department has essentially replicated the very over-leveraged, risky,
complex system that got us into this mess in the first place: in other words,
the government hopes to repair our financial system by using the flawed
practices that caused this crisis.
Then there are the institutions deemed "too big to fail." These financial
giants--among them AIG, Citigroup and Bank of America-- have been kept afloat by
billions of dollars in bottomless bailout aid. Yet reinforcing the notion that
any institution is "too big to fail" is dangerous to the economy. When a company
like AIG grows so large that it becomes "too big to fail," the risk it carries
is systemic, meaning failure could drag down the entire economy. The government
should force "too big to fail" institutions to slim down to a safer, more modest
size; instead, the Treasury Department continues to subsidize these financial
giants, reinforcing their place in our economy.
Of even greater concern is the message the bailout sends to banks and
lenders--namely, that the risky investments that crippled the economy are fair
game in the future. After all, if banks fail and teeter at the edge of collapse,
the government promises to be there with a taxpayer-funded, potentially
profitable safety net.
The handling of the bailout makes at least one thing clear, however. It's not
your health that the government is focused on, it's theirs-- the very banks and
lenders whose convoluted financial systems provided the underpinnings for
staggering salaries and bonuses, while bringing our economy to the brink of
another Great Depression.
Keynes:
The Rise, Fall, and Return of the 20th Century's Most Influential Economist
by Peter Clarke (Bloomsbury; 2009, 211 pages; $20). Examines the life and
legacy of the British economist (1883-1946).
"Lack of Candor and the AIG Bailout: If AIG wasn't too big to fail,
why did the government rescue it? And why do we need to turn the financial
system upside down?" by Peter J. Wallison, The Wall Street Journal,
November 27, 2009 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704779704574551861399508826.html?mod=djemEditorialPage
Since last September, the government's case for
bailing out AIG has rested on the notion that the company was too big to
fail. If AIG hadn't been rescued, the argument goes, its credit default swap
(CDS) obligations would have caused huge losses to its counterparties—and
thus provoked a financial collapse.
Last week's news that this was not in fact the
motive for AIG's rescue has implications that go well beyond the Obama
administration's efforts to regulate CDSs and other derivatives. It's one
more example that the administration may be using the financial crisis as a
pretext to extend Washington's control of the financial sector.
The truth about the credit default swaps came out
last week in a report by TARP Special Inspector General Neil Barofsky. It
says that Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, then president of the New York
Federal Reserve Bank, did not believe that the financial condition of AIG's
credit default swap counterparties was "a relevant factor" in the decision
to bail out the company. This contradicts the conventional assumption, never
denied by the Federal Reserve or the Treasury, that AIG's failure would have
had a devastating effect.
So why did the government rescue AIG? This has
never been clear.
The Obama administration has consistently argued
that the "interconnections" among financial companies made it necessary to
save AIG and Bear Stearns. Focusing on interconnections implies that the
failure of one large financial firm will cause debilitating losses at
others, and eventually a systemic breakdown. Apparently this was not true in
the case of AIG and its credit default swaps—which leaves open the question
of why the Fed, with the support of the Treasury, poured $180 billion into
AIG.
The broader question is whether the entire
regulatory regime proposed by the administration, and now being pushed
through Congress by Rep. Barney Frank and Sen. Chris Dodd, is based on a
faulty premise. The administration has consistently used the term "large,
complex and interconnected" to describe the nonbank financial institutions
it wants to regulate. The prospect that the failure of one of these firms
might pose a systemic risk is the foundation of the administration's
comprehensive regulatory regime for the financial industry.
Up to now, very few pundits or reporters have
questioned this logic. They have apparently been satisfied with the
explanation that the "interconnectedness" created by those mysterious credit
default swaps was the culprit.
But the New York Fed is the regulatory body most
familiar with the CDS market. If that agency did not believe AIG's failure
would have actually brought down its counterparties—and ultimately the
financial system itself—it raises serious questions about the
administration's credibility, and about the need for its regulatory
proposals. If "interconnections" among financial institutions are indeed the
source of the financial crisis, the administration should be far more
forthcoming than it has been about exactly what these interconnections are,
and how exactly a broad new system of regulation and resolution would
eliminate or reduce them.
The administration's unwillingness or inability to
clearly define the problem of interconnectedness is not the only weakness in
its rationale for imposing a whole new regulatory regime on the financial
system. Another example is the claim—made by Mr. Geithner and President
Obama himself—that predatory lending by mortgage brokers was one of the
causes of the financial crisis.
No doubt some deceptive practices occurred in
mortgage origination. But the facts suggest that the government's own
housing policies—and not weak regulation—were the source of these bad loans.
At the end of 2008, there were about 26 million
subprime and other nonprime mortgages in our financial system. Two-thirds of
these mortgages were on the balance sheets of the Federal Housing
Administration, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the four largest U.S. banks.
The banks were required to make these loans in order to gain approval from
the Fed and other regulators for mergers and expansions.
The fact that the government itself either bought
these bad loans or required them to be made shows that the most plausible
explanation for the large number of subprime loans in our economy is not a
lack of regulation at the mortgage origination level, but government-created
demand for these loans.
Finally, although there may be a good policy
argument for a new consumer protection agency for financial services and
products, the scope of what the administration has proposed goes far beyond
lending, or even deposit-taking. In the administration's proposed
legislation, the Consumer Financial Protection Agency would cover any
business that provides consumer credit of any kind, including the common
layaway plans and Christmas clubs that small retailers offer their
customers.
Under the guise of addressing the causes of a
global financial crisis, the Obama administration's bill would have
regulated credit counseling, educational courses on finance, financial-data
processing, money transmission and custodial services, and dozens more small
businesses that could not possibly cause a financial crisis. Even Chairmen
Frank and Dodd balked at this overreach. Their bills exempt retailers if
their financial activity is incidental to their other business. Still, many
vestiges of this excess remain in the legislation that is now being pushed
toward a vote.
The lack of candor about credit default swaps, the
effort to blame lack of regulation for the subprime crisis and the excessive
reach of the proposed consumer protection agency are all of a piece. The
administration seems to be using the specter of another financial crisis to
bring more and more of the economy under Washington's control.
With the help of large Democratic majorities in
Congress, this train has had considerable momentum. But perhaps—with the
disclosure about credit default swaps and the AIG crisis—the wheels are
finally coming off.
Bob Jensen's threads on the Greatest Swindle in the World are at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#Sleaze
Bob
Jensen's threads on why the infamous "Bailout" won't work ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#BailoutStupidity
By now we've heard most all the reasons/excuses for the disappearance of all
investment banking firms
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#InvestmentBanking
The December 5, 2009 issue of The Economist magazine offers a new
twist by blaming, in part, the silo databases of Wall Street firms. This is
surprising since I would've assumed the big investment banks would've been early
adopters of ERP system-wide communicating databases.
The term "silo computing" or "data silo" dates back to before the days of
computer networking and refers to multiple databases in an organizations that
are not compatible and often require duplicate computing. For example, an
account sales database in the marketing department may be programmed differently
than the account sales database in the accounting department. Silo computing was
extremely common and extremely inefficient in COBOL days before the onset of
Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) integrative (ERP) total enterprise
interactive databases of which the German SAP systems are the best known ERP
systems ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/245glosap.htm
"Silo but deadly," The Economist, December 5-11, 2009, pp. 83-84 ---
http://www.economist.com/businessfinance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=15016132
NO INDUSTRY spends more on information technology
(IT) than financial services: about $500 billion globally, more than a fifth
of the total (see chart). Many of the world’s computers, networking and
storage systems live in the huge data centres run by banks. “Banks are
essentially technology firms,” says Hugo Banziger, chief risk officer at
Deutsche Bank. Yet the role of IT in the crisis is barely discussed.
It should be. Corporate IT systems—collections of
computers, applications and databases—always tend to be messy, but those of
banks are particularly bad. They were the first to adopt computers:
decades-old mainframes are still in use. Lots of product innovation means
new systems, as does merger activity, which has proliferated in the industry
in recent years: Citigroup had a notoriously fragmented IT set-up going into
the crisis. The need to comply with regulations, and the global presence of
big banks, adds complexity.
The demands of financial markets make matters
worse. Hedging positions, trading derivatives and modelling financial
products all require highly sophisticated programs that are only really
suited to specific asset classes. The code for new financial products has to
be developed quickly. Innovation often takes place on Excel spreadsheets on
traders’ desktops. “The big task of management is to manage down the number
of spreadsheets,” says one risk chief, whose bank creates 1,000 product
variations a year.
As a result, many banks have huge problems with
data quality. The same types of asset are often defined differently in
different programs. Numbers do not always add up. Managers from different
departments do not trust each other’s figures. Finding one’s way through all
these systems is detective work, says a former IT manager at a big British
bank. “And sometimes the trail would go cold.”
This fragmented IT landscape made it exceedingly
difficult to track a bank’s overall risk exposure before and during the
crisis. Mainly as a result of the Basel 2 capital accords, many banks had
put in new systems to calculate their aggregate exposure. Royal Bank of
Scotland (RBS) spent more than $100m to comply with Basel 2. But in most
cases the aggregate risk was only calculated once a day and some figures
were not worth the pixels they were made of.
During the turmoil many banks had to carry out big
fact-finding missions to see where they stood. “Answering such questions as
‘What is my exposure to this counterparty?’ should take minutes. But it
often took hours, if not days,” says Peyman Mestchian, managing partner at
Chartis Research, an advisory firm. Insiders at Lehman Brothers say its
European arm lacked an integrated picture of its risk position in the days
running up to its demise.
Whether the financial industry would have hit the
brakes if it had had digital dashboards showing banks’ overall exposures in
real time is a moot point. Some managers might not have even looked. And
better IT would have done little to counteract the bigger forces behind the
crisis, such as global economic imbalances.
Continued in article
Bob Jensen's threads on the recent Wall Street woes are at
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm
Chinese mercantilism is a growing problem
Mercantilism ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mercantilism
"Chinese New Year," by Paul Krugman, The New York Times, December 31,
2009 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/01/opinion/01krugman.html
It’s the season when pundits traditionally make
predictions about the year ahead. Mine concerns international economics: I
predict that 2010 will be the year of China. And not in a good way.
Actually, the biggest problems with China involve
climate change. But today I want to focus on currency policy.
China has become a major financial and trade power.
But it doesn’t act like other big economies. Instead, it follows a
mercantilist policy, keeping its trade surplus artificially high. And in
today’s depressed world, that policy is, to put it bluntly, predatory.
Here’s how it works: Unlike the dollar, the euro or
the yen, whose values fluctuate freely, China’s currency is pegged by
official policy at about 6.8 yuan to the dollar. At this exchange rate,
Chinese manufacturing has a large cost advantage over its rivals, leading to
huge trade surpluses.
Under normal circumstances, the inflow of dollars
from those surpluses would push up the value of China’s currency, unless it
was offset by private investors heading the other way. And private investors
are trying to get into China, not out of it. But China’s government
restricts capital inflows, even as it buys up dollars and parks them abroad,
adding to a $2 trillion-plus hoard of foreign exchange reserves.
This policy is good for China’s export-oriented
state-industrial complex, not so good for Chinese consumers. But what about
the rest of us?
In the past, China’s accumulation of foreign
reserves, many of which were invested in American bonds, was arguably doing
us a favor by keeping interest rates low — although what we did with those
low interest rates was mainly to inflate a housing bubble. But right now the
world is awash in cheap money, looking for someplace to go. Short-term
interest rates are close to zero; long-term interest rates are higher, but
only because investors expect the zero-rate policy to end some day. China’s
bond purchases make little or no difference.
Meanwhile, that trade surplus drains much-needed
demand away from a depressed world economy. My back-of-the-envelope
calculations suggest that for the next couple of years Chinese mercantilism
may end up reducing U.S. employment by around 1.4 million jobs.
The Chinese refuse to acknowledge the problem.
Recently Wen Jiabao, the prime minister, dismissed foreign complaints: “On
one hand, you are asking for the yuan to appreciate, and on the other hand,
you are taking all kinds of protectionist measures.” Indeed: other countries
are taking (modest) protectionist measures precisely because China refuses
to let its currency rise. And more such measures are entirely appropriate.
Or are they? I usually hear two reasons for not
confronting China over its policies. Neither holds water.
First, there’s the claim that we can’t confront the
Chinese because they would wreak havoc with the U.S. economy by dumping
their hoard of dollars. This is all wrong, and not just because in so doing
the Chinese would inflict large losses on themselves. The larger point is
that the same forces that make Chinese mercantilism so damaging right now
also mean that China has little or no financial leverage.
Again, right now the world is awash in cheap money.
So if China were to start selling dollars, there’s no reason to think it
would significantly raise U.S. interest rates. It would probably weaken the
dollar against other currencies — but that would be good, not bad, for U.S.
competitiveness and employment. So if the Chinese do dump dollars, we should
send them a thank-you note.
Second, there’s the claim that protectionism is
always a bad thing, in any circumstances. If that’s what you believe,
however, you learned Econ 101 from the wrong people — because when
unemployment is high and the government can’t restore full employment, the
usual rules don’t apply.
Let me quote from a classic paper by the late Paul
Samuelson, who more or less created modern economics: “With employment less
than full ... all the debunked mercantilistic arguments” — that is, claims
that nations who subsidize their exports effectively steal jobs from other
countries — “turn out to be valid.” He then went on to argue that
persistently misaligned exchange rates create “genuine problems for
free-trade apologetics.” The best answer to these problems is getting
exchange rates back to where they ought to be. But that’s exactly what China
is refusing to let happen.
The bottom line is that Chinese mercantilism is a
growing problem, and the victims of that mercantilism have little to lose
from a trade confrontation. So I’d urge China’s government to reconsider its
stubbornness. Otherwise, the very mild protectionism it’s currently
complaining about will be the start of something much bigger.
"Chinese official raps US banks on derivatives," AsiaLynx,
December 4, 2009 ---
http://www.asialynx.com/2009/12/04/chinese-official-raps-us-banks-on-derivatives/
BEIJING (Agencies): A senior Chinese official criticized foreign banks for
selling derivatives with “fraudulent characteristics” that led to heavy
losses for state-owned airlines and other companies.
“Some international investment banks are the
biggest villains,” said Li Wei, deputy chairman of the agency that oversees
China’s biggest state companies, in a commentary in this week’s edition of
the Study Times, a newspaper published by the school of the Communist
Party’s Central Committee.
The comments were the Chinese government’s most
pointed public criticism yet of foreign institutions. Li’s agency said in
September it would support companies that want to challenge the contracts in
court.
Li said Chinese companies were to blame for most of their losses but
complained that derivatives tied oil prices and other matters were too
complex and made potential risks too hard to identify.
“Of course, first of all we need to find problems
in the companies themselves,” Li wrote in the front-page commentary. “But it
also is largely related to international investment banks maliciously
peddling high-leverage, complex products with fraudulent characteristics.”
Some 68 of the 136 major banks, airlines and other
companies directly controlled by the Cabinet invested in derivatives and
recorded book losses totaling 11.4 billion yuan ($1.7 billion) by the end of
October 2008, according to Li.
Li made no specific accusations against individual
banks. But he noted that airlines and shipping companies bought fuel
contracts from Goldman Sachs Group, Merrill Lynch — now a unit of Bank of
America Corp. — and Morgan Stanley, while banks bought derivatives from
Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley and Citigroup.
Spokespeople in China for Goldman and Citigroup
declined to comment. Spokespeople for Morgan Stanley and Merrill Lynch did
not immediately respond to phone messages and e-mails.
– read more at ChinaDaily.com
Bob Jensen's timeline for derivative financial instruments frauds ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudRotten.htm#DerivativesFrauds
The Greatest Swindle in the History of the World ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#Bailout
What caused the great depressions in stock market listings, especially new
listings?
Grant Thornton has a strong argument that the
underlying reason for “The Great Depression in Listings” is not Sarbanes-Oxley,
but what they call “The Great Delisting Machine,” an array of regulatory changes
that were meant to advance low-cost trading, but have had the unintended
consequence of stripping economic support for the value components (quality
sell-side research, capital commitment and sales) that are needed to support
markets, especially for smaller capitalization companies. GT cautions that
today, capital formation in the U.S. is on life support. Within the venture
capital universe, the average time from first venture investment to IPO has more
than doubled.
David Weild and Edward Kim, "A Wake Up Call for America," Grant Thornton LLC,
November 2009 ---
http://www.gt.com/staticfiles/GTCom/Public%20companies%20and%20capital%20markets/gt_wakeup_call_.pdf
A possible teaching case about equity share classes and stock splits
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on December 10,
2009